Monday, October 20, 2025

Colorado State Fired Head Football Coach Jay Norvell

Colorado State has fired head football coach Jay Norvell during his fourth season at the helm of the Rams football program.  Here is a look at the Colorado State Rams football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model) and covers Steve Fairchild (2008-2011), Jim McElwain (2012-2014), Mike Bobo (2015-2019), Steve Addazio (2020-2021) and Jay Norvell (2022-2025*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Colorado State Rams football program during head coach Norvell's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Jay Norvell [2022-2025*]

2022 
The Rams were 3-9 at the end of the regular season and bowl ineligible. The Rams played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS for that season. Colorado State's best regular season win was against #115 ranked Nevado by a score of (17-14) and their worst regular season loss was to FCS Sacramento State by a score of (10-41).  Colorado State was the #113 ranked team overall, with the #128 ranked offense and the #39 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023 
The Rams finished the regular season at 5-7 making them bowl ineligible. The Rams played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Rams SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "leagues" average SOS for that season.  Colorado State's best regular season win was against #33 ranked Boise State by a score of (31-30) and their worst regular season loss was to #117 ranked Hawaii by a score of (24-27).  Colorado State was the #96 ranked team overall, with the #90 ranked offense and the #92 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2024
The Rams finished the regular season at 8-4 making them bowl eligible, but were defeated by #49 ranked Miami (Ohio) by a score of (17-43) to finish the season overall at 8-5.  The Rams played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS). Colorado State's best regular season win was against #46 ranked San Jose State by a score of (31-26) and their worst regular season loss was to #109 ranked Oregon State by a score of (31-39).  Colorado State was the #85 ranked team overall, with the #75 ranked offense and the #95 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025* 
The Rams were 2-5 at the time of Norvell's firing. The Rams played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) to this point in the season. At the time, Colorado State's best win was against currently ranked #72 Fresno State and their worst regular season loss was to currently ranked #95 Washington State by a score of (3-20).  At the time of Norvell's firing, Colorado State was the #115 ranked team overall, with the #106 ranked offense and the #110 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.