Friday, January 4, 2013

Cotton Bowl 2012

The Cotton Bowl has the Oklahoma Sooners of the Big 12 Conference against the Texas A&M Aggies of the SEC.  Here is how each team stacks up using the NCAA FBS Production Model.

Oklahoma is currently 10-2 playing an average strength of schedule.  Oklahoma's best victory of the season was against currently ranked #43 TCU.  Both of the Sooner's losses were to currently ranked top 20 teams in the NCAA FBS Production model (#5 Notre Dame and #16 Kansas State).  Oklahoma is currently the #26 most productive team in the nation with the #19 most productive offense and the #42 most productive defense.

Texas A&M is also 10-2 and has also played an average strength of schedule.  Texas A&M's best win was against currently ranked #1 Alabama and their two losses were to teams ranked in the top 20 (#9 Florida and #14 LSU).  Texas A&M is currently the #13 most productive team in the FBS with the #6 most productive offense and the #43 most productive defense.

Given that Texas A&M is more productive than Oklahoma, the model "predicts" that Texas A&M will win tonight's Cotton Bowl.