Monday, January 10, 2011

BCS Title Game

Finally the BCS title game as chosen by the BCS polls and computer models pitting the #3 most productive team in the nation - Oregon - against the #12 most productive team in the nation - Auburn.

BCS Title Game: Auburn (13-0) vs. Oregon (12-0)
Auburn (#12) overall in production has an offense that is ranked #7 and a defense that is ranked #57. Auburn also has a SOS of 49.85, with their best win over #4 Alabama in terms of overall production.

Oregon (#3) overall in production has an offense that is ranked #1 and a defense that is ranked #8. Oregon also has a SOS of 75.00, with their best win over Stanford (ranked #11 in overall production).

What will be interesting to see is how well Oregon's offense and Auburn's defense play. To me this is the most interesting match up on the field. I think whichever side of this match-up has the best game will determine the outcome, which may not be the conventional wisdom. Thus based only on the production model Oregon is favored over Auburn. So let's stay with the model and choose Oregon.

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