Wednesday, November 3, 2021

Gary Patterson is Out as Head Football Coach at TCU

After 20 years, Gary Patterson is no longer TCU's head football coach.  Patterson was 181-79 during his tenure as the Horned Frogs head football coach.  Here is a look at the TCU Horned Frogs football program since 2008 (the first year that I collected all the variables needed for the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model).  This time period only covers Gary Patterson (but not his first seven seasons due to data constraints).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Texas Christian Horned Frogs football program during head coach Patterson's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).


Gary Patterson

2008
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 10-2, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #7 ranked Boise State (17-16) to finish at 11-2 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Horned Frog's SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" SOS.  TCU's best regular season victory was against #29 ranked BYU (32-7) and their worst loss was to #8 ranked Utah (10-13).  Texas Christian was the #6 ranked team overall, with the #23 ranked offense and the #3 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2009
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 12-0, and were bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #4 ranked Boise State (10-17) to finish at 12-1 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #10 ranked Clemson (14-10).  Texas Christian was the #3 ranked team overall, with the #4 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2010
Texas Christian again finished the regular season at 12-0, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #6 ranked Wisconsin (21-19) to finish undefeated at 13-0.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #22 ranked Utah (47-7).  Texas Christian was the #2 ranked team overall, with the #7 ranked offense and the #2 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2011
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 10-2, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #39 ranked Louisiana Tech (31-24) to finish at 11-2 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #6 ranked Boise State (36-35) and their worst loss was to #54 ranked SMU (33-40).  Texas Christian was the #9 ranked team overall, with the #10 ranked offense and the #22 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2012
Texas Christian joined the Big 12 Conference and  finished the regular season at 7-5, and were bowl eligible, where they played #47 Michigan State and were defeated (16-17) to finish 7-6 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #49 ranked Baylor (49-21) and their worst loss was to #72 ranked Iowa State (23-37).  Texas Christian was the #39 ranked team overall, with the #56 ranked offense and the #23 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2013
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 4-8, and were bowl ineligible.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #80 ranked SMU (48-17) and their worst loss was to #90 ranked West Virginia (27-30).  Texas Christian was the #62 ranked team overall, with the #94 ranked offense and the #11 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2014
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 11-1, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #16 ranked Mississippi (42-3) to finish at 12-1 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #33 ranked Oklahoma (37-33) and their ONLY loss was to #6 ranked Baylor (58-61).  Texas Christian was the #1 ranked team overall, with the #4 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com
 
2015
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 10-2, and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #54 ranked Oregon (47-41) to finish at 11-2 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #33 ranked West Virginia (40-10) and their worst loss was to #40 ranked Oklahoma State (29-49).  Texas Christian was the #31 ranked team overall, with the #14 ranked offense and the #75 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2016
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 6-6, and were bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #45 ranked Georgia by a score of (23-31).  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #51 ranked Baylor (62-22) and their worst loss was to #96 ranked Texas Tech (24-27).  Texas Christian was the #55 ranked team overall, with the #51 ranked offense and the #56 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2017 [Big 12 runner-up]
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 10-2, and played in the Big 12 Championship game against #5 Oklahoma were they lost (17-41).  TCU was also bowl eligible, where they defeated #49 ranked Stanford (39-37) to finish at 11-3 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #12 ranked Oklahoma State (44-31) and their worst loss was to #36 ranked Iowa State (7-14).  Texas Christian was the #15 ranked team overall, with the #16 ranked offense and the #35 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2018
Texas Christian finished the regular season at 6-6, and were bowl eligible where they defeated #57 California (10-7) to finish 7-6 overall.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #54 ranked Iowa State (17-14) and their worst loss was to #94 ranked Kansas (26-27).  Texas Christian was the #56 ranked team overall, with the #79 ranked offense and the #38 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
Texas Tech finished the regular season at 5-7, and were bowl ineligible.  The Horned Frogs played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Texas Christian's best regular season victory was against #59 ranked Texas (37-27) and their worst loss was to #55 ranked Oklahoma State (27-34).  Texas Christian was the #43 ranked team overall, with the #76 ranked offense and the #23 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
Texas Christian finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 6-4, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  TCU's best regular season victory was against #12 ranked Texas (33-31) and their worst loss was to #97 ranked Kansas State (14-21).  Texas Christian was the #36 ranked team overall, with the #31 ranked offense and the #85 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021*
After a 3-4 start to the 2021 season Patterson was fired.  Texas Christian played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  TCU's best win was against currently ranked #15 California by a score of (34-32) and their current worst loss was to #19 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (31-52).  Texas Christian is currently the #29 ranked team overall, with the #11 ranked offense and the #106 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2021 FBS Head Coaching Changes

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