Friday, November 30, 2012

2012 MAC Championship Game

This year the Mid-American Conference's championship game will be between the Northern Illinois Huskies and the Kent State Golden Flashes and will be held on Friday at Ford Field in Detroit Michigan.  This game will feature two nationally ranked BCS teams with Kent State ranked in the BCS poll at #17 and Northern Illinois ranked at #21.  My model has the two teams switched, so here are the basics.

Kent State is currently the #25 ranked team overall using my FBS college production model, with the currently #20 ranked offense and the currently #38 ranked defense.  Northern Illinois University is currently the #3 ranked team overall with the currently #3 ranked offense and the currently #15 ranked defense.  Both teams have played relatively easy schedules with NIU actually playing a strength of schedule that is more than two times the standard deviation from the average FBS strength of schedule.  Still, since the model has Northern Illinois University higher ranked in both offense, defense and overall, the model would predict that the NIU Huskies will be victorious tonight.

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