The Sugar Bowl pits the Florida Gators of the Southeastern Conference against the Louisville Cardinals of the Big East Conference. Here is how each team looks in terms of the NCAA FBS Production Model.
The Florida Gators are currently 11-1 playing against a tougher strength of schedule than the average for the "league". Florida's most impressive wins was over currently ranked #4 Florida State and their only loss was to currently ranked #7 Georgia. Florida is currently ranked as the #9 team in overall productivity with the #63 most productive offense and the #2 most productive defense - yes even better than one of the two teams playing for the "national championship" in a few days. Who, you ask? You will have to wait until I post the blog for the "national championship" game the day of the game.
Louisville is currently 10-2 playing against an average strength of schedule. Louisville's best game was a win over currently ranked #11 Cincinnati and of their two losses, the worst of the two was to currently ranked #65 Connecticut. Louisville is currently ranked as the #37 most productive team in the "league", with the #42 most productive offense and the #30 most productive defense.
Florida is more productive overall as compare to Louisville, thus the model would "predict" that Florida will win tonight's Sugar Bowl.