Friday, September 4, 2015

Air Force Football Program in 2014

No, I am not going to review all the teams in NCAA FBS from last season - although that might be put on my bucket list someday.  Rather I am reviewing Air Force since @USAFAFalcons is currently a Twitter follower; yeah its that easy.  So here are the Falcons for the 2014 season using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model

The Air Force Falcons finished the 2014 regular season at 9-3 (and the winner of the Commander In Chief trophy).  Air Force's best game was a 28-14 win over #13 ranked Boise State in Colorado Springs and their worst loss was to #109 ranked Wyoming in Cheyenne.  The Falcons played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the rest of the "league".  An average SOS occurs where a team in within one standard deviation from the mean SOS for the league.  Given the mean SOS was 67.57 and the standard deviation was 10.74 and Air Force played against a SOS = 77.00 for the entire season, they were just within (on the easier side) the average range for SOS.   Their regular season performance allowed Air Force to be bowl eligible and play in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl on December 20th of last year where Air Force defeated #36 ranked Western Michigan 38-24 to finish overall at 10-3.  This resulted in Air Force to finish as the #60 most productive team in all of the FBS.  On the offensive side, the Falcons were the #58 ranked team and on the defensive side they were the #57 ranked team.

1 comment:

  1. This is Darin from your Sports Economics class. This is very interesting stuff. I enjoy your reading through your blogs. I am also following you on Twitter and am going to keep a close eye on what you analyze.