Monday, November 25, 2019

UNLV Fires Head Football Coach Tony Sanchez

Earlier today, UNLV fired their head football coach Tony Sanchez after nearly five seasons at the helm of the Running Rebels.  While Sanchez will coach the last game at Nevada this weekend.  UNLV is currently 3-8 and bowl ineligible; UNLV has been bowl ineligible for each of the five seasons under Sanchez.

Here is a look at the UNLV Running Rebels since 2008; under three different head coaches - Sanford (partial), Hauck and Sanchez.  As you will notice, UNLV had increased their productivity under the first three seasons under Sanchez (which most likely resulted in his contract extension), but the Running Rebels have retreated the last two seasons.

Below is the UNLV Running Rebels production rank (total, offense, defense, and the average and worst teams) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com, as well as lines for head coaching firing/leaving.  More details about the program under Sanchez is provided below; including a link to his 2015 contract information, and his 2017 contract.



Tony Sanchez [2015-2019*] {2017 contract}

2015
The Running Rebels finished the regular season under Sanchez at (3-9).  UNLV played against an “average” strength of schedule, meaning that the Running Rebels strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average strength of schedule.  UNLV's best regular season victory against #67 ranked Nevada by a score of (23-17) and their worst loss was to #116 ranked Fresno State (28-31).  UNLV finished the season as the #96 ranked team overall, with the #61 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2016
The Running Rebels finished the regular season at (4-8).  UNLV played against an “easier” strength of schedule, meaning that the Running Rebels strength of schedule was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league" average strength of schedule.  UNLV's best regular season victory against #86 ranked Wyoming by a score of (69-66) and their worst loss was to #109 ranked San Jose State (24-20).  UNLV finished the season as the #63 ranked team overall, with the #54 ranked offense and the #70 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2017
The Running Rebels finished the regular season at (5-7).  UNLV played against an “easier” strength of scheduleUNLV's best regular season victory against #23 ranked Fresno State by a score of (26-16) and their worst loss was to FCS Howard (40-43).  UNLV finished the season as the #84 ranked team overall, with the #63 ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2018
The Running Rebels finished the regular season at (4-8).  UNLV played against an “average” strength of scheduleUNLV's best regular season victory against #52 ranked Nevada by a score of (34-29) and their worst loss was to #122 ranked San Jose State (37-50).  UNLV finished the season as the #105 ranked team overall, with the #95 ranked offense and the #101 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2019*
After eleven regular season games, UNLV fired head football coach Tony Sanchez.  UNLV was playing against an “average” strength of schedule; meaning that the Running Rebels SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average SOS.  During those eleven regular games UNLV's best victory was their most recent game against currently ranked #67 San Jose State by a score of (38-35) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #118 Northwestern by a score of (14-30).  UNLV's current production rankings are:  #109 team overall, with the #102 offense and the #111 defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Previous FBS Head Coaching Changes in 2019
Rutgers and Chris Ash
Florida State and Willie Taggart
Arkansas and Chad Morris