Tuesday, January 1, 2013

Rose Bowl 2012

The "grand-daddy of them all" - the Rose Bowl - is being played by the Stanford Cardinal of the PAC 12 Conference and the Wisconsin Badgers of the Big 10 Conference.  Using the NCAA FBS Production Model, let's see how productive each team has been this season.

Stanford is currently 11-2 after defeating UCLA in the PAC 12 championship game, and playing a tougher strength of schedule than the league average.  Stanford's best win of the season was over currently ranked #2 University of Oregon and their worst loss was to currently ranked #52 University of Washington.  Stanford is currently ranked as the #18 most productive team overall with the #38 most productive offense and the #16 most productive defense.

Wisconsin is currently 8-5 after defeating Nebraska in the Big 10 championship game while playing against an average strength of schedule.  Wisconsin's best win of the season was against currently ranked #6 Utah State and their worst loss was to currently ranked #46 Michigan State.  Wisconsin is currently ranked as the #25 team in overall productivity with the #34 ranked offense and the #26 ranked defense.

Given Stanford is ranked higher in overall productivity than Wisconsin, the model "predicts" that Stanford will win the Rose Bowl today.