Tuesday, November 26, 2019

New Mexico and Head Football Coach Bob Davie Part Ways

Yesterday, the University of New Mexico fired their head football coach Bob Davie after nearly eight seasons at the helm of the Lobos.  Davie will coach the last game in Albuquerque against Utah State this weekend.  New Mexico is currently 2-9 and bowl ineligible.

Here is a look at the New Mexico Lobos football team since 2008; under three different head coaches - Long (partial), Locksley and Davie.  As you will notice, New Mexico had one great season in 2016  under Davie, but the Lobos have retreated since then.

Below is the New Mexico Lobos production rank (total, offense, defense, and the average and worst teams) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com, as well as lines for head coaching firing/leaving.  More details about the program under Davie is provided below; including a link to his contract information.


Bob Davie [2012-2019*]

2012
The Lobos finished the regular season under Davie at (4-9).  New Mexico played against an “easier” strength of schedule, meaning the Lobos strength of schedule was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league" average strength of schedule.  New Mexico's best regular season victory against #99 ranked Texas State by a score of (35-14) and their worst loss was to #109 ranked UNLV (7-35).  New Mexico finished the season as the #96 ranked team overall, with the #73 ranked offense and the #107 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2013
The Lobos finished the regular season at (3-9).  New Mexico played against an “average” strength of schedule, meaning the Lobos strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" average strength of scheduleNew Mexico's best regular season victory against #107 ranked Air Force by a score of (45-37) and their worst loss was to #84 ranked San Diego State (30-35).  New Mexico finished the season as the #105 ranked team overall, with the #60 ranked offense and the #121 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2014
New Mexico finished the regular season at (4-8).  The Lobos played against an “average” strength of scheduleNew Mexico's best regular season victory against #100 ranked UTSA by a score of (21-9) and their worst loss was to #108 ranked Fresno State (24-35).  New Mexico finished the season as the #106 ranked team overall, with the #73 ranked offense and the #118 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2015
The Lobos finished the regular season at (7-5), becoming bowl eligible for the first time since 2007.  New Mexico was defeated by #70 ranked Arizona (37-45) in the New Mexico Bowl to finish 7-6 overall.  The Lobos played against an “easier” strength of schedule.  New Mexico's best regular season victory against #8 ranked Boise State by a score of (31-24) and their worst loss was to #103 ranked Tulsa (21-40).  The Lobos finished the season as the #78 ranked team overall, with the #49 ranked offense and the #95 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2016
In what was the best season under Davie, New Mexico finished the regular season at (8-4) and for the second year in a row the Lobos were bowl eligible.  New Mexico played in the New Mexico Bowl where they defeated the #71 ranked UTSA (23-20) to finish 9-4 overall.  The Lobos played against a “much easier” strength of schedule, meaning the Lobos strength of schedule was greater than two standard deviations higher than the "league" average strength of schedule.  New Mexico's best regular season victory against #36 ranked Air Force by a score of (45-40) and their worst loss was to #126 ranked Rutgers (28-37).  New Mexico finished the season as the #33 ranked team overall, with the #17 ranked offense and the #79 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2017
The Lobos finished the regular season at (3-9) and were again bowl ineligible.  The Lobos played against an “average” strength of schedule.  New Mexico's best regular season victory against #87 ranked Air Force by a score of (56-38) and their worst loss was to #84 ranked UNLV (35-38).  The Lobos finished the season as the #111 ranked team overall, with the #97 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2018
New Mexico finished the regular season at (3-9) and were bowl ineligible.  The Lobos played against an “average” strength of scheduleNew Mexico's best regular season victory against #105 ranked UNLV by a score of (50-14) and their worst loss was to #116 ranked Colorado State (18-20).  New Mexico finished the season as the #115 ranked team overall, with the #100 ranked offense and the #112 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2019*
After eleven regular season games, New Mexico fired head football coach Bob Davie.  New Mexico was playing against an “average” strength of schedule.  During those eleven regular games New Mexico's best victory was against in-state rival and currently ranked #125 New Mexico State by a score of (55-52) and their worst loss was to currently ranked #115 Nevada by a score of (10-21).  New Mexico's current production rankings are:  #119 team overall, with the #99 offense and the #127 [4th worst] defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Previous FBS Head Coaching Changes in 2019
Rutgers and Chris Ash
Florida State and Willie Taggart
Arkansas and Chad Morris
UNLV and Tony Sanchez