Friday, September 13, 2013

Trouble in Texas

After being man-handled by BYU over the past weekend, head football coach Mack Brown of the University of Texas fired their defensive coordinator according to ESPN.  So let's take an in depth look at the University of Texas Longhorn's football team over the last few years using my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from 2008 to 2012.

Below is a table with Texas' wins, losses, total production rank, offensive production rank, defensive production rank and average strength of schedule.  The lower the rank number the better their production.  As you can see, Texas was a very productive team during the 2008 and 2009 seasons, and then the Texas Longhorn offense declined dramatically leading to below average production in the 2010 season.  The 2011 and 2012 seasons resulted with above average production but was no where near their 2008 and 2009 performances.  Given that Texas has had top 10 recruiting classes from 2008 to 2012 (according to ESPN), why are the Longhorns not performing better?





NCAA Production Rank

Season Wins Losses
Total Offense Defense
SOS
2008 12 1
5 6 30
51.69
2009 13 1
5 6 11
57.07
2010 5 7
70 87 33
63.00
2011 8 5
46 65 27
60.69
2012 9 4
53 37 64
54.54