Wednesday, December 18, 2024

West Virginia fires head football coach Neal Brown

At the beginning of this month, Neal Brown was fired as head football coach at West Virginia.  Brown was 37-34 in six season at the helm of the Mountaineers.  Here is a look at the West Virginia Mountaineers football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Bill Stewart (2007-2010), Dana Holgorsen (2011-2018),  and Neal Brown (2019-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the West Virginia Mountaineers football program during head coach Brown's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Neal Brown [2019-2024]

2019
The Mountaineers finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that West Virginia's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  West Virginia's best win was against #42 ranked Kansas State by a score of (24-20) and their worst loss was to #83 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (17-38).  West Virginia was the #113 ranked team overall, with the #120 ranked offense and the #79 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
The Mountaineers finished the COVID shortened regular season at 5-4, and played their post-season bowl game against #26 Army where they won by a score of (24-21).  West Virginia played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). West Virginia's best win was against #36 ranked TCU by a score of (24-6) and their worst loss was to #82 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (27-34).  West Virginia was the #33 ranked team overall, with the #47 ranked offense and the #49 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
West Virginia finished the regular season at 6-6,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  West Virginia was defeated by #40 ranked Minnesota in the post-season by a score of (6-18) to finish the season at 6-7 overall. The Mountaineers' best win was against #14 ranked Iowa State by a score of (38-31) and their worst loss was to #76 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (20-23).  West Virginia was the #67 ranked team overall, with the #85 ranked offense and the #36 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Mountaineers finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that the Chippewas SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "leagues" average SOS.  West Virginia's best win was against #46 ranked Baylor by a score of (43-40) and their worst loss (for the fourth year in a row) was to #72 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (10-48).  West Virginia was the #104 ranked team overall, with the #80 ranked offense and the #105 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
The Mountaineers finished the regular season at 8-4, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  They defeated #29 ranked North Carolina by a score of (30-10) in their post-season bowl game to finish the season overall at 9-4. West Virginia's best win was against #40 ranked UCF by a score of (41-28) and their worst loss was to #116 ranked Houston by a score of (39-41).  West Virginia was the #53 ranked team overall, with the #47 ranked offense and the #68 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
Head coach Brown was fired at the end of the regular season where the Mountaineers were 6-6 overall.  The Mountaineers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  At the time of Brown's firing West Virginia's best win was against #55 ranked UCF and their worst loss was again to #80 ranked Texas Tech.  West Virginia was the #104 ranked team overall, with the #79 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
Posted by at 10:45 AM

Monday, December 16, 2024

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 16

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Mississippi
3 Notre Dame
4 Ohio State
5 Texas
6 Tennessee
7 Miami (Florida)
8 Penn State
9 Oregon
10 Boise State
11 Alabama
12 SMU
13 Clemson
14 Tulane
15 Army
16 Georgia
17 Ohio
18 Arizona State
19 UNLV
20 BYU
21 Colorado
22 Minnesota
23 Memphis
24 Jacksonville State
25 Texas State

2024 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

Posted by at 9:11 AM

Sunday, December 8, 2024

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 15

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Mississippi
3 Notre Dame
4 Tennessee
5 Texas
6 Ohio State
7 Miami (Florida)
8 Penn State
9 Oregon
10 Boise State
11 SMU
12 Alabama
13 Army
14 Clemson
15 Tulane
16 Georgia
17 UNLV
18 Ohio
19 Arizona State
20 Colorado
21 BYU
22 Jacksonville State
23 Minnesota
24 Memphis
25 Texas State

2024 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

Posted by at 8:52 AM

Saturday, December 7, 2024

Jim McElwain Retires at Central Michigan

Last month Jim McElwain announced that this would be retiring from head coaching.  McElwain was 33-36 in six season at the helm of the Chippewas.  Here is a look at the Central Michigan Chippewas football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last two seasons of head football coach Butch Jones (2007-2009), Dan Enos (2010-2014), John Bonamego (2015-2018) and Jim McElwain (2019-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Central Michigan Chippewas football program during head coach McElwain's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Jim McElwain [2019-2024]

2019 Mid-American Conference Runner-Up
The Chippewas finished the regular season at 8-4, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that Central Michigan's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Central Michigan's played in their conference championship game where they were defeated by #108 ranked Miami (OH) by a score of (21-26).  The Chippewas played their post-season bowl game against #23 ranked San Diego State and were defeated by a score of (11-48) to finish the season at 8-6 overall.  Central Michigan's best win was against #51 ranked Ball State by a score of (45-44) and their worst loss was to #46 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (15-31).  Central Michigan was the #66 ranked team overall, with the #46 ranked offense and the #84 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
The Chippewas finished the COVID shortened regular season at 3-3, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Central Michigan's best win was against #67 ranked Ohio by a score of (30-27) and their worst loss was to #45 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (44-52).  Central Michigan was the #69 ranked team overall, with the #90 ranked offense and the #37 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
Central Michigan finished the regular season at 8-4,while playing against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that the Chippewas SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "leagues" average SOS.  Central Michigan defeated #61 ranked Washington State by a score of (24-21) to finish the season at 9-4 overall. The Chippewas' best win was against #15 ranked Toledo by a score of (26-23) and their worst loss was to #90 ranked LSU by a score of (21-49).  Central Michigan was the #34 ranked team overall, with the #26 ranked offense and the #58 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Chippewas finished the regular season at 4-8, while playing against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS).  Central Michigan's best win was against #99 ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (35-22) and their worst loss was to #114 ranked Bowling Green by a score of (18-34).  Central Michigan was the #101 ranked team overall, with the #107 ranked offense and the #61 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
The Chippewas finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Central Michigan's best win was against #20 ranked South Alabama by a score of (34-30) and their worst loss was to #129 ranked Michigan State by a score of (7-31).  Central Michigan was the #102 ranked team overall, with the #101 ranked offense and the #85 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
Head coach McElwain retired at the end of season where the Chippewas were 4-8 overall.  The Chippewas played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Central Michigan's best win was against #76 ranked Western Michigan and their worst loss was to #115 ranked Eastern Michigan (34-38).  Central Michigan is currently the #103 ranked team overall, with the #115 ranked offense and the #89 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

Posted by at 5:07 PM

Sunday, December 1, 2024

Gus Malzahn Resigns from UCF

Yesterday it was announced that Gus Malzahn resigned as head football coach at UCF.  Malzahn was 27-24 in four season at the helm of the Knights.  Here is a look at the UCF Knights football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last nine seasons of head football coach George O'Leary (2004-2015), Scott Frost (2016-2017), Josh Heupel (2018-2020) and Gus Malzahn (2021-2024*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the UCF Knights football program during head coach Malzahn's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Gus Malzahn [2021-2024]

2021
UCF finished the regular season at 8-4, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated the #42 ranked Florida Gators by a score of (29-17).  The Knights played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that UCF's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "leagues" average SOS.  UCF's best regular season win was over #52 ranked Boise State by a score of (36-31) and their worst  regular season loss was to #102 ranked Navy (30-34).  UCF was the #39 ranked team overall, with the #28 ranked offense and the #63 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022 AAC Conference Runner-Up
UCF finished the regular season at 9-3, and were played in the AAC Championship game where they lost to #13 ranked Tulane by a score of (28-45).  Then the Knights played #36 ranked Duke in their post-season bowl game and lost by a score (13-30) to finish 9-5 overall. The Knights played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that UCF's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  UCF's best regular season win was over #13 ranked Tulane by a score of (38-31) and their worst loss was to #86 ranked Navy (14-17).  UCF was the #38 ranked team overall, with the #21 ranked offense and the #84 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
Tulsa finished the regular season at 6-6, and were bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #63 ranked Georgia Tech by a score of (17-30) to finish the regular season at 6-7.  The Knights played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that UCF's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  UCF's best regular season win was over #33 ranked Boise State by a score of (18-16) and their worst regular season loss was to #121 ranked Baylor (35-36).  UCF was the #40 ranked team overall, with the #30 ranked offense and the #67 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
UCF finished the 2024 season at 4-8. UCF has played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  UCF's best victory was against currently #38 ranked Sam Houston State by a score of (45-14) and their current worst loss was to #104 ranked West Virginia by a score of (21-31).  UCF is currently the #55 ranked team overall, with the #48 ranked offense and the #68 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2024 FBS Head Coach Changes

Posted by at 4:51 PM

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 14

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Mississippi
3 Penn State
4 Texas
5 Ohio State
6 Notre Dame
7 Tennessee
8 Miami (Florida)
9 Oregon
10 Boise State
11 Tulane
12 Alabama
13 SMU
14 Clemson
15 Army
16 UNLV
17 Georgia
18 Louisiana-Lafayette
19 Iowa State
20 BYU
21 Minnesota
22 Colorado
23 Memphis
24 Texas State
25 Iowa

2024 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 13

 

Posted by at 8:12 AM

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Tulsa Fired Head Football Coach Kevin Wilson

Recently, the University of Tulsa fired head football coach Kevin Wilson after going 7-16 over nearly two seasons.  Here is a look at the Tulsa Golden Hurricane football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Todd Graham (2008-2010), Bill Blankenship (2011-2014), Philip Montgomery (2015-2022) and Kevin Wilson (2023-2024*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes football program during head coach Wilson's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Kevin Wilson [2023-2024*]

2023
Tulsa finished the regular season at 4-8, and were bowl ineligible.  The Golden Hurricanes played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Tulsa's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Tulsa's best win was over #64 ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (22-14) and their worst loss was to #113 ranked Charlotte (26-33).  Tulsa was the #122 ranked team overall, with the #91 ranked offense and the #129 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
After a 3-8 start to the 2024 season Wilson was fired. Tulsa has currently played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Tulsa's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "leagues" average SOS.  Tulsa's best victory was against currently #77 ranked UTSA by a score of (46-45) and their current worst loss was to #131 ranked Temple by a score of (10-20).  Tulsa is currently the #124 ranked team overall, with the #58 ranked offense and the #133 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2024 FBS Head Coach Changes

 

Posted by at 11:04 AM

Monday, November 25, 2024

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 13

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Notre Dame
3 Ohio State
4 Texas
5 Miami (Florida)
6 Mississippi
7 Tennessee
8 Penn State
9 Tulane
10 Oregon
11 Alabama
12 Boise State
13 Clemson
14 Army
15 SMU
16 Georgia
17 UNLV
18 Texas State
19 BYU
20 Texas A&M
21 Liberty
22 Louisiana-Lafayette
23 Iowa State
24 Memphis
25 James Madison

2024 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

Posted by at 8:41 AM

Friday, November 22, 2024

Charlotte Fires Head Football Coach Biff Poggi

Earlier this week, the University of North Carolina Charlotte fired head football coach Biff Poggi after going 6-16 over nearly two seasons.  Here is a look at the Charlotte 49ers football program since 2015 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last four seasons of head football coach Brad Lambert (2015-2018), Wil Healy (2019-2022) and Biff Poggi (2023-2024*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Charlotte 49ers football program during head coach Poggi's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Biff Poggi [2023-2024*]

2023
Charlotte finished the regular season at 3-9, and were bowl ineligible.  The 49ers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Charlotte's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Charlotte's best win was over #114 ranked East Carolina  and their worst loss was to #89 ranked Navy (0-14).  Charlotte was the #113 ranked team overall, with the #124 ranked offense and the #65 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
After a 3-7 start to the 2024 season Poggi was fired. Charlotte has currently played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Charlotte's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "leagues" average SOS.  Charlotte's best victory was against currently #39 ranked Rice by a score of (21-20) and their current worst loss was to #93 ranked South Florida by a score of (24-59).  Charlotte is currently the #124 ranked team overall, with the #114 ranked offense and the #118 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2024 FBS Head Coach Changes

 

Posted by at 10:09 AM

Thursday, November 21, 2024

Florida Atlantic Fires Head Football Coach Tom Herman

Earlier this week, Florida Atlantic (FAU) fired head football coach Tom Herman after going 6-16 over nearly two seasons.  Here is a look at the Florida Atlantic Owls football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last four seasons of head football coach Howard Schnellenberger (2008-2011), Carl Pelini (2012-2013), Charlie Partridge (2014-2016), Lane Kiffin (2017-2019), Willie Taggart (2020-2022) and Tom Herman (2023-2024*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the FAU football program during head coach Herman's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Tom Herman [2023-2024*]

2023
FAU finished the regular season at 4-8, and were bowl ineligible.  The Owls played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Florida Atlantic's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  FAU's best win was over #74 ranked South Florida  and their worst loss was to #114 ranked East Carolina (7-22).  Florida Atlantic was the #86 ranked team overall, with the #97 ranked offense and the #60 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
After a 2-8 start to the 2024 season Herman was fired. Florida Atlantic has currently played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that FAU's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Florida Atlantic's best victory was against currently #82 ranked FIU by a score of (38-20) and their current worst loss was to #128 ranked Temple by a score of (15-18).  Florida Atlantic is currently the #114 ranked team overall, with the #109 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2024 FBS Head Coach Changes

 

Posted by at 10:34 AM

Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Massachusetts Fires Head Football Coach Don Brown

Earlier this week, Massachusetts (UMass) fired head football coach Don Brown after going 6-28 over nearly three seasons.  Here is a look at the Massachusetts football program since 2012 (the first year that UMass joined the Football Bowl Subdivision).  This time period only covers head football coach Charley Molnar (2012-2013), Mark Whipple (2014-2018), Walt Bell (2019-2021), and Don Brown (2022-2024*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the UMass football program during head coach Brown's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Don Brown [2022-2024*]

2022
UMass finished the regular season at 1-11, and were bowl ineligible.  The Minutemen played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that UMass's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  UMass's only win was over FCS Stony Brook and their worst loss was to #112 ranked Arkansas State (33-35).  UMass was the #130 ranked team overall (a top 10 worst team overall in all of the FBS), with the #131 ranked offense (a top 10 worst offense in all of the FBS) and the #98 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
UMass finished the regular season at 3-9, and were bowl ineligible.  The Minutemen played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  UMass's best win was over #41 ranked New Mexico State and their worst loss was to #119 ranked Eastern Michigan (17-19).  UMass was the #123 ranked team overall, with the #95 ranked offense and the #128 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
After a 2-8 start to the 2021 season Brown was fired.  UMass has currently played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that UMass's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  UMass's two wins were both over FCS teams (Central Connecticut State and Wagner) and their current worst loss was to #119 Mississippi State by a score of (20-45).  UMass is currently the #109 ranked team overall, with the #123 ranked offense and the #94 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2024 FBS Head Coach Changes

Posted by at 8:46 AM

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Temple Fires Head Football Coach Stan Drayton

Earlier this week, Temple fired their head football coach Stan Drayton after nearly three seasons at the helm of the Temple Owls.  Here is a look at the Temple football program since 2008 (the first year that I have complete data).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Al Golden (2008-2010), Steve Addazio (2011-2012), Matt Rhule (2013-2016), Geoff Collins (2017-2018),  Rod Carey (2019-2021) and Stan Drayton (2022-2024*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Temple Owls football program during head coach Drayton's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Stan Drayton [2022-2024]

2022
Temple finished the regular season at 3-9, and were bowl ineligible.  The Owls played against a “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Owls SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "leagues" average SOS.  Temple's best regular season victory was against #129 ranked South Florida (54-28) and their worst loss was to #108 ranked Rutgers (14-16).  Temple was the #107 ranked team overall, with the #115 ranked offense and the #58 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
Temple finished the regular season at 3-9, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Temple's best regular season victory was against #89 ranked Navy (32-18) and their worst loss was to #122 ranked Tulsa (26-48).  Temple was the #130 ranked team overall, with the #116 ranked offense and the #130 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
After an overtime victory against Florida Atlantic Stan Drayton was fired.  The Owls were 3-7 at the time.  Temple played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  Temple's best win was against currently ranked #114 Florida Atlantic by a score of (18-15) and their worst regular season loss was to #81 ranked Coastal Carolina by a score of (20-28).  Temple is currently the #128 ranked team overall, with the #127 ranked offense and the #113 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

Posted by at 6:10 AM

Monday, November 18, 2024

Ball State Fires Head Football Coach Mike Neu

Just recently Ball State announced that they have fired head football coach Mike Neu.  Neu was at the helm of the Cardinals program since 2016 and had a 40-63 win/loss record during his time leading the football program.

Mike Neu was the head football coach at Ball State for eight seasons plus ten games this season.  Here is a look at the Ball State Cardinals football team since 2008 (the year in which the data I use to model FBS production starts).  Ball State's head football coaches were Brady Hoke (2003-2008 - but only 2008 is included in the graph below); Stan Parrish (2009-2010); Pete Lembo (2011-2015) and Mike Neu (2016-2024*).  As you will notice, Ball State was below average during most of Neu's tenure.

Below is the Ball State Cardinals production rank (total, offense, defense) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.  Head coach changes are listed (in the school's colors) as vertical bars.  More details about the program under Neu is provided below.

Mike Neu [2016-2024*]

2016
Ball State finished the regular season at 4-8,while playing against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Ball State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league" SOS.  The Cardinals' best win was against #89 ranked Georgia State by a score of (31-21) and their worst loss was to #100 ranked Akron by a score of (25-35).  Ball State was the #111 ranked team overall, with the #110 ranked offense and the #101 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2017
The Cardinals finished the regular season at 2-10, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Ball State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" SOS.  Ball State's best win was against #56 ranked UAB by a score of (51-31) and their worst loss was to #125 ranked Illinois by a score of (21-24). Ball State was the #122 ranked team overall, with the #123 ranked offense and the #113 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2018
Ball State finished the regular season at 4-8,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  The Cardinals' best win was against #74 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (42-41) and their only loss was to #99 ranked Western Kentucky by a score of (20-28).  Ball State was the #104 ranked team overall, with the #94 ranked offense and the #99 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
The Cardinals finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Ball State's best win was against #89 ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (27-20) and their worst loss was to #88 ranked Kent State by a score of (38-41).  Ball State was the #51 ranked team overall, with the #51 ranked offense and the #61 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
The Cardinals finished the COVID shortened regular season at 6-1,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #24 ranked San Jose State by a score of (34-13).  The Cardinals' best win was against #17 ranked Buffalo by a score of (38-28) and their only loss was to #94 ranked Miami (OH) by a score of (31-38).  Ball State was the #35 ranked team overall, with the #50 ranked offense and the #52 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
Ball State finished the regular season at 6-6,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Ball State was again bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #56 ranked Georgia State by a score of (20-51) and thus finished with a won-loss record of 6-7.  The Cardinals' best win was against #32 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (45-20) and their worst loss was to #62 ranked Wyoming by a score of (12-45).  Ball State was the #96 ranked team overall, with the #94 ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Cardinals finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS).  Ball State's best win was against #83 ranked Kent State by a score of (27-20) and their worst loss was to #106 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (30-37). Ball State was the #77 ranked team overall, with the #90 ranked offense and the #49 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
The Cardinals finished the regular season at 4-8, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Ball State's best win was against #64 ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (20-17) and their worst loss was to #119 ranked Eastern Michigan by a score of (10-24).  Ball State was the #94 ranked team overall, with the #121 ranked offense and the #29 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
Head coach Neu was fired after the tenth game of the season and the Cardinals had a 3-7 record at that time.  The Cardinals played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that Ball State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "leagues" average SOS through week 10 of the season.  At this point in the season, Ball State's best win was against #31 currently ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (25-23) and their worst loss was to #110 currently ranked Central Michigan (34-37).  At the end of week 10, Ball State was the #121 ranked team overall, with the #86 ranked offense and the #129 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Posted by at 11:16 AM

Sunday, November 17, 2024

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 12

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Mississippi
3 Notre Dame
4 Ohio State
5 Texas
6 Miami (Florida)
7 Tulane
8 Penn State
9 Alabama
10 Army
11 Oregon
12 Boise State
13 Tennessee
14 Clemson
15 SMU
16 Texas State
17 BYU
18 UNLV
19 James Madison
20 Texas A&M
21 Georgia
22 Minnesota
23 Colorado
24 Memphis
25 Louisiana-Lafayette

2024 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

 

Posted by at 8:45 AM

Monday, November 11, 2024

Kennesaw State fires head football coach Brian Bohannon

Recently, Brian Bohannon was fired as the head football coach for Kennesaw State after less than a full season as FBS members.

Brian Bohannon [2024]

2024
At the time of Bohannon's firing the Kennesaw State Owls were 1-8,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Owl's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" SOS.  The Owl's only victory was against #37 ranked Liberty by a score of (27-24) and their worst loss was to FCS Tennessee-Martin by a score of (13-24).  At the time of Bohannon's firing the Owls were the #131 ranked team overall (bottom 5 team overall), with the #134 ranked offense (the worst offense in the FBS) and the #105 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

 

Posted by at 5:36 PM
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