Let's look at the tale of the tape in tonight's Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl.
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: Boston College (7-5) vs. Nevada (12-1)
Boston College (#61) overall in production has an offense that is ranked #91 and a defense that is ranked #13. Boston College also has a 60.75, with their best win against #35 Clemson and BC's worst loss against #50 Notre Dame.
Nevada (#7) overall in production has an offense that is ranked #6 and a defense that is ranked #52. Nevada also has a SOS of 80.23, with their best win against #1 Boise State and their only loss coming to #6 Hawai'i.
Thus based only on the production model Nevada is favored over Boston College, so I expect that Nevada will be the winner of the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl this year.