Thursday, December 26, 2024

Purdue Fired Head Football Coach Ryan Walters

At the beginning of this month, Ryan Walters was fired as head football coach at Purdue.  Walters was 5-19 in two season at the helm of the Purdue Boilermakers.  Here is a look at the Purdue Boilermakers football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last season of head football coach Joe Tiller (19977-2008), Danny Hope (2009-2012), Darrell Hazell (2013-2016), Jeff Brohm (2017-2022) and Ryan Walters (2023-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Purdue Boilermakers football program during head coach Walters' tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Ryan Walters [2023-2024]

2023
The Boilermakers finished the regular season at 4-8, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that Purdue's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Purdue's best win was against #50 ranked Virginia Tech by a score of (24-17) and their worst loss was to #76 ranked Northwestern by a score of (15-23).  Purdue was the #84 ranked team overall, with the #83 ranked offense and the #77 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
Head coach Walters was fired at the end of the regular season where the Boilermakers were 1-11 overall.  The Boilermakers played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "leagues" average SOS.  At the time of Walters' firing Purdue's best (only) win was against FCS Indiana State by a score of (49-0) and their worst loss was again to #102 ranked Northwestern by a score of (20-26).  Purdue was the #132 ranked team overall, with the #129 ranked offense and the #127 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

 

Tuesday, December 24, 2024

FIU fired head coach Mike MacIntyre

At the beginning of this month, Mike MacIntyre was fired as head football coach at Florida International (FIU).  MacIntyre was 12-24 in three season at the helm of the Florida International Panthers.  Here is a look at the FIU Panthers football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last five seasons of head football coach Mario Cristobal (2007-2012), Ron Turner (2013-2016), Butch Davis (2017-2021) and Mike MacIntyre (2022-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the FIU Panthers football program during head coach MacIntyre's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Mike MacIntyre [2022-2024]

2022
The Panthers finished the regular season at 4-8, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that the Panthers SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  FIU's best win was against #43 ranked New Mexico State by a score of (21-7) and their worst loss was to #100 ranked UTEP by a score of (6-40).  FIU was the #124 ranked team overall, with the #121 ranked offense and the #108 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
The Panthers finished the regular season at 4-8, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  FIU's best win was against #93 ranked North Texas by a score of (46-39) and their worst loss was to #110 ranked UTEP by a score of (14-27).  FIU was the #128 ranked team overall, with the #119 ranked offense and the #111 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
Head coach MacIntyre was fired at the end of the regular season where the Panthers were 4-8 overall.  The Panthers played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that their SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "leagues" SOS.  At the time of MacIntrye's firing FIU's best win was against #85 ranked Louisiana Tech by a score of (17-10) and their worst loss was again to FCS Monmouth (42-45).  FIU was the #79 ranked team overall, with the #84 ranked offense and the #70 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

 

Wednesday, December 18, 2024

West Virginia fires head football coach Neal Brown

At the beginning of this month, Neal Brown was fired as head football coach at West Virginia.  Brown was 37-34 in six season at the helm of the Mountaineers.  Here is a look at the West Virginia Mountaineers football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Bill Stewart (2007-2010), Dana Holgorsen (2011-2018),  and Neal Brown (2019-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the West Virginia Mountaineers football program during head coach Brown's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Neal Brown [2019-2024]

2019
The Mountaineers finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that West Virginia's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  West Virginia's best win was against #42 ranked Kansas State by a score of (24-20) and their worst loss was to #83 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (17-38).  West Virginia was the #113 ranked team overall, with the #120 ranked offense and the #79 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
The Mountaineers finished the COVID shortened regular season at 5-4, and played their post-season bowl game against #26 Army where they won by a score of (24-21).  West Virginia played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). West Virginia's best win was against #36 ranked TCU by a score of (24-6) and their worst loss was to #82 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (27-34).  West Virginia was the #33 ranked team overall, with the #47 ranked offense and the #49 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
West Virginia finished the regular season at 6-6,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  West Virginia was defeated by #40 ranked Minnesota in the post-season by a score of (6-18) to finish the season at 6-7 overall. The Mountaineers' best win was against #14 ranked Iowa State by a score of (38-31) and their worst loss was to #76 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (20-23).  West Virginia was the #67 ranked team overall, with the #85 ranked offense and the #36 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Mountaineers finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that the Chippewas SOS was between one and two standard deviations lower than the "leagues" average SOS.  West Virginia's best win was against #46 ranked Baylor by a score of (43-40) and their worst loss (for the fourth year in a row) was to #72 ranked Texas Tech by a score of (10-48).  West Virginia was the #104 ranked team overall, with the #80 ranked offense and the #105 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
The Mountaineers finished the regular season at 8-4, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  They defeated #29 ranked North Carolina by a score of (30-10) in their post-season bowl game to finish the season overall at 9-4. West Virginia's best win was against #40 ranked UCF by a score of (41-28) and their worst loss was to #116 ranked Houston by a score of (39-41).  West Virginia was the #53 ranked team overall, with the #47 ranked offense and the #68 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
Head coach Brown was fired at the end of the regular season where the Mountaineers were 6-6 overall.  The Mountaineers played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  At the time of Brown's firing West Virginia's best win was against #55 ranked UCF and their worst loss was again to #80 ranked Texas Tech.  West Virginia was the #104 ranked team overall, with the #79 ranked offense and the #116 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Wednesday, December 11, 2024

KC Keller Leaves Sam Houston State for Temple

KC Keller leaves Sam Houston State for Temple.  While Keller has been the head football coach since 2004, only the last two years are the focus, which are the two seasons that Sam Houston State has been a member of the Football Bowl Subdivision.  During that time, the Bearkats were 12-12 under his tenure.

Following the production rank chart below is a short overview of the Baylor Bears football program during his tenure as head football coach based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com. 

KC Keller [2023-2024]

2023
The Bearkats finished the regular season at 3-9.  The Bearkats played against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Sam Houston State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "leagues" SOS. Sam Houston State's best regular season win was against #91 ranked Middle Tennessee State by a score of (23-20) and their worst regular season loss was to #128 ranked Florida International by a score of (27-33). Sam Houston State was the #97 ranked team overall, with the #105 ranked offense and the #63 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
The Bearkats finished the regular season at 9-3 and were post-season bowl game eligible, but Keller left before their post-season bowl game was played.  The Bearkats played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Sam Houston State's best regular season win was against #24 ranked Texas State by a score of (40-39) and their worst regular season loss was to #71 ranked Western Kentucky by a score of (14-31).  Sam Houston State was the #38 ranked team overall, with the #71 ranked offense and the #17 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2024 FBS Head Coach Changes

Sunday, December 8, 2024

Saturday, December 7, 2024

Jim McElwain Retires at Central Michigan

Last month Jim McElwain announced that this would be retiring from head coaching.  McElwain was 33-36 in six season at the helm of the Chippewas.  Here is a look at the Central Michigan Chippewas football program since 2008 (the first year that in which I have data for the model).  This time period only covers the last two seasons of head football coach Butch Jones (2007-2009), Dan Enos (2010-2014), John Bonamego (2015-2018) and Jim McElwain (2019-2024).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Central Michigan Chippewas football program during head coach McElwain's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Jim McElwain [2019-2024]

2019 Mid-American Conference Runner-Up
The Chippewas finished the regular season at 8-4, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that Central Michigan's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  Central Michigan's played in their conference championship game where they were defeated by #108 ranked Miami (OH) by a score of (21-26).  The Chippewas played their post-season bowl game against #23 ranked San Diego State and were defeated by a score of (11-48) to finish the season at 8-6 overall.  Central Michigan's best win was against #51 ranked Ball State by a score of (45-44) and their worst loss was to #46 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (15-31).  Central Michigan was the #66 ranked team overall, with the #46 ranked offense and the #84 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
The Chippewas finished the COVID shortened regular season at 3-3, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Central Michigan's best win was against #67 ranked Ohio by a score of (30-27) and their worst loss was to #45 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (44-52).  Central Michigan was the #69 ranked team overall, with the #90 ranked offense and the #37 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
Central Michigan finished the regular season at 8-4,while playing against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that the Chippewas SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "leagues" average SOS.  Central Michigan defeated #61 ranked Washington State by a score of (24-21) to finish the season at 9-4 overall. The Chippewas' best win was against #15 ranked Toledo by a score of (26-23) and their worst loss was to #90 ranked LSU by a score of (21-49).  Central Michigan was the #34 ranked team overall, with the #26 ranked offense and the #58 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Chippewas finished the regular season at 4-8, while playing against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS).  Central Michigan's best win was against #99 ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (35-22) and their worst loss was to #114 ranked Bowling Green by a score of (18-34).  Central Michigan was the #101 ranked team overall, with the #107 ranked offense and the #61 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
The Chippewas finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Central Michigan's best win was against #20 ranked South Alabama by a score of (34-30) and their worst loss was to #129 ranked Michigan State by a score of (7-31).  Central Michigan was the #102 ranked team overall, with the #101 ranked offense and the #85 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024
Head coach McElwain retired at the end of season where the Chippewas were 4-8 overall.  The Chippewas played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Central Michigan's best win was against #76 ranked Western Michigan and their worst loss was to #115 ranked Eastern Michigan (34-38).  Central Michigan is currently the #103 ranked team overall, with the #115 ranked offense and the #89 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.