Monday, October 21, 2013

2013 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 8

Here is the latest NCAA FBS rankings using on-field production, which is based on team's acquiring possession and keeping their opponents from acquiring the ball, how well team's move the ball and how well they keep their opponent from moving the ball, how well they maintain possession of the ball and how well they keep their opponent from maintaining possession of the ball and the teams scoring efficiency and their opponents scoring efficiency and then I make a conference adjustment if statistically relevant.

These NCAA FBS Top 25 rankings are based on regression analysis using the data posted at College Football Statistics based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model, which I have outlined above.

Rank Team
1 Baylor
2 Oregon
3 Louisville
4 Florida State
5 Arizona State
6 Oregon State
7 Wisconsin
8 Oklahoma State
9 Alabama
10 UCLA
11 Miami (Florida)
12 Utah State
13 Texas Tech
14 Missouri
15 Fresno State
16 Arizona
17 Boise State
18 Ohio State
19 Stanford
20 Oklahoma
21 Texas
22 Washington
23 Cincinnati
24 Houston
25 Michigan State

So one may ask given that Louisville lost last week why they did not drop and that Clemson did lose last week, that they completely dropped from the top 25?  My answer is that the production model is based on total offense and defense production relative to the other teams in the "league".  Hence, Louisville's loss was a close difference where Clemson's loss was not as close in terms of relative production, so Louisville has dropped in terms of their totals and Florida State has risen in terms of their totals, but Louisville has not dropped enough for Florida State to jump over them (but are really close).

Previous Top 25 Ranks for 2013
2013 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 7
2013 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 6
2013 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 5
2013 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 4
2013 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 3
2013 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 2