Tuesday, December 2, 2014

Florida Fired Will Muschamp as Head Football Coach

Last month the University of Florida fired head football coach Wil Muschamp, but let him finish the regular season at the helm of the Gators football program.  After the chart is a more detailed look at the Florida Gators since 2008 (first year that I have complete FBS production data) and covers the last three season under head football coach Urban Meyer (2008-2010) and the four seasons under Wil Muschamp (2011-2014).  In the chart below, the vertical lines represent seasons that head coaches changed.

Wil Muschamp [2011-2014]

2011
The Gators finished the regular season at 6-6 making them bowl eligible, where they defeated #44 ranked Ohio State by a score of (24-17) finishing with an 7-6 win-loss record overall.  The Gators played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the average SOS for the "league". Florida's best regular season win was against #35 ranked Vanderbilt by a score of (26-21) and their worst regular season loss was to #85 ranked Auburn by a score of (6-17).  Florida was the #55 ranked team overall, with the #98 ranked offense and the #19 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2012
The Gators finished the regular season at 11-1 making them post-season bowl eligible, but were defeated by #27 ranked Louisville by a score of (23-33) to finish with a win-loss record of 11-2. The Gators played against a “much tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Florida's SOS was lower than two standard deviations of the average SOS for the "league". Florida's best win was against #2 ranked Florida State by a score of (37-26) and their only regular season loss was to #4 ranked Georgia by a score of (9-17).  Florida was the #13 ranked team overall, with the #72 ranked offense and the #1 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided by www.cfbstats.com.

2013
The Gators finished the regular season at 4-8 making them post-season bowl ineligible. The Gators played against a “tougher” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that their SOS was between one standard and two standard deviations lower than the average SOS for the "league". Florida's best regular season win was against #53 ranked Toledo by a score of (24-6) and their worst regular season loss was to #126 ranked Georgia Southern by a score of (20-26). Florida was the #79 ranked team overall, with the #114 ranked offense and the #7 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.
 
2014
At the time of Florida's decision regarding Muschamp's future with the program, the Gators were 5-4, but Muschamp was allowed to finish the regular season, and the Gators finished at 6-5 making them bowl eligible.  The Gators played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS). Florida's best regular season win was against #8 ranked Georgia by a score of (38-20) and their worst regular season loss was to #79 ranked South Carolina by a score of (20-23).  Florida was the #51 ranked team overall, with the #93 ranked offense and the #10 ranked defense from the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.