Monday, September 19, 2022

Arizona State fired head football coach Herm Edwards

Yesterday, Arizona State University fired their head football coach, Herm Edwards.  Edwards was 26-19 in slightly over four seasons at the helm of the Sun Devils.  Here is a look at the Arizona State football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers the last four seasons of head football coach Dennis Erickson (2008-2011), Todd Graham (2012-2017), and Herm Edwards (2018-2022*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Arizona State Sun Devils football program during head coach Edwards' tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Herm Edwards (2018-2022*) [contract]

2018
Arizona State finished the regular season at 7-5, and were defeated by #4 ranked Fresno State in their post-season bowl game by a score of (20-31).  The Sun Devils played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  An average SOS means that the Sun Devils's SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" SOS.  Arizona State's best regular season victory was against #30 ranked Utah (38-20) and their worst loss was to #70 ranked Colorado (21-28).  Arizona State was the #55 ranked team overall, with the #49 ranked offense and the #66 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
The Sun Devils finished the regular season at 8-4, and defeated #60 ranked Florida State (20-14) in their post-season bowl game.  Arizona State played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Arizona State's best win was against #5 ranked Oregon by a score of (31-28) and their worst loss was to #111 Colorado by a score of (24-17).  Arizona State was the #48 ranked team overall, with the #59 ranked offense and the #47 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2020
Arizona State finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 2-2, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Arizona State's best regular season victory was against #85 ranked Oregon State by a score of (46-33) and their worst loss was to #51 ranked USC by a score of (27-28).  Arizona State was the #55 ranked team overall, with the #104 ranked offense and the #7 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
The Sun Devils finished the regular season at 8-4, and were defeated (13-20) by #17 ranked Wisconsin in their post-season bowl game.  Arizona State played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that the Sun Devils' SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "leagues" SOS.  Arizona State's best win was against #53 ranked UCLA by a score of (42-23) and their worst loss was to #65 ranked Oregon State by a score of (10-24).  Arizona State was the #47 ranked team overall, with the #66 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022*
After the Sun Devils started at 1-2, Edwards was fired.  Arizona State currently has played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Arizona State's only win was against FCS Northern Arizona by a score of (40-3) and their current worst loss was #100 Eastern Michigan by a score of (21-30).  Arizona State is currently the #71 ranked team overall, with the #74 ranked offense and the #59 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

2022 NCAA FBS Head Coaching Changes

Scott Frost and Nebraska