Sunday, September 25, 2022

2022 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 04

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently most productive NCAA FBS team is the University of Minnesota!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Minnesota
2 Mississippi
3 Ohio State
4 Alabama
5 Georgia
6 Western Kentucky
7 Michigan
8 Washington
9 USC
10 Utah
11 UCLA
12 Oklahoma
13 South Alabama
14 Cincinnati
15 North Carolina State
16 Coastal Carolina
17 Tennessee
18 Tulane
19 Kansas
20 Penn State
21 LSU
22 West Virginia
23 Clemson
24 Baylor
25 Illinois

 2022 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

Monday, September 19, 2022

Arizona State fired head football coach Herm Edwards

Yesterday, Arizona State University fired their head football coach, Herm Edwards.  Edwards was 26-19 in slightly over four seasons at the helm of the Sun Devils.  Here is a look at the Arizona State football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers the last four seasons of head football coach Dennis Erickson (2008-2011), Todd Graham (2012-2017), and Herm Edwards (2018-2022*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Arizona State Sun Devils football program during head coach Edwards' tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Herm Edwards (2018-2022*) [contract]

2018
Arizona State finished the regular season at 7-5, and were defeated by #4 ranked Fresno State in their post-season bowl game by a score of (20-31).  The Sun Devils played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  An average SOS means that the Sun Devils's SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" SOS.  Arizona State's best regular season victory was against #30 ranked Utah (38-20) and their worst loss was to #70 ranked Colorado (21-28).  Arizona State was the #55 ranked team overall, with the #49 ranked offense and the #66 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
The Sun Devils finished the regular season at 8-4, and defeated #60 ranked Florida State (20-14) in their post-season bowl game.  Arizona State played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Arizona State's best win was against #5 ranked Oregon by a score of (31-28) and their worst loss was to #111 Colorado by a score of (24-17).  Arizona State was the #48 ranked team overall, with the #59 ranked offense and the #47 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2020
Arizona State finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 2-2, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Arizona State's best regular season victory was against #85 ranked Oregon State by a score of (46-33) and their worst loss was to #51 ranked USC by a score of (27-28).  Arizona State was the #55 ranked team overall, with the #104 ranked offense and the #7 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
The Sun Devils finished the regular season at 8-4, and were defeated (13-20) by #17 ranked Wisconsin in their post-season bowl game.  Arizona State played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that the Sun Devils' SOS was between one and two standard deviations above the "leagues" SOS.  Arizona State's best win was against #53 ranked UCLA by a score of (42-23) and their worst loss was to #65 ranked Oregon State by a score of (10-24).  Arizona State was the #47 ranked team overall, with the #66 ranked offense and the #24 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022*
After the Sun Devils started at 1-2, Edwards was fired.  Arizona State currently has played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Arizona State's only win was against FCS Northern Arizona by a score of (40-3) and their current worst loss was #100 Eastern Michigan by a score of (21-30).  Arizona State is currently the #71 ranked team overall, with the #74 ranked offense and the #59 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

2022 NCAA FBS Head Coaching Changes

Scott Frost and Nebraska

Sunday, September 18, 2022

2022 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 03

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently most productive NCAA FBS team is the University of Washington!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Washington
2 Alabama
3 Michigan
4 Georgia
5 Wisconsin
6 USC
7 Tennessee
8 Oklahoma
9 Mississippi
10 Minnesota
11 Oregon State
12 Tulsa
13 Penn State
14 Syracuse
15 Ohio State
16 Utah
17 Clemson
18 Wake Forest
19 Cincinnati
20 Texas A&M
21 Duke
22 Kentucky
23 UCF
24 Texas Tech
25 Maryland

2022 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

2022 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 2 

Monday, September 12, 2022

Scott Frost Fired as Head Coach at Nebraska

 Yesterday, the University of Nebraska fired their head football coach Scott Frost.  Frost was 16-31 in slightly over four seasons at the helm of the Cornhuskers.  Here is a look at the Nebraska football program since 2008 (the first year that of complete data I have).  This time period only covers all but the first season of head football coach Bo Pelini (2008-2014), Mike Riley (2015-2017), and Scott Frost (2018-2022*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Nebraska Cornhuskers football program during head coach Frost's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Scott Frost (2018-2022*) [3rd Addendum contract]

2018
Nebraska finished the regular season at 4-8, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  An average SOS means that the Cornhusker's SOS was within plus or minus one standard deviation of the "league" SOS.  Nebraska's best regular season victory was against #60 ranked Michigan State (9-6) and their worst loss was to #88 ranked Purdue (28-42).  Nebraska was the #67 ranked team overall, with the #51 ranked offense and the #83 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
The Cornhuskers finished at 5-7.  Nebraska played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Nebraska's best win was against #74 ranked Illinois by a score of (42-38) and their worst loss was to #111 Colorado by a score of (31-34).  Nebraska was again the #67 ranked team overall, with the #82 ranked offense and the #54 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2020
Nebraska finished the COVID-19 shortened regular season at 3-5, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Nebraska's best regular season victory was against #57 ranked Penn State by a score of (30-23) and their worst loss was to #108 ranked Illinois by a score of (23-41).  Nebraska was the #83 ranked team overall, with the #91 ranked offense and the #57 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
The Cornhuskers finished at 3-9.  Nebraska played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that the Huskers' SOS was between one and two standard deviations below the "leagues" SOS.  Nebraska's best win was against #98 ranked Buffalo by a score of (28-3) and their worst loss was to #83 ranked Illinois by a score of (22-30).  Nebraska was the #41 ranked team overall, with the #68 ranked offense and the #13 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022*
After the Cornhuskers started at 1-2, Frost was fired.  Nebraska currently has played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Nebraska's only win was against FCS North Dakota by a score of (38-17) and their current worst loss was #95 Northwestern by a score of (28-31).  Nebraska is currently the #53 ranked team overall, with the #4 ranked offense and the #126 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

Sunday, September 11, 2022

2022 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 02

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently most productive NCAA FBS team is the University of Minnesota!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Minnesota
2 Illinois
3 Georgia
4 Washington
5 Michigan
6 Mississippi
7 Tulane
8 USC
9 Florida Atlantic
10 UCLA
11 Toledo
12 Air Force
13 SMU
14 Ohio State
15 TCU
16 South Alabama
17 Rutgers
18 Marshall
19 Miami (Florida)
20 Wake Forest
21 Syracuse
22 Oklahoma
23 Kansas State
24 Michigan State
25 Western Kentucky

2022 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

None at this time.