Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Virginia Tech Fired Head Football Coach Brent Pry

Yesterday Brent Pry was fired as head football coach at Virginia Tech, after an 0-3 start to the 2025 regular season.  Pry was 16-24 in three plus seasons at the helm of the Hokies.  Here is a look at the Virginia Tech Hokies football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last eight seasons of head football coach Frank Beamer (2008-2015), Justin Fuente  (2016-2021), and Brent Pry (2022-2025).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Virginia Tech Hokies football program during head coach Pry's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed). 

Brent Pry [2022-2025*] 

2022 
The Hokies finished the regular season at 3-8 (the game against Virginia was cancelled). The Hokies played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the average SOS for the "league".  Virginia Tech's best win was against #52 ranked Liberty by a score of (23-22) and their worst loss was to #104 ranked West Virginia by a score of (10-33).  Virginia Tech was the #96 ranked team overall, with the #119 ranked offense and the #34 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
The Hokies finished the regular season at 6-6, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" average.  They defeated by #43 ranked Tulane by a score of (41-20) in their post-season bowl game to finish the season overall at 7-6. Virginia Tech's best regular season win was against #72 ranked Syracuse by a score of (38-10) and their worst loss was to #85 ranked Marshall by a score of (17-24).  Virginia Tech was the #50 ranked team overall, with the #52 ranked offense and the #52 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
The Hokies were 6-6, making them bowl eligible, but they were defeated by #19 ranked Minnesota by a score of (10-24) to finish at 6-7 overall.  The Hokies played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Virginia Tech's best win was against #45 ranked Georgia Tech (21-6) and their worst loss was to #71 ranked Rutgers by a score of (23-26).  Virginia Tech was the #60 ranked team overall, with the #66 ranked offense and the #48 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
Head coach Pry was fired at the end of the third game of the regular season where the Hokies were 0-3.  The Hokies played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) at the time of Pry's firing.  Virginia Tech's worst loss to currently ranked #45 Old Dominion by a score of (26-45).  Virginia Tech currently is the #135 ranked team overall, with the #126 ranked offense and the #134 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2025 FBS Head Coach Changes

Monday, September 15, 2025

DeShawn Foster Fired as Head Football Coach at UCLA

Yesterday, head coach DeShawn Foster was fired as the UCLA Bruins head football coach after a 0-3 start to the regular season.  Foster finishes at 5-10 overall during his 1.25 season tenure at the helm of the program.  Here is a look at the UCLA Bruins football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Rick Neuheisel (2008-2011),  Jim Mora (2012-2017) and Chip Kelly (2018-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the UCLA Bruins football program during head coach Foster's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

 

DeShawn Foster (2024-2025)

2024
Head coach Foster's first season finished at 5-7.  The Bruins played against a “much tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Bruins SOS was more than two standard deviations lower than the average SOS for the "league".  UCLA's best win was against #32 ranked Iowa (20-17) and their worst loss was again to #62 ranked LSU by a score of (17-34).  UCLA was the #108 ranked team overall, with the #127 ranked offense and the #36 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
Head coach Foster was fired after the third game the regular season where the Bruins were 0-3.  The Bruins played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  At the time of Foster's firing UCLA's worst loss was to #85 ranked New Mexico by a score of (10-35).  UCLA currently is the #128 ranked team overall, with the #119 ranked offense and the #125 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025 FBS Head Coach Changes 
 

Sunday, September 14, 2025

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 3

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has the Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Missouri
3 Texas Tech
4 North Texas
5 Nebraska
6 Miami (Florida)
7 Ohio State
8 Oregon
9 Utah
10 Penn State
11 Minnesota
12 Vanderbilt
13 Illinois
14 USC
15 BYU
16 Iowa State
17 Arizona
18 Oklahoma
19 Maryland
20 Rutgers
21 Georgia
22 Arkansas
23 Kansas
24 Memphis
25 Mississippi

2025 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 2

Sunday, September 7, 2025

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 2

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has the University of Arkansas as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Arkansas
2 USC
3 Texas Tech
4 BYU
5 Arizona
6 Oregon
7 Temple
8 UCF
9 Tennessee
10 Vanderbilt
11 Minnesota
12 Utah
13 Kansas
14 Illinois
15 Boston College
16 Nebraska
17 Washington
18 North Texas
19 Georgia
20 Florida State
21 Ohio State
22 Missouri
23 UNLV
24 Texas A&M
25 Auburn

2025 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

none at this time

Prior Final NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings (with links to prior weekly rankings)

 

Tuesday, April 15, 2025

Kent State Fires Head Football Coach Kenni Burns

 Kenni Burns has been fired as head football coach by Kent State.  The Kent State Golden Flashes were 1-23 during his tenure.  Here is a look at the Kent State Golden Flashes football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Doug Martin (2008-2010),  Darrell Hazell (2011-2012), Paul Haynes (2018- 2022), Sean Lewis (2018-2022) and Kenni Burns (2023-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Kent State Golden Flashesl football program during head coach Burns' tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Kenni Burns (2023-2024)

2023 
Head coach Burns' first season finished at 1-11.  The Golden Flashes played against an "easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Golden Flashes SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the average SOS for the "league".  Kent State's best (and only) win was against FCS Central Connecticut State (38-10) and their worst loss was against #119 ranked Eastern Michigan by a score of (14-28).  Kent State was the #131 ranked team overall , with the #131 ranked offense and the #103 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
What became Burns' final season at Kent State, the Golden Flashes were winless, finishing at 0-12.  Kent State played against an "average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Kent State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" SOS.  Kent State's worst loss was against FCS St. Francis (PA) by a score of (17-23).  Kent State was the #134 ranked team overall (the worst for that season), with the #128 ranked offense and the #134 ranked defense (the worst for that season) using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2025 FBS Head Coach Changes 

Stanford and Troy Taylor

Tuesday, March 25, 2025

Stanford Fires Head Football Coach Troy Taylor

Stanford has fired head football coach for off field incidences.  During his two year tenure at Stanford, the Cardinal football program was 6-18 overall.  Here is a look at the Stanford Cardinal football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Jim Harbaugh (2008-2010),  David Shaw (2011-2022) and Troy Taylor (2023-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Stanford Cardinal football program during head coach Taylor's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Troy Taylor (2023-2024)

2023 
Head coach Taylor's first season finished at 3-9.  The Cardinal played against a "tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Cardinal SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the average SOS for the "league".  Stanford's best win was against #83 ranked Washington State (10-7) and their worst loss was against FCS Sacramento State by a score of (23-30).  Stanford was the #133 ranked team overall (the worst for that season), with the #125 ranked offense and the #133 ranked defense (the worst for that season) using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
What became Taylor's final season at Stanford, the Cardinal again finished at 3-9.  Stanford played against a "tougher” strength of schedule (SOS).  Stanford's best win was against #28 ranked Louisville (38-35) and their worst loss was against #114 ranked Wake Forest by a score of (24-27).  Stanford was the #126 ranked team overall, with the #123 ranked offense and the #113 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2025 FBS Head Coach Changes 

Tuesday, January 21, 2025

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking Final

Congratulations to the Ohio State Buckeyes on their national championship victory.  Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model has Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team for the 2024 season!  Ohio State is #2 and Notre Dame is #5 in terms of team overall production.

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Ohio State
3 Penn State
4 Mississippi
5 Notre Dame
6 Miami (Florida)
7 Tennessee
8 Texas
9 Boise State
10 Oregon
11 Army
12 Alabama
13 SMU
14 Clemson
15 Georgia
16 Ohio
17 UNLV
18 Arizona State
19 Minnesota
20 BYU
21 Texas State
22 Tulane
23 Memphis
24 Colorado
25 Iowa State

2024 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings