Monday, March 10, 2014

Middle Tennessee State 2008-2013

Since I am now followed on Twitter by Middle Tennessee State's Offense, I was curious as to how the Blue Raiders have performed on the field using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model, both on offense and defense.  Here is a quick graph using the information presented below.  I will present the analysis starting with the 2008 season.


2008
Middle Tennessee State finished the season at 5-7 and ineligible for a bowl spot.  The Blue Raiders played an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average.  MTSU's best game was a victory over #70 ranked Maryland and their worst was a loss to #100 ranked Mississippi State.  Overall, the Blue Raiders had the #76 ranked team with the #79 ranked offense and the #63 ranked defense.

2009
The Blue Raiders had their best season during this time period finishing the regular season at 9-3 and defeating #36 ranked Southern Mississippi in their bowl game.  The Blue Raiders played an "much easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average, meaning that the Blue Raiders SOS was more than two standard deviations greater than the "league" average.  MTSU's best game was their bowl win over Southern Mississippi and their worst was a loss again to #87 ranked Mississippi State.  Overall, the Blue Raiders had the #28 ranked team with the #25 ranked offense and the #43 ranked defense.

2010
MTSU finished the regular season at 6-6 and after losing their bowl game finished 6-7 overall.  The Blue Raiders again played an "much easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average.  MTSU's best game was a victory over #66 ranked Florida International University and their worst was a loss to #118 ranked Memphis.  Overall, the Blue Raiders had the #74 ranked team with the #75 ranked offense and the #60 ranked defense; very similar to their 2008 season.

2011
This was a horrible year for the Blue Raiders, finishing the regular season at 2-10 while playing against an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average.  MTSU's best game was a victory over #111 ranked Memphis and their worst was a loss to #106 ranked Troy.  Overall, the Blue Raiders had the #114 ranked team with the #108 ranked offense and the #114 ranked defense.

2012
Middle Tennessee State bounced back with an 8-4 regular season, but no bowl bid.  The Blue Raiders played an "easier" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average.  Middle Tennessee's best game was a victory over #56 ranked Western Kentucky and their worst was a loss to FCS McNeese State.  Overall, the Blue Raiders had the #77 ranked team with the #81 ranked offense and the #59 ranked defense.

2013
The Blue Raiders finished the regular season at 8-4 and lost their bowl game to #44 ranked Navy.  The Blue Raiders played an "average" strength of schedule (SOS) as compared to the "league" average.  MTSU's best game was a victory over #8 ranked Marshall and their worst was a loss to #44 ranked Navy.  Overall, the Blue Raiders had the #40 ranked team with the #49 ranked offense and the #54 ranked defense.

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