Friday, November 27, 2015

Norm Chow out at Hawai'i

Norm Chow has been fired as head football coach of the University of Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors.  Given the uncertainty surrounding the football program at Hawai'i, let's take a look at the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors under the last two head coaches:  Greg McMackin (2008-11) and Norm Chow (2012-15).


Head Football Coach Greg McMackin (2008-2011)

2008
Starting with head coach McMackin's first season as head coach, Hawai'i finished the 2008 regular season at 7-6 and lost their bowl game to #60 ranked Notre Dame 21-49 to finish 7-7 for the season.  For the season as a whole, the Warriors played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average, meaning that their actual SOS was within one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  Hawai'i's best game was their 38-31 victory over #32 ranked Nevada and their worst loss was to #103 ranked Utah State 14-30.  Overall, the Warriors had the #95 most productive college football team with the #65 ranked offense and the #104 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2009
The Warriors finished the regular season at 6-7.  Hawai'i played an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average, meaning that their actual SOS was between one and two standard deviations greater than the "league" average SOS.  Hawai'i best game was a 24-17 victory over #32 ranked Navy and their worst game was a 33-34 loss was to #108 ranked UNLV.  Overall, the Warriors had the #68 ranked team in terms of total production with the #41 ranked offense and the #94 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2010
Hawai'i finished the regular season at 10-3 and finished 10-4 with the loss to #26 ranked Tulsa in their bowl game.  Hawai'i again played an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that the Warriors had a SOS that was between one and two standard deviations above the "league" average SOS.  The Warriors best game was a 27-21 victory over #7 ranked Nevada, and their worst game was a 13-31 loss to #81 ranked Colorado.  Hawai'i finished the season with the #13 ranked team in overall productivity with the #3 ranked offense and the #74 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2011
Hawai'i finished the regular season at 6-7.   Hawai'i again played a "much easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their SOS was more than two standard deviations above the "league" average SOS.  The Warriors best game was a 44-26 victory over #39 ranked Louisiana Tech and their worst game was a 20-40 loss was to#117 ranked UNLV.  Hawai'i had the #63 ranked team in terms of total production with the #38 ranked offense and the #77 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.   At the end of the season, head football coach Greg McMackin resigned under pressure.


Head Football Coach Norm Chow (2012-2015)

2012  

Norm Chow was hired to replace head coach Greg McMackin in December 2011.   In terms of wins and losses, the University of Hawai'i finished the regular season bowl ineligible at 3-9.  Hawai'i played an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Warriors best game was again a 48-10 victory over #109 ranked UNLV and their worst loss was 27-42 to #98 ranked Colorado State.  Overall, Hawai'i had the #119 ranked team with the #121 ranked offense and the #99 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
 
2013
Hawai'i finished the regular season at 1-11. The Rainbow Warriors played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  Their only victory was over #87 ranked Army and their worst loss was to #100 ranked Nevada 9-31.  Overall, Hawai'i had the #108 ranked team with the #88 ranked offense and the #114 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model

2014
Hawai'i finishing the regular season at 4-9.  Hawai'i played against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  This season the Warriors best game was again a victory over #104 ranked San Jose State 13-0 (other three victories were over #125 UNLV; FCS UNI and #109 Wyoming) and their worst loss was to #116 ranked Colorado 12-21.  Overall, the Warriors had the #112 ranked team with the #107 ranked offense and the #102 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015
Head football coach Norm Chow made it through week 9 of the regular season with a 2-7 record before he was let go.  At the time of coach Chow's firing Hawai'i played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Warriors best win was over #58 ranked Colorado 28-20 and their worst loss was to #78 ranked Nevada 20-30.  At the time of Chow's firing, Hawai'i had the #125 ranked team in total production (4th worst in all of the FBS) with the #127 ranked offense and the #115 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015 In Season NCAA FBS Head Coach Changes
University of Illinois and Tim Beckman
University of Maryland and Randy Edsall
University of North Texas and Dan McCarney 
University of Southern California and Steve Sarkisian 
University of South Carolina and Steve Spurrier 
University of Miami (FL) and Al Golden 
University of Central Florida and George O'Leary 
University of Minnesota and Jerry Kill