Thursday, November 24, 2011

Texas and Texas A&M in 2011

Texas and Texas A&M may be playing today for the last time in a while since Texas A&M is moving from the Big 12 conference to the SEC next year. So, let's take a look at this Thanksgiving game through the eyes of the NCAA FBS production model.

Texas is currently 6-4 playing as of last week against a strength of schedule of 65.7. Texas in the NCAA production model is currently the #32 ranked team overall, with their offense ranked #69 and their defense ranked #12. For a quick overview of the Longhorns season, here is their regular season schedule.

Date
Opponent
PF
PA
SOS
Result
9/3/2011
Rice
34
9
104
W
9/10/2011
BYU
17
16
40
W
9/17/2011
UCLA
49
20
66
W
10/1/2011
Iowa St.
37
14
96
W
10/8/2011
Oklahoma
17
55
10
L
10/15/2011
Oklahoma St.
26
38
7
L
10/29/2011
Kansas
43
0
120
W
11/5/2011
Texas Tech
52
20
99
W
11/12/2011
Missouri
5
17
41
L
11/19/2011
Kansas St.
13
17
74
L
11/24/2011
Texas A&M







12/3/2011
Baylor








Texas A&M is currently 6-5 against a strength of schedule of 61.2. The Texas A&M Aggies are currently ranked as the #47 team overall, with an offense ranked at #32 and their defense ranked at #57.

Date
Opponent
PF
PA
SOS
Result
9/4/2011
SMU
46
14
64
W
9/17/2011
Idaho
37
7
108
W
9/24/2011
Oklahoma St.
29
30
7
L
10/1/2011
Arkansas
38
42
20
L
10/8/2011
Texas Tech
45
40
99
W
10/15/2011
Baylor
55
28
34
W
10/22/2011
Iowa St.
33
17
96
W
10/29/2011
Missouri
31
38
41
L
11/5/2011
Oklahoma
25
41
10
L
11/12/2011
Kansas St.
50
53
74
L
11/19/2011
Kansas
61
7
120
W
11/24/2011
Texas








So in terms of the model, Texas is slightly more productive than Texas A&M, and thus from the model's viewpoint is favored in today's game.