Wednesday, January 1, 2014

Heart of Dallas Bowl 2014

The Heart of Dallas Bowl has the North Texas Mean Green of Conference USA facing the UNLV Rebels of the Mountain West Conference.  Let's take a look at how these two teams stack up using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

Heart of Dallas Bowl 2014

Mean Green Rebels
Wins 8 7
Losses 4 5
Total 34 67
Offense 45 59
Defense 30 80
SOS 73.67 79.67
Best 18 87
Worst 73 76

The North Texas Mean Green finished the season at 8-4, playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the"league" average.  North Texas' best game (win over highest ranked team in the CICFPM) was a win over currently ranked #18 Ball State, and their worst game (loss to lowest ranked team) was a defeat to currently ranked #73 Ohio.  In terms of the model, North Texas is currently ranked as the #34 most productive team overall, with the #45 ranked offense and the #30 ranked defense.

The UNLV Rebels finished the regular season at 7-5, while playing against an "average" SOS.  The Rebels best game was a victory over currently ranked #87 Central Michigan and their worst game was a loss to currently ranked #76 San Jose State.  The Rebels are currently the #67 most productive team in the Football Bowl Subdivision, with the #59 ranked offense and the #80 ranked defense.

Expect North Texas to be victorious in today's Heart of Dallas Bowl.

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