Wednesday, January 1, 2014

Fiesta Bowl 2014

The Fiesta Bowl has the Baylor Bears of the Big 12 Conference facing the Central Florida Knights of the American Athletic Conference.  Let's take a look at how these two teams stack up using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.
Fiesta Bowl 2014

Bears Knights
Wins 11 11
Losses 1 1
Total 3 20
Offense 2 27
Defense 15 18
SOS 72.58 73.25
Best 30 2
Worst 19 11

The Baylor Bears are currently 11-1, playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the"league" average.  The Bears best game (win over highest ranked team in the CICFPM) was a defeat of currently ranked #30 Oklahoma, and their worst game (loss to lowest ranked team) was a defeat to currently ranked #19 Oklahoma StateIn terms of the model, Baylor is currently ranked as the #3 most productive team overall, with the #2 ranked offense and the #15 ranked defense.

The Central Florida Knights also finished the regular season at 11-1, while playing against an "average" SOS.  The Knights best game was a victory over currently ranked #2 Louisville and their worst game was a loss to currently ranked #11 South Carolina.  The Knights are currently the #20 most productive team in the Football Bowl Subdivision, with the #27 ranked offense and the #18 ranked defense.

Expect Baylor to be victorious in today's Fiesta Bowl.