Monday, November 22, 2021

Florida Fires Head Football Coach Dan Mullen

Yesterday, head football coach Dan Mullen was fired by the University of Florida.  Here is a look at the Florida football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Urban Meyer (2008-2010), head coach Will Muschamp (2011-2014), head coach Jim McElwain (2015-2017) and Dan Mullen (2018-2021*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Florida Gators football program during head coach Mullen's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Dan Mullen [contract]

2018
Florida finished the regular season at 9-3, and were bowl eligible where they defeated by #17 ranked Michigan (41-15) to finish 10-3 overall.  The Gators played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Gators SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Florida's best regular season victory was against #5 ranked Mississippi State (13-6) and their worst loss was to #34 ranked Missouri (17-38).  Florida was the #10 ranked team overall, with the #15 ranked offense and the #13 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
Florida finished the regular season at 10-2, and were bowl eligible where they defeated #84 ranked Virginia by a score of (36-28) to finish at 11-2 overall.  The Gators played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Florida's best regular season victory was against #22 ranked Auburn (24-13) and their worst loss was to #7 ranked Georgia (17-24).  Florida was the #14 ranked team overall, with the #26 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020 [SEC Runner Up]
Florida finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 8-2, but lost both the SEC championship game to #1 ranked Alabama (46-52) and their bowl game against #6 ranked Oklahoma (20-55) to finish 8-4 overall. The Gators played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Florida's best regular season victory was against #27 ranked Georgia (44-28) and their worst loss was to #71 ranked LSU  (34-37).  Florida was the #16 ranked team overall, with the #5 ranked offense and the #121 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
After a 5-6 start to the 2021 season Mullen was fired.  Florida played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  The Gators' best win was against currently ranked #28 Tennessee by a score of (38-14) and their current worst loss was to #99 ranked South Carolina by a score of (17-40).  Florida is currently the #29 ranked team overall, with the #21 ranked offense and the #54 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2021 FBS Head Coaching Changes