Texas and Texas A&M in 2011

Texas and Texas A&M may be playing today for the last time in a while since Texas A&M is moving from the Big 12 conference to the SEC next year. So, let's take a look at this Thanksgiving game through the eyes of the NCAA FBS production model.

Texas is currently 6-4 playing as of last week against a strength of schedule of 65.7. Texas in the NCAA production model is currently the #32 ranked team overall, with their offense ranked #69 and their defense ranked #12. For a quick overview of the Longhorns season, here is their regular season schedule.

Date		Opponent		PF		PA		SOS		Result
9/3/2011		Rice		34		9		104		W
9/10/2011		BYU		17		16		40		W
9/17/2011		UCLA		49		20		66		W
10/1/2011		Iowa St.		37		14		96		W
10/8/2011		Oklahoma		17		55		10		L
10/15/2011		Oklahoma St.		26		38		7		L
10/29/2011		Kansas		43		0		120		W
11/5/2011		Texas Tech		52		20		99		W
11/12/2011		Missouri		5		17		41		L
11/19/2011		Kansas St.		13		17		74		L
11/24/2011		Texas A&M
12/3/2011		Baylor

Texas A&M is currently 6-5 against a strength of schedule of 61.2. The Texas A&M Aggies are currently ranked as the #47 team overall, with an offense ranked at #32 and their defense ranked at #57.

Date		Opponent		PF		PA		SOS		Result
9/4/2011		SMU		46		14		64		W
9/17/2011		Idaho		37		7		108		W
9/24/2011		Oklahoma St.		29		30		7		L
10/1/2011		Arkansas		38		42		20		L
10/8/2011		Texas Tech		45		40		99		W
10/15/2011		Baylor		55		28		34		W
10/22/2011		Iowa St.		33		17		96		W
10/29/2011		Missouri		31		38		41		L
11/5/2011		Oklahoma		25		41		10		L
11/12/2011		Kansas St.		50		53		74		L
11/19/2011		Kansas		61		7		120		W
11/24/2011		Texas

So in terms of the model, Texas is slightly more productive than Texas A&M, and thus from the model's viewpoint is favored in today's game.