Tuesday, November 30, 2021

LSU fires head football coach Ed Orgeron

Earlier this year, LSU announced that Ed Orgeron will not be the head football coach of the LSU Tigers next year.  In fact, Orgeron will not coach in LSU's bowl game either.  Here is a look at the LSU football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers the last ten seasons of head football coach Les Miles (2008-2016), and Ed Orgeron (2017-2021).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the LSU Tiger football program during head coach Orgeron's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Ed Orgeron [contract]

2017
LSU finished the regular season at 9-3, and were bowl eligible, and were defeated by #27 ranked Notre Dame (3-28) to finish 9-4 overall.  The Tigers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Tigers SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  LSU's best regular season victory was against #13 ranked Auburn (27-23) and their worst loss was to #21 ranked Mississippi State (7-37).  LSU was the #17 ranked team overall, with the #59 ranked offense and the #5 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2018
LSU finished the regular season at 9-3, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #9 ranked UCF (40-32) to finish 10-3 overall.  The Tigers played against a “much tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Tigers SOS was lower than two standard deviations of the "league" average SOS.  LSU's best regular season victory was against #5 ranked Mississippi State (19-3) and their worst loss was to #44 ranked Texas A&M (72-74).  LSU was the #27 ranked team overall, with the #46 ranked offense and the #25 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019 [National Champions & SEC Champions]
LSU finished the regular season at 12-0, and defeated #7 ranked Georgia in the SEC championship game by a score of (37-10).  LSU was selected as one of the four teams to play for the national championship, where they defeated #18 ranked Oklahoma in the National Championship semi-final game (63-28) and then defeated #2 ranked Clemson in the National Championship game by a score of (42-35).  LSU finished at 15-0 overall.  The Tigers played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Tigers SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "league" average SOS.  LSU's best regular season victory was against #3 ranked Alabama (46-41).  LSU was the #4 ranked team overall, with the #1 ranked offense and the #67 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
LSU finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 5-5, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  LSU's best win was against #16 ranked Florida (37-34) and their worst loss was to #90 ranked Mississippi State (34-44).  LSU was the #71 ranked team overall, with the #29 ranked offense and the #122 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
LSU finished the regular season at 6-6 and Orgeron was fired.  LSU played against a “much tougher” strength of schedule (SOS) up to end of the regular season.  The Tigers best victory was against #25 ranked Texas A&M by a score of (27-24) and their worst loss was to #47 ranked Kentucky by a score of (21-42).  LSU is currently the #76 ranked team overall, with the #82 ranked offense and the #69 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

Monday, November 29, 2021

Head Football Coach Butch Davis Fired by Florida International University

Florida International University (FIU) has fired head football coach Butch Davis.  Here is a look at the FIU football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers the last four (of five) seasons of head football coach Mario Cristobal (2008-2012), head coach Ron Turner (2013-2016) and Butch Davis (2017-2021).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Florida International Golden Panthers football program during head coach Davis' tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Butch Davis [contract]

2017
FIU finished the regular season at 8-4, and were bowl eligible, but were defeated by #81 ranked Temple (3-28) to finish 8-5 overall.  The Golden Panthers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Golden Panthers SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  FIU's best regular season victory was against #38 ranked UTSA (14-7) and their worst loss was to #112 ranked Old Dominion (30-37).  FIU was the #98 ranked team overall, with the #86 ranked offense and the #89 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2018
FIU finished the regular season at 8-4, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #58 ranked Toledo (35-32) to finish 9-4 overall.  The Golden Panthers played against a “much easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Golden Panthers SOS was higher than two standard deviations of the "league" average SOS.  FIU's best regular season victory was against #66 ranked Middle Tennessee State (24-21) and their worst loss was to #96 ranked Indiana (28-38).  FIU was the #43 ranked team overall, with the #27 ranked offense and the #59 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019 
FIU finished the regular season at 6-6, and were bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #92 ranked Arkansas State (26-34) to finish 6-7 overall.  The Golden Panthers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Golden Panthers SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  FIU's best regular season victory was against #33 ranked Miami (FL) (30-24) and their worst loss was to #57 ranked Marshall (27-30).  FIU was the #87 ranked team overall, with the #97 ranked offense and the #70 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
FIU finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 0-5, while playing against “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Golden Panthers SOS was between one and two standard deviations larger than the "league" average SOS.  FIU's worst loss was to FCS Jacksonville State (10-19).  FIU was the #112 ranked team overall, with the #121 ranked offense and the #32 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
FIU finished at 1-11 and Davis was not renewed/fired.  FIU played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  The Golden Panthers only victory was against FCS LIU by a score of (48-10) and their worst loss was to #114 ranked Southern Mississippi by a score of (17-37).  FIU is currently the #126 ranked team overall, with the #108 ranked offense and the #129 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

Sunday, November 28, 2021

2021 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 13

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model most productive team in all of the NCAA FBS is the University of Georgia Bulldogs.

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Georgia
2 Ohio State
3 Cincinnati
4 Alabama
5 Coastal Carolina
6 Michigan
7 Houston
8 Western Kentucky
9 Oklahoma State
10 Pittsburgh
11 Utah
12 Notre Dame
13 Toledo
14 Baylor
15 Appalachian State
16 Wisconsin
17 Nevada
18 Iowa State
19 UTSA
20 Air Force
21 Louisiana-Lafayette
22 North Carolina State
23 Oklahoma
24 Marshall
25 Texas A&M

Prior 2021 Week Rankings

Tuesday, November 23, 2021

Troy Fired Head Football Coach Chip Lindsey

Earlier this week, Troy University fired head football coach Chip Lindsey.  Here is a look at the Troy football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers the last seven seasons of head football coach Larry Blakeney (2008-2014), head coach Neal Brown (2015-2018) and Chip Lindsey (2019-2021*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Troy Trojans football program during head coach Lindsay's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Chip Lindsey

2019 
Troy finished the regular season at 5-7, and were bowl ineligible.  The Trojans played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Trojans SOS was between one and two standard deviations larger than the "league" average SOS.  Troy's best regular season victory was against #58 ranked Georgia Southern (49-28) and their worst loss was to #110 ranked Georgia State (33-52).  Troy was the #82 ranked team overall, with the #66 ranked offense and the #91 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
Troy finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 5-6, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Trojans SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  Troy's best regular season victory was against #66 ranked Arkansas State (38-10) and their worst loss was to #106 ranked Middle Tennessee State (17-20).  Troy was the #50 ranked team overall, with the #42 ranked offense and the #86 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
After a 5-6 start to the 2021 season Lindsey was fired.  Troy played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  The Trojans' best win was against currently ranked #79 South Alabama by a score of (31-24) and their current worst loss was to #111 ranked Louisiana-Monroe by a score of (16-29).  Troy is currently the #66 ranked team overall, with the #94 ranked offense and the #38 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2021 FBS Head Coaching Changes

Monday, November 22, 2021

Florida Fires Head Football Coach Dan Mullen

Yesterday, head football coach Dan Mullen was fired by the University of Florida.  Here is a look at the Florida football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Urban Meyer (2008-2010), head coach Will Muschamp (2011-2014), head coach Jim McElwain (2015-2017) and Dan Mullen (2018-2021*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Florida Gators football program during head coach Mullen's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Dan Mullen [contract]

2018
Florida finished the regular season at 9-3, and were bowl eligible where they defeated by #17 ranked Michigan (41-15) to finish 10-3 overall.  The Gators played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Gators SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Florida's best regular season victory was against #5 ranked Mississippi State (13-6) and their worst loss was to #34 ranked Missouri (17-38).  Florida was the #10 ranked team overall, with the #15 ranked offense and the #13 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
Florida finished the regular season at 10-2, and were bowl eligible where they defeated #84 ranked Virginia by a score of (36-28) to finish at 11-2 overall.  The Gators played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Florida's best regular season victory was against #22 ranked Auburn (24-13) and their worst loss was to #7 ranked Georgia (17-24).  Florida was the #14 ranked team overall, with the #26 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020 [SEC Runner Up]
Florida finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 8-2, but lost both the SEC championship game to #1 ranked Alabama (46-52) and their bowl game against #6 ranked Oklahoma (20-55) to finish 8-4 overall. The Gators played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Florida's best regular season victory was against #27 ranked Georgia (44-28) and their worst loss was to #71 ranked LSU  (34-37).  Florida was the #16 ranked team overall, with the #5 ranked offense and the #121 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
After a 5-6 start to the 2021 season Mullen was fired.  Florida played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  The Gators' best win was against currently ranked #28 Tennessee by a score of (38-14) and their current worst loss was to #99 ranked South Carolina by a score of (17-40).  Florida is currently the #29 ranked team overall, with the #21 ranked offense and the #54 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2021 FBS Head Coaching Changes

Sunday, November 21, 2021

2021 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 12

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model most productive team in all of the NCAA FBS is the University of Georgia Bulldogs.

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Georgia
2 Ohio State
3 Coastal Carolina
4 Alabama
5 Cincinnati
6 Michigan
7 Oklahoma State
8 Pittsburgh
9 Western Kentucky
10 UTSA
11 Houston
12 Utah
13 Notre Dame
14 Wisconsin
15 Baylor
16 Appalachian State
17 Marshall
18 Oklahoma
19 Toledo
20 North Carolina State
21 BYU
22 Louisiana-Lafayette
23 Texas A&M
24 Air Force
25 Mississippi

Prior 2021 Week Rankings

 

Tuesday, November 16, 2021

Virginia Tech Fires Head Football Coach Justin Fuente

Earlier today, Virginia Tech fired their head football coach, Justin Fuente.  Here is a look at the Virginia Tech football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers the last eight seasons of head football coach Frank Beamer (2008-2015) and Justin Fuente (2016-2021*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Virginia Tech Hokies football program during head coach Fuente's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Justin Fuente [contract]

2016 [ACC runner-up]
Virginia Tech finished the regular season at 9-3, and played in the ACC conference championship game where they were defeated by #5 ranked Clemson by a score of (35-42). The Hokies were bowl eligible, where they defeated #85 ranked Arkansas by a score of (35-24) to finish the season at 10-4.  The Hokies played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Hokies SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  Virginia Tech's best regular season victory was against #13 ranked Miami (FL) (37-16) and their worst loss was to #117 ranked Syracuse (17-31).  Virginia Tech was the #32 ranked team overall, with the #25 ranked offense and the #66 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2017 
Virginia Tech finished the regular season at 9-3, and were bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #12 ranked Oklahoma State (21-30) to finish at 9-4 overall.  The Hokies played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Virginia Tech's best regular season victory was against #68 ranked Duke (24-3) and their worst loss was to #67 ranked Georgia Tech (22-28).  Virginia Tech was the #28 ranked team overall, with the #60 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2018
Virginia Tech finished the regular season at 6-6, and were bowl eligible where they were defeated by #8 ranked Cincinnati (31-35) to finish 6-7 overall.  The Hokies played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Virginia Tech's best regular season victory was against #25 ranked Virginia (34-31) and their worst loss was to #108 ranked Old Dominion (35-49).  Virginia Tech was the #87 ranked team overall, with the #62 ranked offense and the #106 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
Virginia Tech finished the regular season at 8-4, and were bowl eligible where they were defeated by #29 ranked Kentucky by a score of (30-37) to finish at 8-5 overall.  The Hokies played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Virginia Tech's best regular season victory was against #33 ranked Miami (FL) (42-35) and their worst loss was to #91 ranked Boston College (28-35).  Virginia Tech was the #39 ranked team overall, with the #44 ranked offense and the #39 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
Virginia Tech finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 5-6, playing against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Hokies SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average SOS.  Virginia Tech's best regular season victory was against #37 ranked North Carolina State (45-24) and their worst loss was to #48 ranked Wake Forest  (16-23).  Virginia Tech was the #46 ranked team overall, with the #22 ranked offense and the #117 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
After a 5-5 start to the 2021 season Fuente was fired.  Virginia Tech played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  Virginia Tech's best win was against currently ranked #55 North Carolina by a score of (17-10) and their current worst loss was to #77 ranked West Virginia by a score of (21-27).  Virginia Tech is currently the #71 ranked team overall, with the #78 ranked offense and the #56 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

 

Monday, November 15, 2021

Washington fires Head Football Coach Jimmy Lake

Yesterday, the University of Washington fired head football coach Jimmy Lake.  Here is a look at the University of Washington football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers the last season of head football coach Tyrone Willingham (2008), Steve Sarkisian (2009-2013), Chris Petersen (2014-2019) and Jimmy Lake (2020-2021*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Washington Huskies football program during head coach Lake's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).


Jimmy Lake [contract]

2020
Washington finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 3-1, playing against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Washington's SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "leagues" average SOS.  Washington's best victory was over #62 ranked Utah (24-21) and their only loss was to #59 ranked Oregon (29-43).  Washington was the #73 ranked team overall, with the #114 ranked offense and the #5 ranked defense (a top 10 best defense) using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
After a 4-6 start to the 2021 season Lake was fired.  Washington played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Washington's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Washington's best win was against currently ranked #78 California by a score of (31-24) and their current worst loss was to FCS Montana by a score of (7-13).  Washington is currently the #70 ranked team overall, with the #106 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2021 FBS Head Coaching Changes

 

Sunday, November 14, 2021

2021 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 11

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model most productive team in all of the NCAA FBS is the University of Georgia Bulldogs.

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Georgia
2 Ohio State
3 Coastal Carolina
4 Cincinnati
5 Alabama
6 Pittsburgh
7 UTSA
8 Oklahoma State
9 Michigan
10 Wisconsin
11 Houston
12 Western Kentucky
13 Toledo
14 Utah
15 Baylor
16 Oklahoma
17 Marshall
18 Liberty
19 SMU
20 Fresno State
21 Air Force
22 Oregon
23 North Carolina State
24 Mississippi
25 Wake Forest

Prior 2021 Week Rankings

Tuesday, November 9, 2021

Walt Bell fired as Massachusetts Head Football Coach

Earlier this week, Walt Bell was fired as the head football coach at the University of Massachusetts.  Here is a look at the Massachusetts football program since 2012 (the first year that UMass joined the Football Bowl Subdivision).  This time period only covers head football coach Charley Molnar (2012-2013), Mark Whipple (2014-2018) and Walt Bell (2019-2021*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the UMass football program during head coach Bell's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).


Walt Bell [2019-2021] [contract]

2019
UMass finished the regular season at 1-11, and were bowl ineligible.  The Minutemen played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Minutemen's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the average SOS for the "league".  UMass's only win was over #127 ranked Akron and their worst loss was to #FCS Southern Illinois (20-45).  UMass was the #130 ranked team overall (the worst performing team), with the #127 ranked offense (a top 10 worst offense in all of the FBS) and the #130 ranked defense (the worst performing defense) using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
UMass finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 0-4, playing against a “much tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that UMass's SOS was less than two standard deviations below the "leagues" average SOS.  UMass's worst loss was to #64 ranked Florida Atlantic (2-24).  UMass was the #127 ranked team overall (a top 10 worst performing team), with the #127 ranked offense (a top 10 worst offense) and the #39 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
After a 1-8 start to the 2021 season Bell was fired.  UMass played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that UMass's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  UMass's only win was against currently ranked #128 Connecticut by a score of (27-13) and their current worst loss was to #FCS Rhode Island by a score of (22-35).  UMass is currently the #129 ranked team overall (a top 10 worst program), with the #120 ranked offense and the #130 ranked defense (the worst defense) using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2021 FBS Head Coaching Changes

Monday, November 8, 2021

Tom Arth Fired as Akron Zips Head Football Coach

Tom Arth was recently fired as the head football coach at Akron.  Arth was 3-23 overall during his tenure as the Zips head football coach.  Here is a look at the Akron Zips football program since 2008 (the first year that I collected all the variables needed for the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model).  This time period only covers the last two seasons under head football coach JD Brookhart (2008-2009), Rob Ianello (2010-2011), Terry Bowden (2012-2018) and Tom Arth (2019-2021*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Akron Zips football program during head coach Arth's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).


Tom Arth [contract]

2019
Akron finished the regular season at 0-12, and were bowl ineligible.  The Zips played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Zips SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the average SOS for the "league".  Akron's worst loss was to #130 ranked Massachusetts (29-37).  Akron was the #127 ranked team overall (a top 10 worst performing team), with the #130 ranked offense (the worst offense in all of the FBS) and the #101 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
Akron finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 1-5, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Akron's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Akron's ONLY regular season victory was against #126 ranked Bowling Green (31-3) and their worst loss was to #94 ranked Miami (OH) (7-38).  Akron was the #124 ranked team overall (a top 10 worst performing team), with the #119 ranked offense and the #78 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
After a 2-6 start to the 2021 season Arth was fired.  Akron played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  Akron's best win was against currently ranked #99 Bowling Green by a score of (35-20) and their current worst loss was to #119 ranked Temple by a score of (24-45).  Akron is currently the #122 ranked team overall (top 10 worst programs), with the #105 ranked offense and the #125 ranked defense (top 10 worst defenses) using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2021 FBS Head Coaching Changes

 

Sunday, November 7, 2021

2021 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 10

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model most productive team in all of the NCAA FBS is the University of Georgia Bulldogs.

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model

Rank Team
1 Georgia
2 Coastal Carolina
3 Ohio State
4 Pittsburgh
5 Cincinnati
6 Alabama
7 Michigan
8 UTSA
9 Oklahoma
10 Western Kentucky
11 Baylor
12 Marshall
13 Houston
14 Iowa State
15 Wake Forest
16 Oklahoma State
17 North Carolina State
18 Appalachian State
19 Oregon
20 Liberty
21 Wisconsin
22 Utah
23 Arkansas
24 Mississippi
25 SMU

Prior 2021 Week Rankings

Wednesday, November 3, 2021

Gary Patterson is Out as Head Football Coach at TCU

After 20 years, Gary Patterson is no longer TCU's head football coach.  Patterson was 181-79 during his tenure as the Horned Frogs head football coach.  Here is a look at the TCU Horned Frogs football program since 2008 (the first year that I collected all the variables needed for the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model).  This time period only covers Gary Patterson (but not his first seven seasons due to data constraints).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Texas Christian Horned Frogs football program during head coach Patterson's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).


Gary Patterson

2008
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 10-2, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #7 ranked Boise State (17-16) to finish at 11-2 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Horned Frog's SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" SOS.  TCU's best regular season victory was against #29 ranked BYU (32-7) and their worst loss was to #8 ranked Utah (10-13).  Texas Christian was the #6 ranked team overall, with the #23 ranked offense and the #3 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2009
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 12-0, and were bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #4 ranked Boise State (10-17) to finish at 12-1 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #10 ranked Clemson (14-10).  Texas Christian was the #3 ranked team overall, with the #4 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2010
Texas Christian again finished the regular season at 12-0, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #6 ranked Wisconsin (21-19) to finish undefeated at 13-0.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #22 ranked Utah (47-7).  Texas Christian was the #2 ranked team overall, with the #7 ranked offense and the #2 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2011
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 10-2, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #39 ranked Louisiana Tech (31-24) to finish at 11-2 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #6 ranked Boise State (36-35) and their worst loss was to #54 ranked SMU (33-40).  Texas Christian was the #9 ranked team overall, with the #10 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2012
Texas Christian joined the Big 12 Conference and  finished the regular season at 7-5, and were bowl eligible, where they played #47 Michigan State and were defeated (16-17) to finish 7-6 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #49 ranked Baylor (49-21) and their worst loss was to #72 ranked Iowa State (23-37).  Texas Christian was the #39 ranked team overall, with the #56 ranked offense and the #23 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2013
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 4-8, and were bowl ineligible.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #80 ranked SMU (48-17) and their worst loss was to #90 ranked West Virginia (27-30).  Texas Christian was the #62 ranked team overall, with the #94 ranked offense and the #11 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2014
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 11-1, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #16 ranked Mississippi (42-3) to finish at 12-1 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #33 ranked Oklahoma (37-33) and their ONLY loss was to #6 ranked Baylor (58-61).  Texas Christian was the #1 ranked team overall, with the #4 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com
 
2015
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 10-2, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #54 ranked Oregon (47-41) to finish at 11-2 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #33 ranked West Virginia (40-10) and their worst loss was to #40 ranked Oklahoma State (29-49).  Texas Christian was the #31 ranked team overall, with the #14 ranked offense and the #75 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2016
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 6-6, and were bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #45 ranked Georgia by a score of (23-31).  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #51 ranked Baylor (62-22) and their worst loss was to #96 ranked Texas Tech (24-27).  Texas Christian was the #55 ranked team overall, with the #51 ranked offense and the #56 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2017 [Big 12 runner-up]
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 10-2, and played in the Big 12 Championship game against #5 Oklahoma were they lost (17-41).  TCU was also bowl eligible, where they defeated #49 ranked Stanford (39-37) to finish at 11-3 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #12 ranked Oklahoma State (44-31) and their worst loss was to #36 ranked Iowa State (7-14).  Texas Christian was the #15 ranked team overall, with the #16 ranked offense and the #35 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2018
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 6-6, and were bowl eligible where they defeated #57 California (10-7) to finish 7-6 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #54 ranked Iowa State (17-14) and their worst loss was to #94 ranked Kansas (26-27).  Texas Christian was the #56 ranked team overall, with the #79 ranked offense and the #38 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
Texas Tech finished the regular season at 5-7, and were bowl ineligible.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #59 ranked Texas (37-27) and their worst loss was to #55 ranked Oklahoma State (27-34).  Texas Christian was the #43 ranked team overall, with the #76 ranked offense and the #23 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
Texas Christian finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 6-4, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #12 ranked Texas (33-31) and their worst loss was to #97 ranked Kansas State (14-21).  Texas Christian was the #36 ranked team overall, with the #31 ranked offense and the #85 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
After a 3-4 start to the 2021 season Patterson was fired.  Texas Christian played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  TCU's best win was against currently ranked #15 California by a score of (34-32) and their current worst loss was to #19 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (31-52).  Texas Christian is currently the #29 ranked team overall, with the #11 ranked offense and the #106 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2021 FBS Head Coaching Changes