Using the AP Poll here are the four marquis games for this week and analysis using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
AP #6 LSU vs. AP #9 Georgia
LSU (4-0) is currently ranked using the NCAA FBS Production Model (linked above) as the #9 most productive team in the football bowl subdivision with the #10 most productive offense and the #25 most productive defense. LSU has not played any team that is currently above average in terms of production. That said, LSU still has played an average strength of schedule or SOS (SOS = 92.00 which is within one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS).
Georgia (2-1) is currently ranked using the NCAA FBS Production Model as the #37 most productive team overall with the #32 most productive offense and the #54 most productive defense. The Bulldogs are (1-1) against above average teams using the production model and have played an average SOS of 61.67 which is within one standard devation the average SOS for the "league"
AP #14 Oklahoma vs. AP #22 Notre Dame
Oklahoma (3-0) is currently ranked using the NCAA FBS Production Model as the #31 most productive team in the football bowl
subdivision with the #60 most productive offense and the #15 most
productive defense. The Sooners are (1-0) against above average productive teams (West Virginia). OU has played an
average strength of schedule or SOS (SOS = 91.00 which is within one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS).
Notre Dame (3-1) is currently ranked using the NCAA FBS Production Model as the
#55 most productive team overall with the #66 most productive offense
and the #59 most productive defense. The Irish are (1-1) against above
average teams using the production model and has played an average SOS
of 72.75.
AP #21 Mississippi vs. AP #1 Alabama
Mississippi (3-0) is currently ranked using the NCAA FBS Production Model as the #41 most productive team in the football bowl
subdivision with the #58 most productive offense and the #33 most
productive defense. Ole Miss are 1-0 against teams that are currently above
average in terms of production. The Rebels have played an
average strength of schedule or SOS (SOS = 82.33 which is within one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS).
Alabama (3-0) is currently ranked using the NCAA FBS Production Model as the
#42 most productive team overall with the #42 most productive offense
and the #50 most productive defense. The Crimson Tide are (2-0) against above
average teams using the production model and has played an tougher SOS = 56.67. I concluded that Alabama's SOS is tougher given that their SOS is less than one standard deviation from the "league" SOS.
AP #23 Wisconsin vs. #4 Ohio State
Wisconsin (3-1) is currently ranked using the NCAA FBS Production Model as the #5 most productive team in the FBS with the #7 most productive offense and the #10 most
productive defense. The Badgers are (0-1 loss to Arizona State) against teams that are currently above
average in terms of production. Wisconsin still has played an easier strength of schedule or SOS (SOS = 101.50 which is greater than one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS).
Ohio State (4-0) is currently ranked using the NCAA FBS Production Model as the
#6 most productive team overall with the #6 most productive offense
and the #20 most productive defense. The Buckeyes have not yet played a team that is above
average teams using the production model and has played an average SOS
of 112.00 which is easier than the average SOS for the "league" given that OSU's SOS is currently greater than one standard deviation above the leagues average SOS.