Paul Johnson Retires from Georgia Tech

Earlier today Paul Johnson retired as head football coach at Georgia Tech, even thought at the beginning of this year he signed a two year contract extension through 2022.  Johnson has been at the helm of the Yellow Jackets since 2008, the same season I started the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  So, let's see how the Yellow Jackets have performed during his eleven years as head football coach.

Below is a figure of the total, offensive, defensive, average and worst production ranks since the 2008 season.  As you can see, Georgia Tech has been an above average team for most of this time period, which is not true for many Football Bowl Subdivision programs.

Georgia Tech [2008-2018]

2008
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (9-3); and were bowl eligible, and were defeated by #38 ranked LSU (3-38) to finish the season (9-4), while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) meaning that the Yellow Jackets SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against in-state rival #22 ranked Georgia by a score of (45-42) and their worst loss was to #85 ranked Virginia (17-24).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #43 ranked team overall, with the #57 ranked offense and the #28 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2009
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (10-2).  The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets qualified to play in the ACC Conference Championship game where they defeated #10 ranked Clemson (39-34). The Yellow Jackets were defeated by #37 ranked Iowa in the Orange Bowl by a score (14-24) to finish the season (11-3), while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against #6 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (28-23) and their worst loss was to #72 ranked in-state rival Georgia (24-30).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #14 ranked team overall, with the #8 ranked offense and the #44 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2010
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (6-6); and were bowl eligible, and were defeated by #29 ranked Air Force (7-14) to finish the season (6-7), while playing against an “average” strength of schedule.  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against rival #38 ranked North Carolina by a score of (30-24) and their worst loss was to #114 ranked Kansas (25-28).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #76 ranked team overall, with the #52 ranked offense and the #98 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2011
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (8-4); and were bowl eligible, and were defeated by #48 ranked Utah (27-30) to finish the season (8-5), while playing against an “average” strength of schedule.  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against  #36 ranked North Carolina by a score of (35-28) and their worst loss was to #74 ranked Virginia (21-24).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #17 ranked team overall, with the #13 ranked offense and the #39 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2012
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (6-6); and qualified for the ACC Conference Championship game where they were defeated by #2 ranked Florida State by a score of (15-21).  The Yellow Jackets were bowl eligible, and defeated by #46 ranked USC (21-7) to finish the season (7-7), while playing against an “average” strength of schedule.  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against #26 ranked North Carolina by a score of (68-50) and their worst loss was to #77 ranked Middle Tennessee State by a score of (28-49).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #50 ranked team overall, with the #28 ranked offense and the #85 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2013
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (7-5); and were bowl eligible, and were defeated by #45 ranked Mississippi (17-25) to finish the season (7-6), while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) meaning that the Yellow Jackets SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against #41 ranked North Carolina by a score of (28-20) and their worst loss was to #54 ranked Virginia Tech (10-17).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #43 ranked team overall, with the #41 ranked offense and the #66 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2014
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (10-2); and qualified for the ACC Conference Championship game where they were defeated by #43 ranked Florida State by a score of (35-37).  The Yellow Jackets were bowl eligible, and defeated by #18 ranked Mississippi State by a score of (49-34) to finish the season (11-3), while playing against a “tougher” strength of schedule, meaning that the Yellow Jackets strength of schedule was between one and two standard deviations below the "league" average strength of schedule.  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against in-state rival #8 ranked Georgia (30-24) and their worst loss was to #98 ranked North Carolina by a score of (43-48).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #15 ranked team overall, with the #8 ranked offense and the #90 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2015
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (4-8); and were bowl ineligible, while playing against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS).  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against  #16 ranked Florida State by a score of (22-16) and their worst loss was to #94 ranked Virginia (21-27).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #52 ranked team overall, with the #66 ranked offense and the #36 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2016
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (8-4); and were bowl eligible, and defeated #88 ranked Kentucky (33-18) to finish the season (9-4), while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against #32 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (30-20) and their worst loss was to #61 ranked Pittsburgh (34-37).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #44 ranked team overall, with the #61 ranked offense and the #32 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2017
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at (5-6); and were bowl ineligible, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Georgia Tech's best game was their victory against  #28 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (28-22) and their worst loss was to #113 ranked Tennessee (41-42).  The Yellow Jackets finished the season as the #67 ranked team overall, with the #92 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2018

Even though the coach Johnson signed a contract extension at the beginning of the year, this ended up being his last season at the helm of the Yellow Jackets.  Georgia Tech is currently (7-5), and bowl eligible (bowl game and opponent yet to be determined).  To date, the Yellow Jackets played again against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), and their best win was against currently ranked #14 Miami (FL) by a score of (27-21) and their worst loss to currently ranked #94 Duke by a score of (14-28).  Currently, Georgia Tech is the #51 ranked team overall, #26 ranked offense and #73 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2018 NCAA FBS Head Coaching Changes
Mike Jinks at Bowling Green
DJ Durkin at Maryland
Bobby Petrino and Louisville
Mike MacIntyre and Colorado
Everett Withers and Texas State Brad Lambert and Charlotte 
Mark Whipple and Massachusetts
John Bonamego and Central Michigan
David Beaty and Kansas
Larry Fedora and North Carolina
Kliff Kingsbury and Texas Tech

Mike Sanford and Western Kentucky