Monday, September 30, 2019

Rutgers Fires their Head Football Coach

Rutgers fired their head football coach, Chris Ash, yesterday, after a 0-52 loss to the University of Michigan.  Ash was 1-3 in 2019.  Here is a look at the Rutgers Scarlet Knights since 2008; under three different head coaches - Schiano (partial), Flood and Ash.  As you will notice, Rutgers has had some remarkably productive seasons, and some not so remarkably productive seasons - especially under Ash.

Below is the Rutgers Scarlet Knights production rank (total, offense, defense, and the average and worst) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com, as well as lines for head coaching firing/leaving.  More details about the program under Ash (including a link to his contract) is provided below.



Chris Ash [2016 - 2019*]

2016
Rutgers finished the regular season again at (2-10).  Rutgers played against a “much tougher” strength of schedule, meaning that the Scarlet Knights strength of schedule was more than two standard deviation below the of the "league" average strength of schedule.  Rutgers best regular season victory against #33 ranked New Mexico by a score of (37-28) and their worst loss was to #99 ranked Illinois (7-24).  The Scarlet Knights finished the season as the #126 ranked team overall, with the #128 ranked offense and the #97 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2017
Rutgers finish the reason at (4-8) while playing against an “average” strength of schedule, meaning that Rutgers strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviations of the "league's" average strength of schedule.  Rutgers best game was their victory against #41 ranked Purdue by a score of (14-12) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #118 Nebraska by a score of (17-27).  The Scarlet Knights end of regular season production rankings are:  #116 team overall, with the #126 offense and the #74 defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2018
The Scarlet Knights finished the regular season again at (1-11).  Rutgers played against a “tougher” strength of schedule, meaning that the Scarlet Knights strength of schedule was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "league" average strength of schedule.  Rutgers only regular season victory against #75 ranked Texas State by a score of (35-7) and their worst loss was to #121 ranked Illinois (17-38).  Rutgers finished the season as the #125 ranked team overall, with the #129 ranked offense and the #93 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2019*
After four regular season games, Rutgers fired head football coach Chris Ash, which at the time was (1-3), while playing against a “tougher” strength of schedule.  During the first four games of the season Rutgers only victory was against currently ranked #127 Massachusetts by a score of (48-21) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #73 Boston College by a score of (16-30).  Rutgers current production rankings are:  #122 team overall, with the #126 offense and the #91 defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.