Sunday, December 26, 2010

Little Caeser's Bowl 2010

I'm thinking pizza, but since I am a pizza snob, not Little Caeser's - sorry. With the Little Caeser's bowl upon us (why is there not a Peanut bowl or Candy bowl?) let's take a look at the tale of the tape for today's game.

Little Caeser's Bowl: Florida International University (6-6) vs. Toledo (8-4)
Florida International (#71) overall in production has an offense that is ranked #54 and a defense that is ranked #64. FIU also has a SOS of 74.17, with FIU's best win against Arkansas State (ranked #64 in the production model), and their worst loss was against in-state rival Florida Atlantic (#101 in overall production).

Toledo (#56) overall in production has an offense that is ranked #57 and a defense that is ranked #51. Toledo also has a SOS of 67.25 with Toledo's best win this season against Kent State (#49 in overall production) and their worst loss against #106 Wyoming - ouch!

Thus based only on the production model Toledo is favored over Florida International, the model predicts that Toledo will be the winner of the Little Caeser's bowl.

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