Monday, September 29, 2025

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 5

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has the Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Missouri
3 BYU
4 North Texas
5 Oregon
6 Texas Tech
7 Oklahoma
8 Texas
9 Vanderbilt
10 Maryland
11 Ohio State
12 Cincinnati
13 Florida State
14 Georgia
15 Toledo
16 Nebraska
17 Miami (Florida)
18 Louisiana Tech
19 Memphis
20 Utah
21 San Diego State
22 Texas A&M
23 USC
24 Notre Dame
25 Tennessee

2025 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

Arkansas Fires Head Football Coach Sam Pittman

Sam Pittman has been fired as the head football coach at Arkansas.  This was the 6th season at the helm of the Razorbacks football program going 32-34 overall.  Here is a look at the Arkansas Razorbacks football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model) and covers Bobby Petrino (2008-2011), John Smith (2012), Brett Bielema (2013-2017), Chad Morris (2018-2019) and Sam Pittman (2020-2025*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Arkansas Razorbacks football program during head coach Pittmans's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Sam Pittman [2020-2025*]

2020 
The COVID-19 season saw the Razorbacks finished at 3-7. The Razorbacks played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Arkansas' SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "leagues" SOS.  Arkansas's best regular season win was against #60 ranked Mississippi by a score of (33-21) and their worst regular season loss was to #78 ranked Missouri by a score of (48-50).  Arkansas was the #56 ranked team overall, with the #33 ranked offense and the #103 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
The Razorbacks finished the regular season at 8-4, making them bowl eligible where they defeated #55 ranked Penn State by a score of (24-10) to finish with a win-loss record of 9-4. The Razorbacks played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Razorbacks' SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" SOS.  Arkansas's best regular season win was against #29 ranked Texas A&M by a score of (20-10) and their worst regular season loss was to #51 ranked Auburn by a score of (23-38).  Arkansas was the #20 ranked team overall, with the #37 ranked offense and the #21 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022 
The Razorbacks finished the regular season at 6-6 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated by #56 ranked Kansas by a score of (55-53) to finish with a win-loss record of 7-6. The Razorbacks played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Arkansas's best regular season win was against #19 ranked Mississippi by a score of (42-27) and their worst regular season loss was to #73 ranked Missouri by a score of (27-29).  Arkansas was the #74 ranked team overall, with the #37 ranked offense and the #115 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023 
The Razorbacks finished the regular season at 4-8 while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Arkansas's best regular season win was against #78 ranked Florida by a score of (39-36) and their worst regular season loss was to #108 ranked BYU by a score of (31-38).  Arkansas was the #92 ranked team overall, with the #109 ranked offense and the #55 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024 
The Razorbacks finished the regular season at 6-6 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #83 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (39-26) to finish the season at 7-6. The Razorbacks played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Arkansas's best regular season win was against #7 ranked Tennesse by a score of (19-14) and their worst regular season loss was to #121 ranked Oklahoma State by a score of (31-39).  Arkansas was the #47 ranked team overall, with the #31 ranked offense and the #84 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025* 
The Razorbacks were 2-3 at the time of Pitman's firing. The Razorbacks played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  At the time, Arkansas's best regular season win was against #132 ranked Arkansas State by a score of (56-14) and their worst regular season loss was to #27 ranked Mississippi by a score of (35-41).  At the time, Arkansas was the #65 ranked team overall, with the #21 ranked offense and the #132 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2025 FBS Head Coach Changes

Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Oklahoma State Fires Head Football Coach Mike Gundy

Mike Gundy has been fired as the head football coach at Oklahoma State.  This was the 21st season at the helm of the Cowboys football program.  Here is a look at the Oklahoma State Cowboys football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Oklahoma State Cowboys football program during head coach Gundy's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Mike Gundy [2008*-2025*]  Analysis starts in 2008 and only part of the 2025 season is included up to when Gundy was fired. 

2008 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 9-3 making them bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #19 ranked Oregon by a score of (31-42) to finish with a win-loss record of 9-4. The Cowboyss played against an “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the average SOS for the "league".  Oklahoma State's best win was against #16 ranked Missouri by a score of (28-23) and their worst loss was to #10 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (20-56).  Oklahoma State was the #24 ranked team overall, with the #7 ranked offense and the #91 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2009 
The Cowboys again finished the regular season at 9-3 making them bowl eligible, and were again defeated in their post-season bowl game, but this time by #29 ranked Mississippi by a score of (7-21) to finish with a win-loss record of 9-4. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the average SOS for the "league".  Oklahoma State's best win was against #19 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (24-17) and their worst loss was to #17 ranked Houston by a score of (35-45).  Oklahoma State was the #42 ranked team overall, with the #34 ranked offense and the #51 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2010 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 10-2 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #33 ranked Arizona by a score of (36-10) to finish with a win-loss record of 11-2. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best win was against #26 ranked Tulsa by a score of (65-28) and their worst loss was to #16 ranked Nebraska by a score of (41-51).  Oklahoma State was the #10 ranked team overall, with the #6 ranked offense and the #55 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2011 Big 12 Champion
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 11-1 and the Big 12 Champion. Oklahoma State defeated #7 ranked Stanford by a score of (41-38) to finish with a win-loss record of 12-1. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best win was against #19 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (44-10) and their only loss was to #112 ranked Iowa State by a score of (31-37).  Oklahoma State was the #5 ranked team overall, with the #2 ranked offense and the #62 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2012 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 7-5 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #23 ranked Purdue by a score of (58-14) to finish with a win-loss record of 8-5. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best win was against #39 ranked TCU by a score of (36-14) and their worst loss was to #61 ranked Arizona by a score of (38-59).  Oklahoma State was the #21 ranked team overall, with the #7 ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2013 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 10-2 making them bowl eligible, where they were defeated #13 ranked Missouri by a score of (31-41) to finish with a win-loss record of 10-3. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best win was against #4 ranked Baylor by a score of (49-17) and their worst loss was to #90 ranked West Virginia by a score of (21-30).  Oklahoma State was the #15 ranked team overall, with the #26 ranked offense and the #15 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2014 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 6-6 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #51 ranked Washington by a score of (30-22) to finish with a win-loss record of 7-6. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best win was against #33 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (38-35) and their worst loss was to #71 ranked Texas by a score of (7-28).  Oklahoma State was the #102 ranked team overall, with the #87 ranked offense and the #106 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2015 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 10-2 making them bowl eligible, where they were defeated #6 ranked Mississippi by a score of (20-48) to finish with a win-loss record of 10-3. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best win was against #31 ranked TCU by a score of (49-29) and their worst loss was to #15 ranked Baylor by a score of (35-45).  Oklahoma State was the #40 ranked team overall, with the #19 ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2016 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 9-3 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #16 ranked Colorado by a score of (38-8) to finish with a win-loss record of 10-3. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best regular season win was against #42 ranked West Virginia by a score of (37-20) and their worst regular season loss was to #90 ranked Central Michigan by a score of (27-30).  Oklahoma State was the #30 ranked team overall, with the #18 ranked offense and the #72 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2017 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 9-3 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #28 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (30-21) to finish with a win-loss record of 10-3. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best regular season win was against #36 ranked Iowa State by a score of (49-42) and their worst regular season loss was to #59 ranked Kansas State by a score of (40-45).  Oklahoma State was the #12 ranked team overall, with the #2 ranked offense and the #106 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2018 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 6-6 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #34 ranked Missouri by a score of (38-33) to finish with a win-loss record of 7-6. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best regular season win was against #16 ranked Boise State by a score of (44-21) and their worst regular season loss was to #95 ranked Baylor by a score of (31-35).  Oklahoma State was the #76 ranked team overall, with the #22 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 8-4 making them bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #47 ranked Texas A&M by a score of (21-24) to finish with a win-loss record of 8-5. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best regular season win was against #40 ranked Iowa State by a score of (34-27) and their worst regular season loss was to #83 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (35-45).  Oklahoma State was the #55 ranked team overall, with the #34 ranked offense and the #85 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020 
The COVID-19 season saw the Cowboys finished at 7-3 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated by #23 ranked Miami (FL) by a score of (37-34) to finish with a win-loss record of 8-3. The Cowboys played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best regular season win was against #8 ranked Iowa State by a score of (24-21) and their worst regular season loss was to #36 ranked TcU by a score of (22-29).  Oklahoma State was the #29 ranked team overall, with the #21 ranked offense and the #96 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021  Big 12 Runner-Up
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 11-1 and played in the Big 12 Championship game were they were defeated by #13 ranked Baylor by a score of (16-21).  The Cowboys bounced back and defeated #12 ranked Notre Dame by a score of (37-35) to finish with a win-loss record of 12-2. The Cowboys played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best regular season win was against #13 ranked Baylor by a score of (24-14) and their only regular season loss was to #14 ranked Iowa State by a score of (21-24).  Oklahoma State was the #10 ranked team overall, with the #14 ranked offense and the #19 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 7-5 making them bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #39 ranked Wisconsin by a score of (17-24) to finish with a win-loss record of 7-6. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best regular season win was against #15 ranked Texas by a score of (41-34) and their worst regular season loss was to #104 ranked West Virginia by a score of (19-24).  Oklahoma State was the #82 ranked team overall, with the #38 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023 Big 12 Runner-Up 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 9-3 and played in the Big 12 Championship game were they were defeated by #14 ranked Texas by a score of (21-49).  The Cowboys bounced back and defeated #35 ranked Texas A&M by a score of (31-23) to finish with a win-loss record of 10-4. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best regular season win was against #7 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (27-24) and their worst regular season loss was to #51 ranked Iowa State by a score of (27-34).  Oklahoma State was the #62 ranked team overall, with the #23 ranked offense and the #124 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024 
The Cowboys finished the regular season at 3-9 making them bowl ineligible. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Oklahoma State's best regular season win was against #47 ranked Arkansas by a score of (39-31) and their worst regular season loss was to #103 ranked West Virginia by a score of (14-38).  Oklahoma State was the #121 ranked team overall, with the #83 ranked offense and the #131 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025* 
The Cowboys were 1-2 at the time of Gundy's firing. The Cowboys played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  At the time, Oklahoma State's only regular season win was against FCS Tennessee Martin by a score of (27-7) and their worst regular season loss was to #80 ranked Tulsa by a score of (12-19).  At the time, Oklahoma State was the #114 ranked team overall, with the #130 ranked offense and the #64 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2025 FBS Head Coach Changes

Monday, September 22, 2025

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 4

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has the Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Texas Tech
3 Oregon
4 Vanderbilt
5 Florida State
6 Missouri
7 Miami (Florida)
8 Ohio State
9 BYU
10 USC
11 Texas
12 Mississippi State
13 Nebraska
14 North Texas
15 Washington
16 UCF
17 Maryland
18 Arizona
19 Penn State
20 Oklahoma
21 Tennessee
22 LSU
23 Virginia
24 Arkansas
25 Michigan

2025 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Virginia Tech Fired Head Football Coach Brent Pry

Yesterday Brent Pry was fired as head football coach at Virginia Tech, after an 0-3 start to the 2025 regular season.  Pry was 16-24 in three plus seasons at the helm of the Hokies.  Here is a look at the Virginia Tech Hokies football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last eight seasons of head football coach Frank Beamer (2008-2015), Justin Fuente  (2016-2021), and Brent Pry (2022-2025).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Virginia Tech Hokies football program during head coach Pry's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed). 

Brent Pry [2022-2025*] 

2022 
The Hokies finished the regular season at 3-8 (the game against Virginia was cancelled). The Hokies played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the average SOS for the "league".  Virginia Tech's best win was against #52 ranked Liberty by a score of (23-22) and their worst loss was to #104 ranked West Virginia by a score of (10-33).  Virginia Tech was the #96 ranked team overall, with the #119 ranked offense and the #34 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
The Hokies finished the regular season at 6-6, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" average.  They defeated by #43 ranked Tulane by a score of (41-20) in their post-season bowl game to finish the season overall at 7-6. Virginia Tech's best regular season win was against #72 ranked Syracuse by a score of (38-10) and their worst loss was to #85 ranked Marshall by a score of (17-24).  Virginia Tech was the #50 ranked team overall, with the #52 ranked offense and the #52 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
The Hokies were 6-6, making them bowl eligible, but they were defeated by #19 ranked Minnesota by a score of (10-24) to finish at 6-7 overall.  The Hokies played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Virginia Tech's best win was against #45 ranked Georgia Tech (21-6) and their worst loss was to #71 ranked Rutgers by a score of (23-26).  Virginia Tech was the #60 ranked team overall, with the #66 ranked offense and the #48 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
Head coach Pry was fired at the end of the third game of the regular season where the Hokies were 0-3.  The Hokies played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) at the time of Pry's firing.  Virginia Tech's worst loss to currently ranked #45 Old Dominion by a score of (26-45).  Virginia Tech currently is the #135 ranked team overall, with the #126 ranked offense and the #134 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2025 FBS Head Coach Changes

Monday, September 15, 2025

DeShawn Foster Fired as Head Football Coach at UCLA

Yesterday, head coach DeShawn Foster was fired as the UCLA Bruins head football coach after a 0-3 start to the regular season.  Foster finishes at 5-10 overall during his 1.25 season tenure at the helm of the program.  Here is a look at the UCLA Bruins football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Rick Neuheisel (2008-2011),  Jim Mora (2012-2017) and Chip Kelly (2018-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the UCLA Bruins football program during head coach Foster's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

 

DeShawn Foster (2024-2025)

2024
Head coach Foster's first season finished at 5-7.  The Bruins played against a “much tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Bruins SOS was more than two standard deviations lower than the average SOS for the "league".  UCLA's best win was against #32 ranked Iowa (20-17) and their worst loss was again to #62 ranked LSU by a score of (17-34).  UCLA was the #108 ranked team overall, with the #127 ranked offense and the #36 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
Head coach Foster was fired after the third game the regular season where the Bruins were 0-3.  The Bruins played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  At the time of Foster's firing UCLA's worst loss was to #85 ranked New Mexico by a score of (10-35).  UCLA currently is the #128 ranked team overall, with the #119 ranked offense and the #125 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025 FBS Head Coach Changes 
 

Sunday, September 14, 2025

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 3

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has the Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Missouri
3 Texas Tech
4 North Texas
5 Nebraska
6 Miami (Florida)
7 Ohio State
8 Oregon
9 Utah
10 Penn State
11 Minnesota
12 Vanderbilt
13 Illinois
14 USC
15 BYU
16 Iowa State
17 Arizona
18 Oklahoma
19 Maryland
20 Rutgers
21 Georgia
22 Arkansas
23 Kansas
24 Memphis
25 Mississippi

2025 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 2

Sunday, September 7, 2025

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 2

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has the University of Arkansas as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Arkansas
2 USC
3 Texas Tech
4 BYU
5 Arizona
6 Oregon
7 Temple
8 UCF
9 Tennessee
10 Vanderbilt
11 Minnesota
12 Utah
13 Kansas
14 Illinois
15 Boston College
16 Nebraska
17 Washington
18 North Texas
19 Georgia
20 Florida State
21 Ohio State
22 Missouri
23 UNLV
24 Texas A&M
25 Auburn

2025 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

none at this time

Prior Final NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings (with links to prior weekly rankings)