Friday, December 17, 2021

2021 Bahamas Bowl

Today the Bahamas Bowl pits the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders from the Conference USA against the Toledo Rockets from the Mid American Conference.  Here is my analysis of based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model, which uses data provided at www.cfbstats.com.

Here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Prediction
Given the overall productivity of the two programs, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model gives the edge to the Toledo Rockets.  Below is a "tale of the tape" for each of these two football programs this season.

Middle Tennessee State (6-6) of the Conference USA
Based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model:
Strength of Schedule:  Easier
Highest Ranked Victory:  #32 currently ranked Marshall
Lowest Ranked Loss:  #107 currently ranked Charlotte
Current Total Production Rank:  #70
Current Offense Production Rank:  #72
Current Defense Production Rank:  #68

Toledo Rockets (7-5) of the Mid American Conference
Based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model:
Strength of Schedule:  Easier
Highest Ranked Victory:  #40 currently ranked Western Michigan
Lowest Ranked Loss:  #96 currently ranked Northern Illinois
Current Total Production Rank:  #13
Current Offense Production Rank:  #29
Current Defense Production Rank:  #9