Wednesday, January 1, 2014

Rose Bowl 2014

The Rose Bowl has the Stanford Cardinal of the Pac 12 Conference facing the Michigan State Spartans of the Big 10 Conference.  Let's take a look at how these two teams stack up using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Rose Bowl 2014

Spartans Cardinal
Wins 12 11
Losses 1 2
Total 7 29
Offense 44 38
Defense 2 25
SOS 76.85 56.46
Best 6 5
Worst 85 80

The Michigan State Spartans are currently 12-1, playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average.  The Spartans best game (win over highest ranked team in the CICFPM) was a defeat of currently ranked #6 Ohio State, and their worst game (loss to lowest ranked team) and only defeat was to currently ranked #85 Notre Dame.  In terms of the model, Michigan State is currently ranked as the #7 most productive team overall, with the #44 ranked offense and the #2 ranked defense.

The Stanford Cardinal finished the regular season at 11-2, while playing against a "tougher" SOS.  The Cardinal best game was a victory over currently ranked #5 Oregon and their worst game was a loss to currently ranked #80 Utah.  The Cardinal are currently the #29 most productive team in the Football Bowl Subdivision, with the #38 ranked offense and the #25 ranked defense.

Expect Michigan State  to be victorious in today's Rose Bowl.

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