Monday, November 10, 2014

2014 NCAA Football Top 25 for Week 11

Now that week 11 is finished, here is the latest Complex Invasion College Football Production Model Top 25 rankings.  Marshall has re-taken the top spot in the Top 25, followed by Baylor, TCU and Oregon.

Rank Team
1 Marshall
2 Baylor
3 TCU
4 Oregon
5 Georgia Southern
6 Michigan State
7 Mississippi
8 Wisconsin
9 Alabama
10 Mississippi State
11 Georgia
12 Louisville
13 Ohio State
14 Nebraska
15 Auburn
16 Duke
17 Utah State
18 LSU
19 Louisiana Tech
20 Miami (Florida)
21 Arizona State
22 UCLA
23 Florida State
24 Georgia Tech
25 USC

Previous 2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 10
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 9
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 8
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 7
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 6
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 5
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 4
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 3
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 2  

Saturday, November 8, 2014

Competitive Balance in MLS

Now that the Major League Soccer regular season is over let's take a look at competitive balance in MLS for the 2014 season.  Using the Noll-Scully measure of competitive balance under the trinomial distribution (since ties are a part of the MLS) I find that competitive balance is higher for the 2014 regular season than the average over the last 15 seasons.  The Noll-Scully for 2014 is 1.488 which is still more competitive than the other "major" US sports leagues.  Yet the average Noll-Scully has been increasing - meaning that competitive balance is decreasing over the last five years.  Here is the Noll Scully since the 2000 regular season.

Monday, November 3, 2014

2014 NCAA Football Top 25 for Week 10

We are now 10 weeks into the regular season and again we have a new #1 team (or repeat) from two weeks ago: Michigan State.  Surprises are that Georgia Southern, Marshall, Memphis and Louisana Tech are also in the top 25.  There are still six SEC teams in the top 25 (Alabama, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Auburn, Georgia and LSU) and four Big 10 and four Big 12 teams as well.

Below is the list of Top 25 teams as of last week using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data from cfbstats.com.


Rank Team
1 Michigan State
2 Baylor
3 TCU
4 Georgia Southern
5 Marshall
6 Alabama
7 Oregon
8 Ohio State
9 Nebraska
10 Wisconsin
11 Mississippi
12 Miami (Florida)
13 Mississippi State
14 Auburn
15 Georgia
16 Oklahoma
17 East Carolina
18 Louisville
19 Duke
20 LSU
21 USC
22 Kansas State
23 Memphis
24 Louisiana Tech
25 Utah State

Previous 2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 9
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 8
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 7
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 6
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 5
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 4
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 3
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 2  

Friday, October 31, 2014

2014 NCAA Football Top 25 for Week 9

For some reason, I have been unable to post this week.  Most likely human error on my part.  Anyway this seems to work, so here is the top 25 at the end of last weekend using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data from cfbstats.com.
Again, we have a new number one team:  Marshall Thundering Herd!

Rank Team
1 Marshall
2 Michigan State
3 Baylor
4 TCU
5 Alabama
6 Mississippi
7 Georgia Southern
8 Oregon
9 Nebraska
10 Georgia
11 Auburn
12 Wisconsin
13 East Carolina
14 Ohio State
15 LSU
16 Mississippi State
17 Louisville
18 Duke
19 Stanford
20 Miami (Florida)
21 Florida State
22 Clemson
23 Oklahoma
24 Arkansas
25 Memphis

Previous 2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 8
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 7
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 6
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 5
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 4
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 3
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 2 

Thursday, October 30, 2014

BYU AD on CFB Scheduling

Last Fall semester I taught a First Year Freshman Seminar on College Football and one of the topics we talked about was the economic reason for athletic conferences (and the incentives for schools to move between conferences).  One of the reasons I discussed was that conferences reduce transactions costs of scheduling.  Here is a really good article about BYU (independent) on football scheduling.

Monday, October 20, 2014

2014 NCAA Football Top 25 for Week 8

We are now halfway through the 2014 NCAA football season.  Here is the latest top 25 based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data from cfbstats.com.  Notice that we have a new number one team in the Michigan State Spartans.

Rank Team
1 Michigan State
2 East Carolina
3 Nebraska
4 Marshall
5 Baylor
6 Wisconsin
7 USC
8 Mississippi
9 Houston
10 Minnesota
11 Alabama
12 Maryland
13 Georgia
14 Memphis
15 Penn State
16 Iowa
17 Utah State
18 TCU
19 UCLA
20 Oregon
21 Northern Illinois
22 Georgia Southern
23 UAB
24 Auburn
25 LSU

Previous 2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 7
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 6
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 5
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 4
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 3
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 2 

Monday, October 13, 2014

2014 NCAA Football Top 25 for Week 7

Here is the latest Top 25 based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data from cfbstats.com.  Of the top four teams, Auburn has dropped from #4 to #7 and Georgia Southern has moved into the top 4.  Yes, that is a shock to me as well.

Notice that the SEC has 7 teams in the top 25, and that Florida State is back in the top 25 at #24.

Rank Team
1 Baylor
2 Michigan State
3 Marshall
4 Georgia Southern
5 Georgia
6 Mississippi
7 Auburn
8 East Carolina
9 Louisville
10 Alabama
11 Duke
12 Mississippi State
13 Oklahoma
14 Oregon
15 Nebraska
16 Wisconsin
17 Kentucky
18 Texas A&M
19 TCU
20 Miami (Florida)
21 LSU
22 Stanford
23 Clemson
24 Florida State
25 Notre Dame

Previous 2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 6
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 5
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 4
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 3
2014 NCAA FBS Top 25 for Week 2