Monday, December 15, 2025

Monday, December 8, 2025

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 15

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has the Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Texas Tech
3 Ohio State
4 Oregon
5 Notre Dame
6 James Madison
7 North Texas
8 Miami (Florida)
9 Toledo
10 Utah
11 Georgia
12 Mississippi
13 Vanderbilt
14 South Florida
15 Arizona
16 Old Dominion
17 Washington
18 Missouri
19 East Carolina
20 BYU
21 USC
22 Oklahoma
23 Tennessee
24 Virginia
25 San Diego State

2025 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

Thursday, December 4, 2025

Alex Golesh Departs South Florida for Auburn

Alex Golesh has been hired as the next head football coach at Auburn.  For the past three seasons, Golesh was at the helm of the South Florida Bulls football program.  Following the production rank chart below is a short overview of the South Florida Bulls football program during his tenure as head football coach based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

Alex Golesh [2023-2025]

2023
The Bulls finished the regular season at 6-6 making them bowl eligible where they defeated #72 ranked Syracuse by a score of (45-0) to finish the season at 7-6 overall.  The Bulls played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the average SOS for the "league". South Florida's best regular season win was against #66 ranked Rice by a score of (42-29) and their worst regular season loss was to #67 ranked Florida Atlantic by a score of (14-56).  South Florida was the #74 ranked team overall, with the #40 ranked offense and the #127 ranked defense from the the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
The Bulls finished the regular season at 6-6 making them bowl eligible where they defeated #46 ranked San Jose State by a score of (41-39) to finish the season at 7-6 overall.  The Bulls played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the average SOS for the "league". South Florida's best regular season win was against #99 ranked Florida Atlantic by a score of (44-21) and their worst regular season loss was to #92 ranked Rice by a score of (28-35).  South Florida was the #82 ranked team overall, with the #48 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense from the the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
The Bulls were 9-3 at the time of Golesh's departure. The Bulls played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) to this point in the season. At the time of Golesh's departure, South Florida's best win was against currently ranked #6 North Texas by a score of (63-36) and their worst regular season loss was to currently ranked #48 Navy by a score of (38-41).  At the time of Golesh's departure, South Florida was the #14 ranked team overall, with the #4 ranked offense and the #71 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2025 NCAA FBS Head Coach Quits

Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Jon Sumrall Departs Tulane for Florida

Jon Sumrall has been hired as the head football coach at Florida.  For the past two seasons, Sumrall was at the helm of the Tulane Green Wave football program.  Following the production rank chart below is a short overview of the Tulane Green Wave football program during his tenure as head football coach based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

Jon Sumrall [2024-2025] 

2024 AAC Champions
The Green Wave finished the regular season at 9-3 and played in the AAC championship game against #11 ranked Army where they won by a score of (35-14)! The Green Wave then played in a post-season bowl but were defeated by #44 ranked Florida by a score of (8-33) to finish the season at 10-4 overall.  The Green Wave played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the average SOS for the "league". Tulane's best regular season win was against #39 ranked Louisiana LaFayette by a score of (41-33) and their worst regular season loss was to #67 ranked Oklahoma by a score of (19-34).  Tulane was the #22 ranked team overall, with the #21 ranked offense and the #53 ranked defense from the the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025
The Green Wave were 10-2 at the time of Sumrall's departure. The Green Wave played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) to this point in the season. At the time of Sumrall's departure Tulane's best win was against currently ranked #25 East Carolina by a score of (26-19) and their worst regular season loss was to currently ranked #73 UTSA by a score of (26-48).  At the time of Sumrall's departure, Tulane was the #39 ranked team overall, with the #31 ranked offense and the #60 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2025 NCAA FBS Head Coach Quits

Tuesday, December 2, 2025

Coastal Carolina Fired Head Football Coach Tim Beck

Tim Beck has been fired as the head football coach at Coastal Carolina.  During Beck's three year tenure with the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers the team was 20-18 overall.  Here is a look at the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers football program since 2017 (the first year they were in the FBS) and does not  cover the first two seasons of Joe Moglia (2018), Jamey Chadwell (2017, 2019-2022) and Tim Beck (2023-2025).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers football program during head coach Beck's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Tim Beck [2023-2025]

2023
The Chanticleers finished the regular season at 7-5 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #36 ranked San Jose State by a score of (24-14) to finish the season at 8-5 overall. The Chanticleers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Coastal Carolina's best win was against #26 ranked Jacksonville State by a score of (30-16) and their worst loss was to #112 ranked Army by a score of (21-28).  Coastal Carolina was the #55 ranked team overall, with the #53 ranked offense and the #56 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
The Chanticleers finished the regular season at 6-6 making them bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #26 ranked UTSA by a score of (15-44) to finish the season at 6-7 overall. The Chanticleers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Coastal Carolina's best win was against #27 ranked Jacksonville State by a score of (55-27) and their worst loss was to #112 ranked Virginia by a score of (24-43).  Coastal Carolina was the #93 ranked team overall, with the #62 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025 
The Chanticleers finished the regular season at 6-6 making them bowl eligible at the time of Beck's firing. The Chanticleers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Coastal Carolina's best regular season win was against #65 ranked Marshall by a score of (44-27) and their worst loss was to #101 ranked Georgia Southern by a score of (40-45).  At the time of Beck's firing, Coastal Carolina was the #120 ranked team overall, with the #112 ranked offense and the #117 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2025 FBS Head Coach Changes

Monday, December 1, 2025

Michigan State Fires Head Football Coach Jonathan Smith

Michigan State has fired head football coach Jonathan Smith.  The Michigan State Spartans were 9-15 during his two year tenure at the helm as head football coach.  Here is a look at the Michigan State Spartans football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model) and does not  cover the first two seasons of Mark Dantonio (2008-2019), Mel Tucker (2020-2023) and Jonathan Smith (2024-2025).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Michigan State Spartans football program during head coach Smith's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Jonathan Smith [2024-2025]

2024
The Spartans finished the regular season at 5-7 making them bowl ineligible. The Spartans played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Michigan State's best win was against #32 ranked Iowa by a score of (32-20) and their worst loss was to #66 ranked Boston College by a score of (19-23).  Michigan State was the #97 ranked team overall, with the #121 ranked offense and the #31 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2025 
The Spartans were 4-8 at the time of Smith's firing. The Spartans played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Michigan State's best win was against #64 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (23-6) and their worst loss was to #130 ranked UCLA by a score of (13-38).  At the time of Smith's firing, Michigan State was the #105 ranked team overall, with the #102 ranked offense and the #100 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2025 FBS Head Coach Changes

Sunday, November 30, 2025

2025 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 14

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has the Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Ohio State
3 Texas Tech
4 Oregon
5 Notre Dame
6 North Texas
7 James Madison
8 Miami (Florida)
9 Toledo
10 Utah
11 Georgia
12 Vanderbilt
13 Mississippi
14 South Florida
15 Arizona
16 BYU
17 Missouri
18 Washington
19 Old Dominion
20 Alabama
21 Virginia
22 Tennessee
23 USC
24 Oklahoma
25 East Carolina

2025 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings