Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Bowling Green Fires Head Coach Mike Jinks

Bowling Green State University has fired head football coach Mike Jinks.  So let's take a look at the Bowling Green Falcons using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Coach Jinks was hired as of December 8, 2015, so I am looking at the 2016, 2017 and up to his last game of the 2018 season.  Below is the total production rank, offensive production rank, defensive production rank, the worst rank and the average production rank for each season that head coach Mike Jinks was at the helm of the Bowling Green State University Falcons football team.  As you can see, Bowling Green has been towards the bottom of the "league" for the entire time.  For those interested, more details of the Bowling Green program is presented below.


2016
At the end of head coach Jinks' first season at the helm of the Falcons football program, Bowling Green had a 4-8 win/loss record, making them bowl ineligible.  The Falcons played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Bowling Green had an SOS plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  The Falcon's best win was over #87 ranked Kent State (42-7) and their worst loss was to #78 ranked Eastern Michigan by a score of (25-28).  Bowling Green had the #121 ranked team in total production with the #103 ranked offense and the #118 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2017
At the end of coach Jinks' second season as the Falcon's head coach, Bowling Green was again bowl ineligible, now with a 2-10 win/loss record.  Bowling Green again played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Falcons best win was over #64 ranked Miami (OH) (37-29) and their worst loss was to FCS South Dakota by a score of (27-35).  Bowling Green had the #120 ranked team in total production with the #102 ranked offense and the #125 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2018
At the time of coach Jinks' firing, the Falcons were 1-6, while playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Bowling Green had an SOS between one and two standard deviations below the "league" average SOS.  The Falcon's only win was over FCS Eastern Kentucky (42-35) and their worst loss was to #71 currently ranked Toledo by a score of (36-52).  Bowling Green has the #124 ranked team in total production with the #58 ranked offense and the #129 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

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