Friday, December 3, 2010

Bill Lynch, Randy Shannon & Rich Rodriguez

Earlier this week both Indiana University football head coach Bill Lynch and University of Miami football head coach Randy Shannon were terminated from their jobs. Meanwhile, the athletics director at the University of Michigan is waiting to evaluate football head coach Rich Rodriguez.

So this got me to think about how these three teams have fared under each coach over the last three seasons (2008, 2009 and 2010), which is the time period that I have evaluated and also most of the time periods mentioned under the termination or evaluation of the three football head coaches. What I will look at for each team and each season then is their offensive production rank, defensive production rank, total production rank as well as their strength of schedule and winning percent. So here it goes starting by college in alphabetical order.

As shown below, Indiana over the last three years was below average in terms of offensive production, defensive production and total production. That coupled with the low winning percent, and the teams inability to win many games (especially against Big Ten opponents) lead to the termination of coach Bill Lynch.

Indiana (2008)

Off. Prod. Rank =
100
Def. Prod. Rank =
100
Total Prod. Rank =
106
SOS =
58.67
Win % =
0.250



Indiana (2009)

Off. Prod. Rank =
79
Def. Prod. Rank =
91
Total Prod. Rank =
88
SOS =
64.33
Win % =
0.333



Indiana (2010)

Off. Prod. Rank =
81
Def. Prod. Rank =
104
Total Prod. Rank =
95
SOS =
63.17
Win % =
0.417

As shown below, Randy Shannon's Miami Hurricanes finished 2008 as an above average defensive team, a below average offensive team and an average team overall. Much progress (in terms of production) was made in 2009 and 2010 resulting in Miami finishing in the top 25 in terms of total production, but that seems not to be enough to retain coach Shannon's services at "the U". As noted in the article linked above, the lack of conference championships and wins (or winning percentage) seems to be major factors in coach Shannon's termination. Yet in terms of production, his team is one of the premier schools in the nation - just not in the BCS, where it counts, which I think is unfortunate.

Miami (Florida) (2008)

Off. Prod. Rank =
77
Def. Prod. Rank =
43
Total Prod. Rank =
61
SOS =
62.08
Win % =
0.539



Miami (Florida) (2009)

Off. Prod. Rank =
30
Def. Prod. Rank =
20
Total Prod. Rank =
19
SOS =
48.77
Win % =
0.692



Miami (Florida) (2010)

Off. Prod. Rank =
33
Def. Prod. Rank =
18
Total Prod. Rank =
22
SOS =
52.92
Win % =
0.583

And then there is the Rich Rodriguez case. As shown below, Michigan finished both 2008 and 2009 below average in terms of production on both sides of the football. As of the most recent production rankings, Michigan is a top 25 team on the offensive side of the ball, but not on the defensive side. Michigan is getting better moving from an total production rank of 102 to 76 to 45 (as of November 27, 2010). Is that enough to retain coach Rodriguez's services, time will tell. Note: a better overall performance by Miami was not enough to retain coach Shannon.

Michigan (2008)

Off. Prod. Rank =
113
Def. Prod. Rank =
72
Total Prod. Rank =
102
SOS =
57.33
Win % =
0.250



Michigan (2009)

Off. Prod. Rank =
69
Def. Prod. Rank =
79
Total Prod. Rank =
76
SOS =
63.00
Win % =
0.417



Michigan (2010)

Off. Prod. Rank =
17
Def. Prod. Rank =
87
Total Prod. Rank =
45
SOS =
56.50
Win % =
0.583