Saturday, November 30, 2019

Missouri Fires Head Football Coach Barry Odom

Earlier today Missouri head football coach Barry Odom was fired.  Odom was 25-25 in his four seasons at the helm of the Tigers program, going 6-6 this season, but will be unable to attend a bowl game this season as the program is on probation.  Here is a look at the Missouri Tigers football team since 2008; under two different head coaches - Pinkel (partial) and Odom.  As you will notice, Missouri had three top 20 seasons (2008, 2010 & 2013) under Pinkel, but the Tigers have not returned to that level of production under Odom.

Below is the Missouri Tigers production rank (total, offense, defense, and the average and worst teams) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com, as well as lines for head coaching firing/retiring.  More details about the program under Odom is provided below; including a link to his most recent contract.



Barry Odom [2016-2019]

2016
In Odom's first season Missouri finished the regular season at (4-8) and were bowl ineligible.  The Tigers played against an “average” strength of schedule, meaning the Lobos strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average strength of schedule.  Missouri's best regular season victory against #76 ranked Vanderbilt by a score of (26-17) and their worst loss was to #91 ranked South Carolina (21-31).  Missouri finished the season as the #68 ranked team overall, with the #52 ranked offense and the #84 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2017
The Tigers finished the regular season at (7-5) and were bowl eligible, where Missouri was defeated by the #47 ranked Texas Longhorns by a score of (16-33).  The Tigers played against an “average” strength of schedule.  Missouri's best regular season victory against #89 ranked Idaho by a score of (68-21) - yes all seven of their wins were against teams in the bottom quarter of the league and four of those wins were against SEC teams in the bottom quarter of the FBS.  Missouri's worst loss was to #99 ranked Kentucky (34-40).  The Tiges finished the season as the #33 ranked team overall, with the #8 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2018
Missouri finished the regular season at 8-4 and were again bowl eligible where they played the #76 ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys, and were defeated (33-38) to finish 8-5 overall.  The Tigers played against an “average” strength of scheduleMissouri's best regular season victory against #10 ranked Florida Gators by a score of (38-17) and their worst loss was to #79 ranked South Carolina (35-37).  Missouri finished the season as the #34 ranked team overall, with the #23 ranked offense and the #42 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2019*
At the conclusion of the regular season, Missouri fired head football coach Barry Odom after going 6-6, but was ineligible for post-season play due to NCAA sanctions.  Missouri was playing against an “average” strength of schedule.  Missouri's best victory was against currently ranked #55 Troy by a score of (42-10) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #122 Vanderbilt by a score of (14-21).  Missour's current production rankings are:  #57 team overall, with the #80 offense and the #33 defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Previous FBS Head Coaching Changes in 2019
Rutgers and Chris Ash
Florida State and Willie Taggart
Arkansas and Chad Morris
UNLV and Tony Sanchez
New Mexico and Bob Davie

Tuesday, November 26, 2019

New Mexico and Head Football Coach Bob Davie Part Ways

Yesterday, the University of New Mexico fired their head football coach Bob Davie after nearly eight seasons at the helm of the Lobos.  Davie will coach the last game in Albuquerque against Utah State this weekend.  New Mexico is currently 2-9 and bowl ineligible.

Here is a look at the New Mexico Lobos football team since 2008; under three different head coaches - Long (partial), Locksley and Davie.  As you will notice, New Mexico had one great season in 2016  under Davie, but the Lobos have retreated since then.

Below is the New Mexico Lobos production rank (total, offense, defense, and the average and worst teams) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com, as well as lines for head coaching firing/leaving.  More details about the program under Davie is provided below; including a link to his contract information.


Bob Davie [2012-2019*]

2012
The Lobos finished the regular season under Davie at (4-9).  New Mexico played against an “easier” strength of schedule, meaning the Lobos strength of schedule was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league" average strength of schedule.  New Mexico's best regular season victory against #99 ranked Texas State by a score of (35-14) and their worst loss was to #109 ranked UNLV (7-35).  New Mexico finished the season as the #96 ranked team overall, with the #73 ranked offense and the #107 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2013
The Lobos finished the regular season at (3-9).  New Mexico played against an “average” strength of schedule, meaning the Lobos strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average strength of scheduleNew Mexico's best regular season victory against #107 ranked Air Force by a score of (45-37) and their worst loss was to #84 ranked San Diego State (30-35).  New Mexico finished the season as the #105 ranked team overall, with the #60 ranked offense and the #121 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2014
New Mexico finished the regular season at (4-8).  The Lobos played against an “average” strength of scheduleNew Mexico's best regular season victory against #100 ranked UTSA by a score of (21-9) and their worst loss was to #108 ranked Fresno State (24-35).  New Mexico finished the season as the #106 ranked team overall, with the #73 ranked offense and the #118 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2015
The Lobos finished the regular season at (7-5), becoming bowl eligible for the first time since 2007.  New Mexico was defeated by #70 ranked Arizona (37-45) in the New Mexico Bowl to finish 7-6 overall.  The Lobos played against an “easier” strength of schedule.  New Mexico's best regular season victory against #8 ranked Boise State by a score of (31-24) and their worst loss was to #103 ranked Tulsa (21-40).  The Lobos finished the season as the #78 ranked team overall, with the #49 ranked offense and the #95 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2016
In what was the best season under Davie, New Mexico finished the regular season at (8-4) and for the second year in a row the Lobos were bowl eligible.  New Mexico played in the New Mexico Bowl where they defeated the #71 ranked UTSA (23-20) to finish 9-4 overall.  The Lobos played against a “much easier” strength of schedule, meaning the Lobos strength of schedule was greater than two standard deviations higher than the "league" average strength of schedule.  New Mexico's best regular season victory against #36 ranked Air Force by a score of (45-40) and their worst loss was to #126 ranked Rutgers (28-37).  New Mexico finished the season as the #33 ranked team overall, with the #17 ranked offense and the #79 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2017
The Lobos finished the regular season at (3-9) and were again bowl ineligible.  The Lobos played against an “average” strength of schedule.  New Mexico's best regular season victory against #87 ranked Air Force by a score of (56-38) and their worst loss was to #84 ranked UNLV (35-38).  The Lobos finished the season as the #111 ranked team overall, with the #97 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2018
New Mexico finished the regular season at (3-9) and were bowl ineligible.  The Lobos played against an “average” strength of scheduleNew Mexico's best regular season victory against #105 ranked UNLV by a score of (50-14) and their worst loss was to #116 ranked Colorado State (18-20).  New Mexico finished the season as the #115 ranked team overall, with the #100 ranked offense and the #112 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2019*
After eleven regular season games, New Mexico fired head football coach Bob Davie.  New Mexico was playing against an “average” strength of schedule.  During those eleven regular games New Mexico's best victory was against in-state rival and currently ranked #125 New Mexico State by a score of (55-52) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #115 Nevada by a score of (10-21).  New Mexico's current production rankings are:  #119 team overall, with the #99 offense and the #127 [4th worst] defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Previous FBS Head Coaching Changes in 2019
Rutgers and Chris Ash
Florida State and Willie Taggart
Arkansas and Chad Morris
UNLV and Tony Sanchez

Monday, November 25, 2019

UNLV Fires Head Football Coach Tony Sanchez

Earlier today, UNLV fired their head football coach Tony Sanchez after nearly five seasons at the helm of the Running Rebels.  While Sanchez will coach the last game at Nevada this weekend.  UNLV is currently 3-8 and bowl ineligible; UNLV has been bowl ineligible for each of the five seasons under Sanchez.

Here is a look at the UNLV Running Rebels since 2008; under three different head coaches - Sanford (partial), Hauck and Sanchez.  As you will notice, UNLV had increased their productivity under the first three seasons under Sanchez (which most likely resulted in his contract extension), but the Running Rebels have retreated the last two seasons.

Below is the UNLV Running Rebels production rank (total, offense, defense, and the average and worst teams) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com, as well as lines for head coaching firing/leaving.  More details about the program under Sanchez is provided below; including a link to his 2015 contract information, and his 2017 contract.



Tony Sanchez [2015-2019*] {2017 contract}

2015
The Running Rebels finished the regular season under Sanchez at (3-9).  UNLV played against an “average” strength of schedule, meaning that the Running Rebels strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average strength of schedule.  UNLV's best regular season victory against #67 ranked Nevada by a score of (23-17) and their worst loss was to #116 ranked Fresno State (28-31).  UNLV finished the season as the #96 ranked team overall, with the #61 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2016
The Running Rebels finished the regular season at (4-8).  UNLV played against an “easier” strength of schedule, meaning that the Running Rebels strength of schedule was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league" average strength of schedule.  UNLV's best regular season victory against #86 ranked Wyoming by a score of (69-66) and their worst loss was to #109 ranked San Jose State (24-20).  UNLV finished the season as the #63 ranked team overall, with the #54 ranked offense and the #70 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2017
The Running Rebels finished the regular season at (5-7).  UNLV played against an “easier” strength of scheduleUNLV's best regular season victory against #23 ranked Fresno State by a score of (26-16) and their worst loss was to FCS Howard (40-43).  UNLV finished the season as the #84 ranked team overall, with the #63 ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2018
The Running Rebels finished the regular season at (4-8).  UNLV played against an “average” strength of scheduleUNLV's best regular season victory against #52 ranked Nevada by a score of (34-29) and their worst loss was to #122 ranked San Jose State (37-50).  UNLV finished the season as the #105 ranked team overall, with the #95 ranked offense and the #101 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2019*
After eleven regular season games, UNLV fired head football coach Tony Sanchez.  UNLV was playing against an “average” strength of schedule; meaning that the Running Rebels SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  During those eleven regular games UNLV's best victory was their most recent game against currently ranked #67 San Jose State by a score of (38-35) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #118 Northwestern by a score of (14-30).  UNLV's current production rankings are:  #109 team overall, with the #102 offense and the #111 defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Previous FBS Head Coaching Changes in 2019
Rutgers and Chris Ash
Florida State and Willie Taggart
Arkansas and Chad Morris

Sunday, November 24, 2019

2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 13

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model most productive team in all of the NCAA FBS is the Ohio State University Buckeyes.

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Ohio State
2 Clemson
3 Alabama
4 Utah
5 Oregon
6 LSU
7 Oklahoma
8 Louisiana-Lafayette
9 Georgia
10 Wisconsin
11 Baylor
12 Notre Dame
13 UCF
14 Penn State
15 Florida
16 Memphis
17 Auburn
18 Minnesota
19 Boise State
20 Appalachian State
21 Navy
22 Army
23 Air Force
24 Louisiana Tech
25 Michigan
Previous 2019 Top 25 Rankings
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #2
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #3
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #4 
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #5
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #6
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #7
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #8
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #9
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #10
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #11
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #12

Sunday, November 17, 2019

2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 12

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model most productive team in all of the NCAA FBS is the Ohio State University Buckeyes.

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Ohio State
2 Clemson
3 Alabama
4 Utah
5 Oregon
6 Georgia
7 Wisconsin
8 Oklahoma
9 LSU
10 Penn State
11 Louisiana-Lafayette
12 UCF
13 Florida
14 Navy
15 Baylor
16 Notre Dame
17 Minnesota
18 Army
19 Boise State
20 Memphis
21 Appalachian State
22 Air Force
23 Indiana
24 Michigan
25 Auburn

Previous 2019 Top 25 Rankings
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #2
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #3
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #4 
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #5
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #6
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #7
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #8
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #9
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #10
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #11

Monday, November 11, 2019

Arkansas Fired Chad Morris

Yesterday, the University of Arkansas fired their head football coach, Chad Morris after a 19-45 loss to Western KentuckyThis after just receiving a contract extension a week earlier.

Arkansas was 2-8 at the time of Morris' firing.  Here is a look at the Arkansas Razorbacks since 2008; under four different head coaches - Petrino, Smith, Bielema and Morris.  As you will notice, Arkansas has had some remarkably productive seasons (Petrino), and some not so remarkably productive seasons - especially under Morris.

Below is the Arkansas Razorbacks production rank (total, offense, defense, and the average and worst teams) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com, as well as lines for head coaching firing/leaving.  More details about the program under Morris is provided below; including a link to his 2017 contract.



Chad Morris [2018-2019]

2018
The Razorbacks finished the regular season again at (2-10).  Arkansas played against a “tougher” strength of schedule, meaning that the Razorbacks strength of schedule was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average strength of schedule.  Arkansas' best regular season victory against #102 ranked Tulsa by a score of (23-0) and their worst loss was to #116 ranked Colorado State (27-34).  Arkansas finished the season as the #118 ranked team overall, with the #127 ranked offense [4th worst] and the #78 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2019*
After ten regular season games, Arkansas fired head football coach Chad Morris, which at the time was (2-10), while playing against an “average” strength of schedule; meaning that the Razorbacks SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  During those ten regular games Arkansas' best victory was against currently ranked #70 Colorado State by a score of (55-34) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #73 Kentucky by a score of (20-24).  Arkansas' current production rankings are:  #122 team overall, with the #111 offense and the #123 defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.


Previous FBS Head Coaching Changes in 2019
Rutgers and Chris Ash
Florida State and Willie Taggart

Sunday, November 10, 2019

2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 11

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model most productive team in all of the NCAA FBS is the Ohio State University Buckeyes.

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Ohio State
2 Clemson
3 Utah
4 Georgia
5 Alabama
6 Oregon
7 Wisconsin
8 Penn State
9 Navy
10 LSU
11 Oklahoma
12 Louisiana-Lafayette
13 Baylor
14 UCF
15 Florida
16 Minnesota
17 Louisiana Tech
18 Notre Dame
19 Indiana
20 Auburn
21 Air Force
22 Michigan
23 Boise State
24 Appalachian State
25 Iowa State
Previous 2019 Top 25 Rankings
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #2
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #3
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #4 
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #5
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #6
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #7
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #8
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #9
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #10

Wednesday, November 6, 2019

Syracuse Fires Defensive Coordinator Brian Ward

Earlier this week, Syracuse fired football defensive coordinator Brian Ward.  Ward has been defensive coordinator at Syracuse since 2016.  Here is a look at the Syracuse Orangemen defense during this time period using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.



As you can see above, the Syracuse Orangemen have been below average on defense in the Football Bowl Subdivision for all four season under Ward.  Currently, Syracuse is ranked #110 out of #130 in defense in all of the FBS. 

Tuesday, November 5, 2019

Arizona Fired Marcel Yates as Defensive Coordinator

Last month the University of Arizona fired football defensive coordinator Marcel Yates.  Yates has been defensive coordinator at Arizona since 2016.  Here is a look at the Arizona Wildcats defense during this time period using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.


As you can see above, the Arizona Wildcats have had a below average defense in the Football Bowl Subdivision for all four season under Yates.  Currently Arizona is the 5th worst defense in all of the FBS.

Monday, November 4, 2019

Willie Taggart Fired at Florida State

Earlier this week, Florida State University fired their head football coach - Willie Taggart, after a 10-27 loss to in-state rival Miami.  Florida State was 4-5 at the time of Taggart's firing.  Here is a look at the Florida State Seminoles since 2008; under three different head coaches - Bowden (partial), Fisher and Taggart.  As you will notice, Florida State has had some remarkably productive seasons, and some not so remarkably productive seasons - especially under Taggart.

Below is the Florida State Seminoles production rank (total, offense, defense, and the average and worst) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com, as well as lines for head coaching firing/leaving.  More details about the program under Taggart is provided below.


Willie Taggart [2018-2019]


2018
The Seminoles finished the regular season again at (5-7).  Florida State played against a “tougher” strength of schedule, meaning that the Seminoles strength of schedule was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average strength of schedule.  Florida State's best regular season victory against #48 ranked Boston College by a score of (22-21) and their worst loss was to #87 ranked Virginia Tech (3-24).  Florida State finished the season as the #97 ranked team overall, with the #105 ranked offense and the #69 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2019*
After nine regular season games, Florida State fired head football coach Willie Taggart, which at the time was (4-5), while playing against a “tougher” strength of schedule.  During those nine regular games Florida State's best victory was against currently ranked #66 Louisville by a score of (35-24) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #53 Virginia by a score of (24-31).  Florida State's current production rankings are:  #82 team overall, with the #65 offense and the #86 defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Previous FBS Head Coaching Changes in 2019
Rutgers and Chris Ash

Sunday, November 3, 2019

2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 10

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model most productive team in all of the NCAA FBS is the Ohio State University Buckeyes.  Notice that Clemson has jumped to the #2 spot this week.

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.
Rank Team
1 Ohio State
2 Clemson
3 Alabama
4 Penn State
5 Oregon
6 Utah
7 Georgia
8 Wisconsin
9 LSU
10 Navy
11 Oklahoma
12 UCF
13 Baylor
14 Minnesota
15 Louisiana-Lafayette
16 Louisiana Tech
17 Florida
18 Indiana
19 Boise State
20 Michigan
21 Auburn
22 Air Force
23 Notre Dame
24 Iowa State
25 Appalachian State

Previous 2019 Top 25 Rankings
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #2
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #3
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #4 
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #5
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #6
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #7
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #8
2019 NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings for Week #9