The figure below shows that Texas State fired head coach Franchione in 2015 and now head coach Withers in 2018. Withers inherited a team at the bottom of the FBS and as you can see in the figure below, Texas State has improved the last two seasons, but that was not enough for Withers to keep his job.
After the figure below, is a quick take with regard to the Texas State Bobcats during Withers' tenure as head coach using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com. Withers contract is also linked below.
Everett Withers [2016 - 2018]
2016
At the end of Withers' first season, the Bobcats finished the regular season at 2-10. The Bobcats played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Bobcats best win was over #54 ranked Ohio (56-54) and their worst loss was to #127 ranked Louisiana-Monroe by a score of (34-40). Texas State had the #128 ranked team in total production with the #125 ranked offense and the #121 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2017
Texas State again finished the regular season bowl ineligible with a 2-10 regular season win/loss record, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS. The Bobcats best win was again over #106 ranked Coastal Carolina (27-7) and their worst loss was to #109 ranked Louisiana-Monroe by a score of (27-45). Texas State had the #114 ranked team in total production with the #108 ranked offense and the #102 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2018*
Through week 12 - the time of head coach Withers firing - Texas State was 3-8, while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Texas State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the average "league" SOS. Texas State currently has the #82 ranked team in total production with the #103 ranked offense and the #61 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
2018 NCAA FBS Head Coaching Changes
Mike Jinks at Bowling Green
DJ Durkin at Maryland
Bobby Petrino and Louisville
Mike MacIntyre and Colorado