Wednesday, November 20, 2024

Massachusetts Fires Head Football Coach Don Brown

Earlier this week, Massachusetts (UMass) fired head football coach Don Brown after going 6-28 over nearly three seasons.  Here is a look at the Massachusetts football program since 2012 (the first year that UMass joined the Football Bowl Subdivision).  This time period only covers head football coach Charley Molnar (2012-2013), Mark Whipple (2014-2018), Walt Bell (2019-2021), and Don Brown (2022-2024*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the UMass football program during head coach Brown's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Don Brown [2022-2024*]

2022
UMass finished the regular season at 1-11, and were bowl ineligible.  The Minutemen played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that UMass's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  UMass's only win was over FCS Stony Brook and their worst loss was to #112 ranked Arkansas State (33-35).  UMass was the #130 ranked team overall (a top 10 worst team overall in all of the FBS), with the #131 ranked offense (a top 10 worst offense in all of the FBS) and the #98 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
UMass finished the regular season at 3-9, and were bowl ineligible.  The Minutemen played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  UMass's best win was over #41 ranked New Mexico State and their worst loss was to #119 ranked Eastern Michigan (17-19).  UMass was the #123 ranked team overall, with the #95 ranked offense and the #128 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
After a 2-8 start to the 2021 season Brown was fired.  UMass has currently played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that UMass's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation of the "leagues" average SOS.  UMass's two wins were both over FCS teams (Central Connecticut State and Wagner) and their current worst loss was to #119 Mississippi State by a score of (20-45).  UMass is currently the #109 ranked team overall, with the #123 ranked offense and the #94 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

2024 FBS Head Coach Changes

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

Temple Fires Head Football Coach Stan Drayton

Earlier this week, Temple fired their head football coach Stan Drayton after nearly three seasons at the helm of the Temple Owls.  Here is a look at the Temple football program since 2008 (the first year that I have complete data).  This time period only covers the last three seasons of head football coach Al Golden (2008-2010), Steve Addazio (2011-2012), Matt Rhule (2013-2016), Geoff Collins (2017-2018),  Rod Carey (2019-2021) and Stan Drayton (2022-2024*).  After the figure below is a more detailed look at the Temple Owls football program during head coach Drayton's tenure based on the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model using data provided by www.cfbstats.com.  (The vertical school color bars represent seasons where head coaches changed).

Stan Drayton [2022-2024]

2022
Temple finished the regular season at 3-9, and were bowl ineligible.  The Owls played against a “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Owls SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "leagues" average SOS.  Temple's best regular season victory was against #129 ranked South Florida (54-28) and their worst loss was to #108 ranked Rutgers (14-16).  Temple was the #107 ranked team overall, with the #115 ranked offense and the #58 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
Temple finished the regular season at 3-9, playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Temple's best regular season victory was against #89 ranked Navy (32-18) and their worst loss was to #122 ranked Tulsa (26-48).  Temple was the #130 ranked team overall, with the #116 ranked offense and the #130 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
After an overtime victory against Florida Atlantic Stan Drayton was fired.  The Owls were 3-7 at the time.  Temple played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS) up to this point in the season.  Temple's best win was against currently ranked #114 Florida Atlantic by a score of (18-15) and their worst regular season loss was to #81 ranked Coastal Carolina by a score of (20-28).  Temple is currently the #128 ranked team overall, with the #127 ranked offense and the #113 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

Monday, November 18, 2024

Ball State Fires Head Football Coach Mike Neu

Just recently Ball State announced that they have fired head football coach Mike Neu.  Neu was at the helm of the Cardinals program since 2016 and had a 40-63 win/loss record during his time leading the football program.

Mike Neu was the head football coach at Ball State for eight seasons plus ten games this season.  Here is a look at the Ball State Cardinals football team since 2008 (the year in which the data I use to model FBS production starts).  Ball State's head football coaches were Brady Hoke (2003-2008 - but only 2008 is included in the graph below); Stan Parrish (2009-2010); Pete Lembo (2011-2015) and Mike Neu (2016-2024*).  As you will notice, Ball State was below average during most of Neu's tenure.

Below is the Ball State Cardinals production rank (total, offense, defense) since 2008 using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.  Head coach changes are listed (in the school's colors) as vertical bars.  More details about the program under Neu is provided below.

Mike Neu [2016-2024*]

2016
Ball State finished the regular season at 4-8,while playing against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Ball State's SOS was between one and two standard deviations higher than the "league" SOS.  The Cardinals' best win was against #89 ranked Georgia State by a score of (31-21) and their worst loss was to #100 ranked Akron by a score of (25-35).  Ball State was the #111 ranked team overall, with the #110 ranked offense and the #101 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2017
The Cardinals finished the regular season at 2-10, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that Ball State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" SOS.  Ball State's best win was against #56 ranked UAB by a score of (51-31) and their worst loss was to #125 ranked Illinois by a score of (21-24). Ball State was the #122 ranked team overall, with the #123 ranked offense and the #113 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2018
Ball State finished the regular season at 4-8,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  The Cardinals' best win was against #74 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (42-41) and their only loss was to #99 ranked Western Kentucky by a score of (20-28).  Ball State was the #104 ranked team overall, with the #94 ranked offense and the #99 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2019
The Cardinals finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Ball State's best win was against #89 ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (27-20) and their worst loss was to #88 ranked Kent State by a score of (38-41).  Ball State was the #51 ranked team overall, with the #51 ranked offense and the #61 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2020
The Cardinals finished the COVID shortened regular season at 6-1,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), and were bowl eligible, where they defeated #24 ranked San Jose State by a score of (34-13).  The Cardinals' best win was against #17 ranked Buffalo by a score of (38-28) and their only loss was to #94 ranked Miami (OH) by a score of (31-38).  Ball State was the #35 ranked team overall, with the #50 ranked offense and the #52 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2021
Ball State finished the regular season at 6-6,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Ball State was again bowl eligible, where they were defeated by #56 ranked Georgia State by a score of (20-51) and thus finished with a won-loss record of 6-7.  The Cardinals' best win was against #32 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (45-20) and their worst loss was to #62 ranked Wyoming by a score of (12-45).  Ball State was the #96 ranked team overall, with the #94 ranked offense and the #87 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2022
The Cardinals finished the regular season at 5-7, while playing against an “easier” strength of schedule (SOS).  Ball State's best win was against #83 ranked Kent State by a score of (27-20) and their worst loss was to #106 ranked Western Michigan by a score of (30-37). Ball State was the #77 ranked team overall, with the #90 ranked offense and the #49 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2023
The Cardinals finished the regular season at 4-8, while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS).  Ball State's best win was against #64 ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (20-17) and their worst loss was to #119 ranked Eastern Michigan by a score of (10-24).  Ball State was the #94 ranked team overall, with the #121 ranked offense and the #29 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 
2024*
Head coach Neu was fired after the tenth game of the season and the Cardinals had a 3-7 record at that time.  The Cardinals played against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS); meaning that Ball State's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "leagues" average SOS through week 10 of the season.  At this point in the season, Ball State's best win was against #31 currently ranked Northern Illinois by a score of (25-23) and their worst loss was to #110 currently ranked Central Michigan (34-37).  At the end of week 10, Ball State was the #121 ranked team overall, with the #86 ranked offense and the #129 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.

Sunday, November 17, 2024

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 12

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Mississippi
3 Notre Dame
4 Ohio State
5 Texas
6 Miami (Florida)
7 Tulane
8 Penn State
9 Alabama
10 Army
11 Oregon
12 Boise State
13 Tennessee
14 Clemson
15 SMU
16 Texas State
17 BYU
18 UNLV
19 James Madison
20 Texas A&M
21 Georgia
22 Minnesota
23 Colorado
24 Memphis
25 Louisiana-Lafayette

2024 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

 

Monday, November 11, 2024

Kennesaw State fires head football coach Brian Bohannon

Recently, Brian Bohannon was fired as the head football coach for Kennesaw State after less than a full season as FBS members.

Brian Bohannon [2024]

2024
At the time of Bohannon's firing the Kennesaw State Owls were 1-8,while playing against an “average” strength of schedule (SOS), meaning that the Owl's SOS was plus or minus one standard deviation from the "league" SOS.  The Owl's only victory was against #37 ranked Liberty by a score of (27-24) and their worst loss was to FCS Tennessee-Martin by a score of (13-24).  At the time of Bohannon's firing the Owls were the #131 ranked team overall (bottom 5 team overall), with the #134 ranked offense (the worst offense in the FBS) and the #105 ranked defense using the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model from the data provided from www.cfbstats.com.
 

 

Sunday, November 10, 2024

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 11

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Mississippi
3 Ohio State
4 Army
5 Notre Dame
6 Tennessee
7 Miami (Florida)
8 Texas
9 Oregon
10 Penn State
11 Tulane
12 Alabama
13 Boise State
14 Clemson
15 SMU
16 BYU
17 James Madison
18 Louisiana-Lafayette
19 Minnesota
20 Pittsburgh
21 UNLV
22 Iowa State
23 Iowa
24 Navy
25 Texas State

2024 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings

 

Sunday, November 3, 2024

2024 NCAA FBS Top 25 Ranking for Week 10

Using aggregate data provided from www.cfbstats.com, the Complex Invasion College Football Production Model currently has Indiana University as the most productive NCAA FBS team!

If you are interested, here are the details of the Complex Invasion College Football production model.

Rank Team
1 Indiana
2 Mississippi
3 Miami (Florida)
4 Army
5 Oregon
6 Tennessee
7 Texas
8 Notre Dame
9 Ohio State
10 Penn State
11 Tulane
12 Boise State
13 Alabama
14 SMU
15 Clemson
16 Minnesota
17 Pittsburgh
18 BYU
19 Iowa
20 Iowa State
21 Georgia
22 Memphis
23 Kansas State
24 UNLV
25 Louisiana-Lafayette

2024 Prior NCAA FBS Top 25 Rankings