Saturday, October 1, 2022

Georgia Tech Fires Head Coach Geoff Collins

With Hurricane Ian now behind us, let me catch up on NCAA FBS head coaching news.  On Monday of this week, Georgia Tech fired head football coach Geoff Collins.  Collins was 10-28 in slightly over three seasons at the helm of the Yellow Jackets.  Here is a look at the Georgia Tech football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers head football coach Paul Johnson (2008-2018), and Geoff Collins (2019-2022*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Georgia Tech Yellow Jacket football program during head coach Collins' tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Geoff Collins (2019-2022*) [contract

2019
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at 3-9 while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  An average SOS means that the Yellow Jackets SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" SOS. Georgia Tech's best win was against #33 ranked Miami (FL) by a score of (28-21) and their worst loss was to FCS Citadel by a score of (24-27).  Georgia Tech was the #104 ranked team overall, with the #111 ranked offense and the #78 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2020
Georgia Tech finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 3-7, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Georgia Tech's best regular season victory was against #53 ranked Louisville by a score of (46-27) and their worst loss was to #120 ranked Syracuse by a score of (20-37).  Georgia Tech was the #102 ranked team overall, with the #54 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
The Yellow Jackets finished the regular season at 3-9,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Georgia Tech's best win was against #60 ranked North Carolina by a score of (45-22) and their worst loss was to #91 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (17-26).  Georgia Tech was the #104 ranked team overall, with the #101 ranked offense and the #110 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022*
After the Yellow Jackets started at 1-3, Collins was fired.  Georgia Tech currently has played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS).  Georgia Tech's only win was against FCS Western Carolina by a score of (35-17) and their current worst loss was #38 ranked UCF by a score of (10-27).  Georgia Tech is currently the #112 ranked team overall, with the #121 ranked offense and the #80 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

2022 NCAA FBS Head Coaching Changes