Sunday, October 12, 2025

Oregon State Fires Head Football Coach Trent Bray

Trent Bray has been fired as the head football coach at Oregon State.  This was his 2nd season at the helm of the Beavers football program going 5-14 overall.  Here is a look at the Oregon State Beavers football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model) and partially covers Mike Riley (2008-2014), Gary Andersen (2015-2017), Jonathan Smith (2018-2023), and Trent Bray (2024-2025*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Oregon State Beavers football program during head coach Bray's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Trent Bray [2024-2025]

2024 
The Beavers finished the regular season at 5-7 making them bowl ineligible. The Beavers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Oregon State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" SOS.  Oregon State's best regular season win was against #54 ranked Washington State by a score of (41-38) and their worst regular season loss was to #110 ranked Air Force by a score of (0-28).  Oregon State was the #109 ranked team overall, with the #101 ranked offense and the #104 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025* 
The Beavers were 2-3 at the time of Bray's firing. The Beavers played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS) to this point in the season.  This means that Oregon State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "leagues" SOS.  At the time, Oregon State's worst regular season loss was to #90 ranked California by a score of (15-34).  At the time of Bray's firing, Oregon State was the #126 ranked team overall, with the #82 ranked offense and the #133 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2025 FBS Head Coach Changes