It's the most wonderful time of the year. Yes, it's Christmas season, but it is also college football bowl season. This year I plan on providing a preview of each bowl using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com. First on the list is the R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl pitting the Troy Trojans from the Sun Belt Conference against the North Texas Mean Green out of Conference USA!
Prediction
The game will be
determined by whether Troy's Top 25 defense can stop North Texas' Top 25
offense. Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model would give the edge to the Troy Trojans. Below is a look at each of these two football programs during the 2017 regular season.
North Texas Mean Green
The Mean Green finished the regular season at 9-3 and played in the
Conference USA championship game, losing to Florida Atlantic to enter
the R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl game at 9-4. North Texas played
against
an "average" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that North Texas' SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the
"league's" SOS. The Mean Green's best victory was over #30 ranked
Southern Mississippi by a score of (43-28) and their
worst loss was to #63 ranked Iowa by a score of
(14-31). North Texas had the #69 ranked
team in total production with the #15
ranked offense and the #112 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
Troy Trojans
The Trojans finished the regular season at 10-2 while playing against
an "easier" strength
of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning
that Troy's SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the
"league's" SOS. The Trojans best victory was over #17 ranked LSU (24-21) and their
worst loss was to #99 ranked South Alabama by a score of
(8-19). Troy had the #26 ranked
team in total production with the #54
ranked offense and the #11 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
Tuesday, December 12, 2017
Monday, December 11, 2017
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 15
The regular season is now over and below is the Top 25 ranked teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com. According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model, the University of Alabama has finished as the most productive team in all of the Football
Bowl Subdivision. Links to the previous
weeks rankings for this season are at the bottom of the page.
Previous 2017 Top 25 Rankings
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #14
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #13
| Rank | Team |
| 1 | Alabama |
| 2 | Ohio State |
| 3 | Washington |
| 4 | Penn State |
| 5 | Oklahoma |
| 6 | UCF |
| 7 | Wisconsin |
| 8 | Clemson |
| 9 | Georgia |
| 10 | Louisville |
| 11 | Auburn |
| 12 | Florida Atlantic |
| 13 | Oklahoma State |
| 14 | TCU |
| 15 | Miami (Florida) |
| 16 | Memphis |
| 17 | LSU |
| 18 | San Diego State |
| 19 | USC |
| 20 | Appalachian State |
| 21 | Toledo |
| 22 | Notre Dame |
| 23 | Boise State |
| 24 | Virginia Tech |
| 25 | Mississippi State |
Previous 2017 Top 25 Rankings
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #14
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #13
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #12
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #11
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #10
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #9
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #8
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #7
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #6
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #5
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #4
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #3
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #2
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #11
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #10
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #9
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #8
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #7
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #6
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #5
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #4
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #3
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #2
Thursday, December 7, 2017
Mark Hudspeth Fired by Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana (i.e. Louisiana-Lafayette) has fired their head football coach Mark Hudspeth after seven seasons at the helm of the Ragin' Cajun football program. The two reasons given were inconsistent performance and declining interest (attendance and financial support) in the program. The Ragin' Cajuns were 51-38 on the field, but due to NCAA rules violations the Ragin' Cajuns vacated 22 victories.
Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns football program during Hudspeth's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue). Louisiana (or Louisiana-Lafayette) has been below average during the last three seasons with Hudspeth at the helm of the Ragin' Cajuns. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. More details about the program under Hudspeth including a link to his most recent contract extension are after the chart below.
Mark Hudspeth [2011 - 2017]
2011 (8 wins vacated)
Louisiana-Lafayette finished the regular season overall at 8-4 (bowl eligible) and defeated #41 ranked San Diego State in their post-season bowl game by a score of (32-30) to finish the season at 9-4. Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Ragin' Cajuns SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the average SOS of the "league". The Ragin' Cajuns best game was their victory over #37 ranked Florida International (36-31) and their worst loss was to #89 ranked Western Kentucky (23-42). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #57 ranked team in total production with the #34 ranked offense and the #73 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2012 (4 wins vacated)
At the end of the regular season the Ragin' Cajuns were 8-4 (and were bowl eligible) and won the won their bowl game over #75 ranked East Carolina (43-34) to finish the season at 9-4 overall. Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Ragin' Cajuns SOS was plus or minus one standard deviaiton of the "league" SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best win was over #56 ranked Western Kentucky (31-27) and their worst loss was to #95 ranked North Texas by a score of (23-30). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #51 ranked team in total production with the #33 ranked offense and the #71 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2013 (8 wins vacated)
At the end of the regular season the Ragin' Cajuns were 8-4 (and were bowl eligible) and defeated #68 ranked Tulane (24-21) to finish the season at 9-4 overall. Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best victory was against #36 ranked Western Kentucky (37-20) and their worst loss was to #102 ranked Arkansas by a score of (14-34). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #52 ranked team in total production with the #39 ranked offense and the #72 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2015
Louisiana-Lafayette finished the regular season overall at 4-8 (bowl ineligible). Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best game again was their victory over #53 ranked Georgia State (23-21) and their worst loss was to #119 ranked New Mexico State (34-37). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #104 ranked team in total production with the #111 ranked offense and the #83 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2016
At the end of the regular season the Ragin' Cajuns were 6-6 (and were bowl eligible) and were defeated by #52 ranked Southern Mississippi (21-28) to finish 6-7 overall, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best win was over #29 ranked Arkansas State (24-19) and their worst loss was to #120 ranked New Mexico State by a score of (31-37). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #75 ranked team in total production with the #115 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017
At the time of Hudspeth's firing, the Ragin' Cajuns were 5-7 (and bowl ineligible) while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best win was over currently ranked #50 ranked New Mexico State (47-34) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #108 ranked Georgia Southern by a score of (24-34). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #123 ranked team in total production with the #54 ranked offense and the #130 ranked defense (i.e. the worst in all of the FBS) from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns football program during Hudspeth's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue). Louisiana (or Louisiana-Lafayette) has been below average during the last three seasons with Hudspeth at the helm of the Ragin' Cajuns. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. More details about the program under Hudspeth including a link to his most recent contract extension are after the chart below.
Mark Hudspeth [2011 - 2017]
2011 (8 wins vacated)
Louisiana-Lafayette finished the regular season overall at 8-4 (bowl eligible) and defeated #41 ranked San Diego State in their post-season bowl game by a score of (32-30) to finish the season at 9-4. Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Ragin' Cajuns SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the average SOS of the "league". The Ragin' Cajuns best game was their victory over #37 ranked Florida International (36-31) and their worst loss was to #89 ranked Western Kentucky (23-42). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #57 ranked team in total production with the #34 ranked offense and the #73 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2012 (4 wins vacated)
At the end of the regular season the Ragin' Cajuns were 8-4 (and were bowl eligible) and won the won their bowl game over #75 ranked East Carolina (43-34) to finish the season at 9-4 overall. Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Ragin' Cajuns SOS was plus or minus one standard deviaiton of the "league" SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best win was over #56 ranked Western Kentucky (31-27) and their worst loss was to #95 ranked North Texas by a score of (23-30). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #51 ranked team in total production with the #33 ranked offense and the #71 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2013 (8 wins vacated)
At the end of the regular season the Ragin' Cajuns were 8-4 (and were bowl eligible) and defeated #68 ranked Tulane (24-21) to finish the season at 9-4 overall. Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best victory was against #36 ranked Western Kentucky (37-20) and their worst loss was to #102 ranked Arkansas by a score of (14-34). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #52 ranked team in total production with the #39 ranked offense and the #72 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2014 (2 wins vacated)
The Ragin' Cajuns again finished the regular season at 8-4 and were again bowl eligible, defeating #70 ranked Nevada by a score of (16-3) to finish at 9-4 overall for the fourth straight season. Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best regular season game was a victory (55-40) over #50 ranked Arkansas State and their worst loss was to #34 ranked Appalachian State by a score of (16-35). Overall, the Ragin' Cajuns had the #57 ranked team with the #53 ranked offense and the #65 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
The Ragin' Cajuns again finished the regular season at 8-4 and were again bowl eligible, defeating #70 ranked Nevada by a score of (16-3) to finish at 9-4 overall for the fourth straight season. Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best regular season game was a victory (55-40) over #50 ranked Arkansas State and their worst loss was to #34 ranked Appalachian State by a score of (16-35). Overall, the Ragin' Cajuns had the #57 ranked team with the #53 ranked offense and the #65 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2015
Louisiana-Lafayette finished the regular season overall at 4-8 (bowl ineligible). Louisiana-Lafayette played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best game again was their victory over #53 ranked Georgia State (23-21) and their worst loss was to #119 ranked New Mexico State (34-37). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #104 ranked team in total production with the #111 ranked offense and the #83 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2016
At the end of the regular season the Ragin' Cajuns were 6-6 (and were bowl eligible) and were defeated by #52 ranked Southern Mississippi (21-28) to finish 6-7 overall, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best win was over #29 ranked Arkansas State (24-19) and their worst loss was to #120 ranked New Mexico State by a score of (31-37). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #75 ranked team in total production with the #115 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017
At the time of Hudspeth's firing, the Ragin' Cajuns were 5-7 (and bowl ineligible) while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Ragin' Cajuns best win was over currently ranked #50 ranked New Mexico State (47-34) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #108 ranked Georgia Southern by a score of (24-34). Louisiana-Lafayette had the #123 ranked team in total production with the #54 ranked offense and the #130 ranked defense (i.e. the worst in all of the FBS) from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017 NCAA FBS Head Coach Changes
Minnesota and Tracy Claeys
California and Sonny Dykes
Oklahoma and Bob Stoops
Mississippi (Ole Miss) and Hugh Freeze
UTEP and Sean Kugler
Oregon State and Gary Andersen
Georgia Southern and Tyson Summers
Florida and Jim McElwain
Tennessee and Butch Jones
UCLA and Jim Mora
South Alabama and Joey Jones
Arkansas and Bret Bielema
Nebraska and Mike Riley
Arizona State and Todd Graham
Kent State and Paul Haynes
Mississippi State and Dan MullenMinnesota and Tracy Claeys
California and Sonny Dykes
Oklahoma and Bob Stoops
Mississippi (Ole Miss) and Hugh Freeze
UTEP and Sean Kugler
Oregon State and Gary Andersen
Georgia Southern and Tyson Summers
Florida and Jim McElwain
Tennessee and Butch Jones
UCLA and Jim Mora
South Alabama and Joey Jones
Arkansas and Bret Bielema
Nebraska and Mike Riley
Arizona State and Todd Graham
Kent State and Paul Haynes
Tuesday, December 5, 2017
David Bailiff is Out at Rice
Rice fired head football coach David Bailiff after eleven seasons as head football coach. Rice was 57-80 during his tenure at the helm of the Owls program. I will look at the Rice program from 2008 (Bailiff's second year as Rice's head football coach since the data that I use starts with the 2008 season).
Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Rice Owls football program during Bailiff's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue). Rice has been below average during most of Bailiff's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. More details about the program under Bailiff are after the chart below.
David Bailiff [2007 - 2017]
2008
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 9-3 and bowl eligible defeating #56 ranked Western Michigan (38-14) to finish 10-3 overall. Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the average SOS of the "league". The Owls best win was over cross town rival, #27 ranked Houston by a score of (56-42) and their worst game was a loss to #66 ranked Vanderbilt by a score of (21-38). Rice had the #48 ranked team in total production with the #13 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. This was Rice's best season under Bailiff.
2010
The Owls again finished the regular season at 4-8 and were again bowl ineligible. Rice again played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best regular season game was a victory (34-31) over #63 ranked Houston and their worst loss was to #94 ranked UTEP by a score of (24-44). Overall, the Owls had the #105 ranked team with the #80 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2011
Rice again finished the regular season overall at 4-8 (bowl ineligible). Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best game again was their victory over #71 ranked Purdue (24-22) and their worst loss was to #92 ranked Marshall by a score of (20-24). Rice had the #103 ranked team in total production with the #80 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2012
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 6-6 (and were bowl eligible) and defeated #81 ranked Air Force (33-14) to finish 7-6 overall. Rice played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Rice's SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league" SOS. The Owls best win was over #57 ranked SMU (36-14) and their worst loss was to #85 ranked Houston by a score of (14-35). Rice had the #64 ranked team in total production with the #36 ranked offense and the #92 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2013
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 9-3 (and were bowl eligible). Rice defeated #8 ranked Marshall for the Conference USA championship (41-24) and were defeated by #47 ranked Mississippi State (7-44) to finish 10-4 overall. Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best victory was against #58 ranked Florida Atlantic (18-14) and their worst loss was to #33 ranked North Texas by a score of (16-28). Rice had the #50 ranked team in total production with the #54 ranked offense and the #58 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2015
Rice finished the regular season overall at 5-7 and were bowl ineligible. Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best game again was their victory over #63 ranked Army (38-31) and their worst loss was to #115 ranked UTEP (21-24). Rice had the #109 ranked team in total production with the #92 ranked offense and the #109 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2016
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 3-9 (and were bowl ineligible) while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best win was over #82 ranked UTEP (44-24) and their worst loss was to #118 ranked Florida Atlantic by a score of (25-42). Rice had the #124 ranked team in total production with the #98 ranked offense and the #125 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Rice Owls football program during Bailiff's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue). Rice has been below average during most of Bailiff's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. More details about the program under Bailiff are after the chart below.
David Bailiff [2007 - 2017]
2008
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 9-3 and bowl eligible defeating #56 ranked Western Michigan (38-14) to finish 10-3 overall. Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the average SOS of the "league". The Owls best win was over cross town rival, #27 ranked Houston by a score of (56-42) and their worst game was a loss to #66 ranked Vanderbilt by a score of (21-38). Rice had the #48 ranked team in total production with the #13 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. This was Rice's best season under Bailiff.
2009
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 2-10 and bowl ineligible. The Owls again played against a "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best regular season victory was over #104 ranked UTEP (30-29) and their worst loss was again to #90 ranked Vanderbilt by a score of (17-36). Rice had the #122 ranked team in total production with the #1114 ranked offense and the #122 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 2-10 and bowl ineligible. The Owls again played against a "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best regular season victory was over #104 ranked UTEP (30-29) and their worst loss was again to #90 ranked Vanderbilt by a score of (17-36). Rice had the #122 ranked team in total production with the #1114 ranked offense and the #122 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2010
The Owls again finished the regular season at 4-8 and were again bowl ineligible. Rice again played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best regular season game was a victory (34-31) over #63 ranked Houston and their worst loss was to #94 ranked UTEP by a score of (24-44). Overall, the Owls had the #105 ranked team with the #80 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2011
Rice again finished the regular season overall at 4-8 (bowl ineligible). Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best game again was their victory over #71 ranked Purdue (24-22) and their worst loss was to #92 ranked Marshall by a score of (20-24). Rice had the #103 ranked team in total production with the #80 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2012
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 6-6 (and were bowl eligible) and defeated #81 ranked Air Force (33-14) to finish 7-6 overall. Rice played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Rice's SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league" SOS. The Owls best win was over #57 ranked SMU (36-14) and their worst loss was to #85 ranked Houston by a score of (14-35). Rice had the #64 ranked team in total production with the #36 ranked offense and the #92 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2013
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 9-3 (and were bowl eligible). Rice defeated #8 ranked Marshall for the Conference USA championship (41-24) and were defeated by #47 ranked Mississippi State (7-44) to finish 10-4 overall. Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best victory was against #58 ranked Florida Atlantic (18-14) and their worst loss was to #33 ranked North Texas by a score of (16-28). Rice had the #50 ranked team in total production with the #54 ranked offense and the #58 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2014
The Owls again finished the regular season at 7-5 and were again bowl eligible, defeating to #108 ranked Fresno State by a score of (30-6). Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best regular season game was a victory over #69 ranked UTEP (31-13) and their worst loss was to #78 ranked Old Dominion by a score of (42-45). Overall, the Owls had the #66 ranked team with the #60 ranked offense and the #64 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
The Owls again finished the regular season at 7-5 and were again bowl eligible, defeating to #108 ranked Fresno State by a score of (30-6). Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best regular season game was a victory over #69 ranked UTEP (31-13) and their worst loss was to #78 ranked Old Dominion by a score of (42-45). Overall, the Owls had the #66 ranked team with the #60 ranked offense and the #64 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2015
Rice finished the regular season overall at 5-7 and were bowl ineligible. Rice played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best game again was their victory over #63 ranked Army (38-31) and their worst loss was to #115 ranked UTEP (21-24). Rice had the #109 ranked team in total production with the #92 ranked offense and the #109 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2016
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 3-9 (and were bowl ineligible) while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls best win was over #82 ranked UTEP (44-24) and their worst loss was to #118 ranked Florida Atlantic by a score of (25-42). Rice had the #124 ranked team in total production with the #98 ranked offense and the #125 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 1-11 (and were bowl ineligible) while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls only victory was over #129 ranked UTEP (31-14) and their worst loss was to #113 ranked Old Dominion by a score of (21-24). Rice had the #122 ranked team in total production with the #119 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
At the end of the regular season the Owls were 1-11 (and were bowl ineligible) while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Owls only victory was over #129 ranked UTEP (31-14) and their worst loss was to #113 ranked Old Dominion by a score of (21-24). Rice had the #122 ranked team in total production with the #119 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017 NCAA FBS Head Coach Changes
Minnesota and Tracy Claeys
California and Sonny Dykes
Oklahoma and Bob Stoops
Mississippi (Ole Miss) and Hugh Freeze
UTEP and Sean Kugler
Oregon State and Gary Andersen
Georgia Southern and Tyson Summers
Florida and Jim McElwain
Tennessee and Butch Jones
UCLA and Jim Mora
South Alabama and Joey Jones
Arkansas and Bret Bielema
Nebraska and Mike Riley
Arizona State and Todd Graham
Kent State and Paul Haynes
Mississippi State and Dan MullenMinnesota and Tracy Claeys
California and Sonny Dykes
Oklahoma and Bob Stoops
Mississippi (Ole Miss) and Hugh Freeze
UTEP and Sean Kugler
Oregon State and Gary Andersen
Georgia Southern and Tyson Summers
Florida and Jim McElwain
Tennessee and Butch Jones
UCLA and Jim Mora
South Alabama and Joey Jones
Arkansas and Bret Bielema
Nebraska and Mike Riley
Arizona State and Todd Graham
Kent State and Paul Haynes
Monday, December 4, 2017
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 14
Below is the Top 25 ranked teams using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided at www.cfbstats.com. According to the Complex Invasion College Football production model, Ohio State University is now on top as the most productive team in all of the Football
Bowl Subdivision as of the end of last week. Links to the previous
weeks rankings for this season are at the bottom of the page.
Previous 2017 Top 25 Rankings
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #13
| Rank | Team |
| 1 | Ohio State |
| 2 | Alabama |
| 3 | Washington |
| 4 | Penn State |
| 5 | Wisconsin |
| 6 | Georgia |
| 7 | UCF |
| 8 | Clemson |
| 9 | Louisville |
| 10 | TCU |
| 11 | Miami (Florida) |
| 12 | San Diego State |
| 13 | Memphis |
| 14 | LSU |
| 15 | Toledo |
| 16 | Boise State |
| 17 | USC |
| 18 | Appalachian State |
| 19 | Notre Dame |
| 20 | Mississippi State |
| 21 | Virginia Tech |
| 22 | Troy |
| 23 | Fresno State |
| 24 | Arkansas State |
| 25 | South Florida |
Previous 2017 Top 25 Rankings
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #13
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #12
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #11
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #10
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #9
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #8
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #7
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #6
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #5
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #4
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #3
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #2
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #11
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #10
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #9
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #8
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #7
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #6
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #5
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #4
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #3
2017 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #2
Sunday, December 3, 2017
Jimbo Fisher Leaves Florida State for Texas A&M
Jimbo Fisher has moved as head football coach from Florida State to Texas A&M. Fisher finished at 83-23 over the last eight seasons at the helm of the Seminoles program.
Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Florida State University Seminoles football program during Fisher's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue). Florida State has been above average during most of Fisher's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. More details about the program under Fisher are after the chart below, including a link to his employment contract are below.
Jimbo Fisher [2010-2017]
2011
Florida State finished the regular season overall at 8-4 (bowl eligible) and defeated by #38 ranked Notre Dame in their post-season bowl game by a score of (18-14) to finish the season at 9-4. Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the average SOS of the league. The Seminoles best game again was their victory over #42 ranked North Carolina State (34-0) and their worst loss was to #74 ranked Virginia (13-14). Florida State had the #14 ranked team in total production with the #45 ranked offense and the #4 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2012
At the end of the regular season the Seminoles were 10-2 (and were bowl eligible) and won the ACC conference championship by defeating #50 ranked Georgia Tech (21-15) and then won their bowl game over #6 ranked Northern Illinois (31-10) to finish the season at 12-2 overall. Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best win was over #18 ranked Clemson (49-37) and their worst loss was to #69 ranked North Carolina State by a score of (16-17). Florida State had the #2 ranked team in total production with the #6 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. This was an amazing team, only to be bettered in the next season.
2013
At the end of the regular season the Seminoles were 12-0 (and were bowl eligible) and won the ACC conference championship by defeating #63 ranked Duke (45-7) and then won the "national championship" game over #30 ranked Auburn (34-31) to finish the season at 14-0 overall and claim the national championship. Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best victory was against #10 ranked Clemson (51-14). Florida State had the #1 ranked team in total production with the #1 ranked offense and the #3 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. This was an amazing team as well.
2015
Florida State finished the regular season overall at 10-2 (bowl eligible) and were defeated by #9 ranked Houston in their post-season bowl game by a score of (24-38) to finish the season at 10-3. Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best game again was their victory over #18 ranked South Florida (34-14) and their worst loss was to #52 ranked Georgia Tech (16-22). Florida State had the #16 ranked team in total production with the #41 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2016
At the end of the regular season the Seminoles were 10-2 (and were bowl eligible) defeating #4 ranked Michigan (33-32) while playing against a "much tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Seminoles SOS was two or more standard deviations below the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best win was over #13 ranked Miami (FL) (20-19) and their worst loss was to #26 ranked North Carolina by a score of (35-37). Florida State had the #24 ranked team in total production with the #33 ranked offense and the #40 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017
At the time that Fisher left for Texas A&M, the Seminoles were 5-6 (and at the time were bowl ineligible) while playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best win was over currently ranked #38 Wake Forest (26-19) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #52 ranked Boston College by a score of (3-35). Florida State had the #74 ranked team in total production with the #111 ranked offense and the #19 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Florida State University Seminoles football program during Fisher's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue). Florida State has been above average during most of Fisher's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. More details about the program under Fisher are after the chart below, including a link to his employment contract are below.
Jimbo Fisher [2010-2017]
2010
The Seminoles finished the regular season at 9-4 and were bowl eligible where they defeated #31 ranked South Carolina by a score of (26-17). Florida State played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Seminoles SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best regular season game was a victory (30-16) over #28 ranked Maryland and their worst loss was to #38 ranked North Carolina by a score of (35-37). Overall, the Seminoles had the #23 ranked team with the #31 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
The Seminoles finished the regular season at 9-4 and were bowl eligible where they defeated #31 ranked South Carolina by a score of (26-17). Florida State played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Seminoles SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best regular season game was a victory (30-16) over #28 ranked Maryland and their worst loss was to #38 ranked North Carolina by a score of (35-37). Overall, the Seminoles had the #23 ranked team with the #31 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2011
Florida State finished the regular season overall at 8-4 (bowl eligible) and defeated by #38 ranked Notre Dame in their post-season bowl game by a score of (18-14) to finish the season at 9-4. Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the average SOS of the league. The Seminoles best game again was their victory over #42 ranked North Carolina State (34-0) and their worst loss was to #74 ranked Virginia (13-14). Florida State had the #14 ranked team in total production with the #45 ranked offense and the #4 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2012
At the end of the regular season the Seminoles were 10-2 (and were bowl eligible) and won the ACC conference championship by defeating #50 ranked Georgia Tech (21-15) and then won their bowl game over #6 ranked Northern Illinois (31-10) to finish the season at 12-2 overall. Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best win was over #18 ranked Clemson (49-37) and their worst loss was to #69 ranked North Carolina State by a score of (16-17). Florida State had the #2 ranked team in total production with the #6 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. This was an amazing team, only to be bettered in the next season.
2013
At the end of the regular season the Seminoles were 12-0 (and were bowl eligible) and won the ACC conference championship by defeating #63 ranked Duke (45-7) and then won the "national championship" game over #30 ranked Auburn (34-31) to finish the season at 14-0 overall and claim the national championship. Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best victory was against #10 ranked Clemson (51-14). Florida State had the #1 ranked team in total production with the #1 ranked offense and the #3 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model. This was an amazing team as well.
2014
The Seminoles again finished the regular season at 12-0 and were again bowl eligible, defeating #15 ranked Georgia Tech in the ACC conference championship game by a score of (37-35), but were defeated by #2 ranked Oregon (20-59) to finish at 13-1 overall. Florida State played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best regular season game was a victory (23-17) over #11 ranked Clemson. Overall, the Seminoles had the #43 ranked team with the #24 ranked offense and the #93 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
The Seminoles again finished the regular season at 12-0 and were again bowl eligible, defeating #15 ranked Georgia Tech in the ACC conference championship game by a score of (37-35), but were defeated by #2 ranked Oregon (20-59) to finish at 13-1 overall. Florida State played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best regular season game was a victory (23-17) over #11 ranked Clemson. Overall, the Seminoles had the #43 ranked team with the #24 ranked offense and the #93 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2015
Florida State finished the regular season overall at 10-2 (bowl eligible) and were defeated by #9 ranked Houston in their post-season bowl game by a score of (24-38) to finish the season at 10-3. Florida State played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best game again was their victory over #18 ranked South Florida (34-14) and their worst loss was to #52 ranked Georgia Tech (16-22). Florida State had the #16 ranked team in total production with the #41 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2016
At the end of the regular season the Seminoles were 10-2 (and were bowl eligible) defeating #4 ranked Michigan (33-32) while playing against a "much tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Seminoles SOS was two or more standard deviations below the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best win was over #13 ranked Miami (FL) (20-19) and their worst loss was to #26 ranked North Carolina by a score of (35-37). Florida State had the #24 ranked team in total production with the #33 ranked offense and the #40 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017
At the time that Fisher left for Texas A&M, the Seminoles were 5-6 (and at the time were bowl ineligible) while playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Seminoles best win was over currently ranked #38 Wake Forest (26-19) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #52 ranked Boston College by a score of (3-35). Florida State had the #74 ranked team in total production with the #111 ranked offense and the #19 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017 NCAA FBS Head Coach Changes
Minnesota and Tracy Claeys
California and Sonny Dykes
Oklahoma and Bob Stoops
Mississippi (Ole Miss) and Hugh Freeze
UTEP and Sean Kugler
Oregon State and Gary Andersen
Georgia Southern and Tyson Summers
Florida and Jim McElwain
Tennessee and Butch Jones
UCLA and Jim Mora
South Alabama and Joey Jones
Arkansas and Bret Bielema
Nebraska and Mike Riley
Arizona State and Todd Graham
Kent State and Paul Haynes
Minnesota and Tracy Claeys
California and Sonny Dykes
Oklahoma and Bob Stoops
Mississippi (Ole Miss) and Hugh Freeze
UTEP and Sean Kugler
Oregon State and Gary Andersen
Georgia Southern and Tyson Summers
Florida and Jim McElwain
Tennessee and Butch Jones
UCLA and Jim Mora
South Alabama and Joey Jones
Arkansas and Bret Bielema
Nebraska and Mike Riley
Arizona State and Todd Graham
Kent State and Paul Haynes
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