Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Frank Beamer Retires from Virginia Tech

Last November Virginia Tech's head football coach announced that he was retiring at the end of the season.  Now that the season is over, I have decided to take a look at the last part of coach Beamer at the helm of the Virginia Tech football program in terms of team productivity starting in 2008, since that is when the data I use for the college football production model begins.

Below is a chart of offense, defense and total production of the Virginia Tech Hokies football program during Beamer's tenure as head football coach, along with who would be the lowest ranked team during this time period (in purple) and the average team (sky blue).   As you may notice, Virginia Tech has been up and down during the last few years under Beamer's tenure. All rankings in this blog come from my Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.  More details about the program under Beamer are after the chart below, including contract information.


Frank Beamer [2013 Contract Extension]

2008
In the first year of the model, the Hokies finished the regular season at 9-4 (bowl eligible), and defeated #31 ranked Cincinnati (20-7) to finish at 10-4 overall, while playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that their strength of schedule was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league's" average SOS.  The Hokies best win was their bowl victory over Cincinnati and their worst loss was to #58 ranked East Carolina by a score of (22-27).  Virginia Tech had the #37 ranked team in total production with the #67 ranked offense and the #13 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.


2009
The Hokies again finished the regular season at 9-3 and were bowl eligible, defeating #22 ranked Tennessee (37-14) to finish 10-3 overall.  Virginia Tech played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS, meaning that Virginia Tech's SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the average SOS for the "league".  The Hokies best regular season game was a victory (16-15) over #16 Nebraska and their worst loss was to #33 ranked North Carolina (17-20).  Overall, the Hokies had the #6 ranked team with the #21 ranked offense and the #5 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2010
Virginia Tech finished the regular season overall at 11-2 (bowl eligible) and were defeated by #11 ranked Stanford in their post-season bowl game by a score of (12-40) to finish the season at 11-3.  Virginia Tech played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hokies best game again was their victory over #23 ranked Florida State (44-33) and their worst loss was to FCS James Madison (16-21).  Virginia Tech had the #19 ranked team in total production with the #14 ranked offense and the #57 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2011
At the end of the regular season the Hokies were again 11-2 (bowl eligible) and again lost their bowl game, this time to #10 ranked Michigan (20-23) to finish 11-3 overall, playing against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hokies best win was over #17 ranked Georgia Tech (37-26) and their worst loss was to #59 ranked Clemson (twice) by a score of (3-23 & 10-38).  Virginia Tech had the #20 ranked team in total production with the #39 ranked offense and the #15 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2012  
At the end of the regular season the Hokies were 6-6 (bowl eligible) winning their post-season bowl game over #16 ranked Rutgers by a score of (13-10) to finish 7-6 overall, while playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.   The Hokies best win was bowl game victory and their worst loss was to #74 ranked Miami (FL) by a score of (22-28).  Virginia Tech had the #68 ranked team in total production with the #83 ranked offense and the #44 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2013
At the end of the regular season the Hokies were 8-4 (bowl eligible) losing their post-season bowl game to #26 ranked UCLA by a score of (12-42) to finish 8-5 overall, again playing against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hokies best win was again over #8 ranked Marshall (29-21) and their worst loss was to #73 ranked Boston College by a score of (27-34).  Virginia Tech had the #54 ranked team in total production with the #95 ranked offense and the #4 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.


2014
The Hokies again finished the regular season at 6-6 and were bowl eligible and won their post-season bowl game to #29 ranked Cincinnati by a score of (33-17).  Virginia Tech for a third straight year played against a "tougher" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hokies best regular season game was a victory (35-21) over #4 ranked Ohio State and their worst loss was to #119 ranked Wake Forest (3-6).  Overall, the Hokies had the #56 ranked team with the #90 ranked offense and the #8 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

2015
Virginia Tech finished the regular season overall at 6-6 (bowl eligible) and defeated by #103 ranked Tulsa in their post-season bowl game by a score of (55-52) to finish the season at 7-6.  Virginia Tech played against an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average SOS.  The Hokies best game again was their victory over #34 ranked Boston College (26-10) and their worst loss was to #76 ranked Miami (FL) (20-30).  Virginia Tech had the #71 ranked team in total production with the #74 ranked offense and the #58 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model.

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